MLB Player Props Prediction: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/28
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 5:08:01 AM
MLB Player Props Prediction: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/28
Photo Credit: © Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Kansas City Royals (57-48, third in the AL Central) face off against the Chicago Cubs (50-56, fifth in the NL Central) in what promises to be a thrilling contest at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The game is set for Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 2:10 p.m. EDT. This matchup will determine the winner of the three-game series, with both teams having shown contrasting performances in the lead-up games.
Kansas City has been impressive at home, boasting a 36-21 record at Kauffman Stadium. With a team batting average of .251, they rank tenth in MLB, a testament to their potent offense. Bobby Witt Jr. has been a standout, hitting .342 with 18 home runs and 71 RBIs. Vinnie Pasquantino has also been in fine form, going 13-for-39 with a double and five RBIs over the past 10 games.
The Cubs, on the other hand, have struggled on the road with a 23-31 record. Despite this, they have shown power, winning 20 out of 26 games where they hit at least two home runs. Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki have been key contributors, with Happ hitting 16 home runs and Suzuki collecting 12 hits in his last 37 at-bats.
Both teams have shared the spoils in their last two meetings, making this final game crucial. The Royals have a slight edge with a better overall record and home advantage, but the Cubs will be looking to spoil the party.
Player Prop Odds
For today's game, here are the player prop odds for Vinnie Pasquantino:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+285)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+210)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-125)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-135)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+100)
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Player Analysis
Vinnie Pasquantino has been a consistent performer for the Royals, especially in recent games. Over his past 10 outings, he has posted a .333 batting average (13-for-39), highlighting his ability to get on base and drive in runs. His season batting average stands at .271, and he has contributed significantly with 18 home runs and 60 RBIs.
Pasquantino's propensity to hit doubles and collect total bases makes him an enticing option for today's player props. Given his current form and the odds, betting on Pasquantino to score at least one run or get more than 1.5 total bases could be a profitable move.
Opposing Analysis
Pasquantino will face Javier Assad, who has been solid for the Cubs this season. Assad has a 4-3 record with a 3.15 ERA and 81 strikeouts over 88.2 innings. However, Assad has been known to allow hits, as evidenced by his 1.38 WHIP. This could play into Pasquantino's favor, as he has a knack for finding gaps and getting on base.
The Cubs' bullpen has also been somewhat inconsistent, which could provide additional opportunities for Pasquantino later in the game. The Cubs' relief pitching ranks in the middle of the pack, making it a potential weak spot that the Royals' hitters can exploit.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 4-3 | 3.15 | 1.38 | 88.2 | 81 | 81 | 41 | 12 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 7-6 | 3.23 | 1.15 | 122.2 | 101 | 146 | 40 | 9 |
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Team Previews
Kansas City Royals
The Royals have been impressive at home and possess a potent offense. Bobby Witt Jr. is leading the charge with a .342 batting average, while Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino provide power and run production. The team ranks tenth in MLB with a .251 batting average.
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs have struggled on the road but have shown power with a 20-6 record in games where they hit at least two home runs. Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki are key contributors, but the team needs more consistency to improve their standings. The Cubs' bullpen and starting pitching have been decent, but they will need to step up against a strong Royals offense.
Team Injuries
Royals Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Melendez | C | Ankle | 10-Day IL |
| Dan Altavilla | RP | Oblique | 60-Day IL |
| Josh Taylor | RP | Biceps | 60-Day IL |
| Kyle Wright | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Cubs Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Nido | C | Knee | 10-Day IL |
| Ben Brown | RP | Neck | 60-Day IL |
| Luke Little | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Hayden Wesneski | SP | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
| Jordan Wicks | SP | Oblique | 60-Day IL |
| Cody Bellinger | OF | Finger | 10-Day IL |
| Colten Brewer | RP | Hand | 60-Day IL |
| Keegan Thompson | RP | Rib | 15-Day IL |
| Yency Almonte | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Adbert Alzolay | RP | Forearm | 60-Day IL |
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Royals Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | W7-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | W6-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | W4-1 | W |
| vs Arizona | W10-4 | W |
| vs Arizona | L6-2 | L |
Cubs Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Kansas City | L6-0 | L |
| @ Kansas City | W9-4 | W |
| vs Arizona | L5-2 | L |
| vs Arizona | L3-0 | L |
| vs Arizona | W2-1 F/10 | W |
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Prediction
Given Vinnie Pasquantino's recent form and the favorable odds, we recommend betting on him to score over 1.5 total bases (+100). He has been consistent in getting on base and driving runs, and with Javier Assad's tendency to allow hits, Pasquantino is likely to have a productive day at the plate.
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