MLB Player Props Play: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/30

A Plus Picks
Jul 30, 2024, 3:02:17 AM

Photo Credit: © Reggie Hildred-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Toronto Blue Jays are set to face the Baltimore Orioles on July 30 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup promises to be competitive, with both teams looking to improve their standings as the season progresses. The Blue Jays come into this game with a solid record of 63-44, while the Orioles are struggling at 50-57. Recently, the Blue Jays have shown strong offensive capabilities, ranking fourth in the league with 522 runs scored and sixth in hits with 915. In contrast, the Orioles have struggled offensively, ranking 25th in runs scored with only 430 and 24th in hits with 824. Historically, this rivalry has been closely contested, with the Blue Jays often holding the upper hand in recent matchups. Toronto's potent batting lineup features players like Anthony Santander, who leads the team in home runs and RBIs. Conversely, Baltimore will rely on standout performances from their young talents, including Colton Cowser. The starting pitching matchup features Corbin Burnes for the Blue Jays, boasting a 10-4 record and a remarkable 2.45 ERA, making him one of the top pitchers in the league. The Orioles will counter with Chris Bassitt, who has an 8-9 record and a 3.78 ERA. Given the current form of both teams and the implications of this game for playoff positioning, fans can expect an exciting showdown.

Player Prop Odds

Colton Cowser Player Props:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+380)
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+260)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+190)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-160)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-120)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+130)

Player Analysis

Colton Cowser has emerged as a promising player for the Baltimore Orioles this season. His ability to produce runs and get on base has been vital for the team's offensive efforts. Currently, Cowser has a batting average of .309 with a total of 69 RBIs and 21 home runs this season. His performance against right-handed pitchers has been particularly strong, providing a boost to the Orioles' lineup as they prepare to face Corbin Burnes, a top-tier starting pitcher. Cowser's ability to accumulate total bases is noteworthy; he has consistently been a threat at the plate, making him a viable candidate for player prop bets. With the odds favoring his over on total bases and hits, it's clear that oddsmakers see potential in his performance against a quality pitcher like Burnes.

Opposing Analysis

Facing Corbin Burnes, the Orioles will need to be strategic in their approach. Burnes has been exceptional this season, evident from his 2.45 ERA and 10 wins. He has shown the ability to strike out batters effectively, tallying 121 strikeouts over 132 innings pitched. However, he has allowed 15 home runs, which indicates that there are opportunities for hitters like Cowser to capitalize if they can make solid contact. The Orioles' offense has struggled against elite pitchers, but Cowser's rising star could change that narrative. If he can find a way to get on base early, it could set the tone for the rest of the lineup to follow suit.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Corbin Burnes (TOR)	10-4	2.45	121
Chris Bassitt (BAL)	8-9	3.78	112

Team Previews

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays have been one of the more formidable teams in the league this season, showcasing a powerful offense and solid pitching. Their batting average of .252 places them in the upper tier of Major League Baseball, while their 522 runs scored ranks them fourth overall. With a strong home record of 32-25, the Blue Jays are looking to capitalize on their recent success against division rivals.

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles are having a challenging season, currently sitting at 50-57 overall. Their offensive struggles are evident, with only 430 runs scored, ranking 25th in the league. They will need to find a way to generate more offense if they hope to compete in this matchup. Their pitching has also been a concern, with an ERA of 4.51, placing them 27th overall.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Jordan Romano	RP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
James McCann	C	Nose	Probable for Jul 30

Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
Detroit	L5-4	L
Detroit	L7-3	L
Detroit	W5-4	W
Tampa Bay	L4-2	L
Tampa Bay	W6-3	W

Prediction

Given Cowser's recent form and the Orioles' need for offensive production, the prop bet on Colton Cowser to score over 0.5 runs (-160) is a strong play. His consistency at the plate and ability to get on base make this a favorable bet. Additionally, considering Burnes' tendency to allow home runs, Cowser could also be a good candidate for over 1.5 total bases (+130).

Pick: Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Runs Scored (-160)

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