MLB Player Props Prediction: Mariners vs Red Sox 7/29

MLB Player Props Prediction: Mariners vs Red Sox 7/29

Scan to Download the iOS App

Scan to Download the Android App

Get real-time odds and tips! Join KingPin on iOS or Android.

Photo Credit: © Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Seattle Mariners take their three-game road win streak into Fenway Park to face the Boston Red Sox on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Mariners, with a 56-51 record and standing second in the AL West, look to continue their hot streak against the Red Sox, who hold a 55-49 record and are third in the AL East. Both teams have shown their mettle this season, with Boston excelling at home (31-23) and Seattle proving to be formidable on the road (30-22). Their head-to-head matchups this season are tied at 2-2, setting the stage for an evenly matched contest.

Boston is coming off a rough patch, having lost seven of their last ten games, during which they posted a .295 batting average but struggled with a 6.51 ERA. Conversely, Seattle has managed a 4-6 record over the same span but has been outscoring their opponents by five runs, thanks to a stellar 2.33 ERA despite a lackluster .196 batting average. Key performers for the Red Sox include Jarren Duran, who has amassed 31 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs, and Tyler O'Neill, who is hitting .357 with six home runs over the past ten games. For the Mariners, Cal Raleigh leads with 22 home runs, and Julio Rodriguez has been on a tear, going 14-for-32 with three home runs and seven RBIs in his last ten games.

Injuries will play a role in this matchup. The Red Sox have several key players on the IL, including Triston Casas (rib) and Trevor Story (shoulder), while the Mariners will be without J.P. Crawford (hand) and Julio Rodriguez (ankle). The pitching matchup features Logan Gilbert for the Mariners, who boasts a 2.72 ERA and 132 strikeouts, against Nick Pivetta of the Red Sox, who has a 4.50 ERA and 102 strikeouts.

Scan to Download the iOS App

Scan to Download the Android App

Get real-time odds and tips! Join KingPin on iOS or Android.

Player Prop Odds

For tonight's game, we are focusing on Wilyer Abreu of the Boston Red Sox. The following are the player prop odds for Abreu:

- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +280 / Under -425

- Batter Hits (0.5): Over -190 / Under +135

- Batter Home Runs (0.5): Over +475 / Under -900

- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +165 / Under -230

- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +120 / Under -165

- Batter Singles (0.5): Over +150 / Under -205

- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +125 / Under -165

Player Analysis

Wilyer Abreu has been a consistent performer for the Red Sox this season. With a batting average hovering around .250 and providing timely hits, he has proven to be a reliable option in the lineup. Abreu has shown the capability to get on base and score runs, making him a valuable player in prop betting scenarios.

Against right-handed pitchers like Logan Gilbert, Abreu has a decent track record. Gilbert's 2.72 ERA and 0.86 WHIP indicate a formidable opponent, but Abreu's ability to hit for contact and his speed on the bases could give him an edge in accumulating hits and total bases.

Opposing Analysis

Logan Gilbert has been one of the best pitchers for the Mariners this season. His 2.72 ERA and 132 strikeouts over 139 innings demonstrate his dominance on the mound. However, the Red Sox lineup, despite recent struggles, has the potential to cause trouble, especially with players like Jarren Duran and Tyler O'Neill who have been performing well lately.

Gilbert's primary challenge will be keeping the Red Sox hitters off balance. His ability to limit hits and walks will be crucial, but with the Red Sox's propensity for extra-base hits, Gilbert will need to be cautious with pitches left over the plate.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Logan Gilbert (SEA)	6-6	2.72	0.86	139.0	94	132	26	15
Nick Pivetta (BOS)	4-7	4.50	1.18	84.0	78	102	21	15

Unlock detailed analysis! Join KingPin on iOS or Android.

Team Previews

Seattle Mariners

Hitting: The Mariners have been strong offensively, ranking 3rd in hits (931) and 8th in runs scored (499). Their team batting average of .258 is also among the top in the league.

Relief Pitching: Seattle's bullpen has held its own, with 27 saves ranking 11th in MLB. Their overall ERA of 3.91 places them 13th in the league.

Fielding: Defensively, the Mariners have recorded 78 errors, the most in the league, indicating potential vulnerabilities in their fielding.

Starting Pitchers: Logan Gilbert leads the rotation with a 2.72 ERA and 132 strikeouts, showing he's a reliable ace for the team.

Boston Red Sox

Hitting: The Red Sox struggle offensively, ranking last in hits (761) and 28th in runs scored (412). Their team batting average is just .218, the second-lowest in MLB.

Relief Pitching: Boston's bullpen has been effective, with 29 saves ranking 8th in the league. They have the best team ERA (3.35) in MLB.

Fielding: Defensively, the Red Sox have committed 59 errors, ranking 9th in the league, showing a relatively strong defensive unit.

Starting Pitchers: Nick Pivetta has an ERA of 4.50 and 102 strikeouts, making him a middle-of-the-rotation pitcher for the Red Sox.

Team Injuries

Seattle Mariners

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Jorge Polanco	2B	Sun, Jul 28	Knee	Probable for Jul 29

Boston Red Sox

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Justin Slaten	RP	Sun, Jul 28	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
Vaughn Grissom	2B	Sun, Jul 28	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Aug 9

Recent Games

Stay updated on team performance. Join KingPin on iOS or Android.

Seattle Mariners

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	vs Houston	L3-0	52-47	Brown 8-6	Castillo 8-10	Hader 19	40948
Sat, Jul 20	vs Houston	L4-2	52-48	Scott 7-3	Stanek 6-3	Hader 20	38017
Sun, Jul 21	vs Houston	W6-4	53-48	Woo 4-1	Blanco 9-5	Munoz 16	35038
Mon, Jul 22	vs Los Angeles	L3-1	53-49	Garcia 5-1	Thornton 3-2	Estevez 19	22528
Tue, Jul 23	vs Los Angeles	L5-1	53-50	Soriano 6-7	Gilbert 6-6	NaN	26496
Wed, Jul 24	vs Los Angeles	L2-1	53-51	Crouse 4-0	Santos 0-1	Estevez 20	39953
Fri, Jul 26	@ Chicago	W10-0	54-51	Kirby 8-7	Thorpe 3-2	NaN	20170
Sat, Jul 27	@ Chicago	W6-3	55-51	Snider 1-1	Fedde 7-4	Munoz 17	21037
Sun, Jul 28	@ Chicago	W6-3	56-51	Miller 8-7	Crochet 6-8	Munoz 18	17100

Boston Red Sox

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19</