MLB Player Props Play: Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/29

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:15:09 AM
MLB Player Props Play: Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/29
Photo Credit: © Jeff Le-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Texas Rangers (51-55, third in the AL West) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (54-51, second in the NL Central) at Busch Stadium, St. Louis on Monday, at 7:45 p.m. EDT. The Rangers are looking to break a three-game road slide, having struggled to get their offense going. The Cardinals, on the other hand, have been strong at home with a 27-24 record and seek to capitalize on the Rangers' road woes.
Recent performances have been a mixed bag for both teams. The Cardinals have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games, hitting .243 with a 5.15 ERA and being outscored by 15 runs. Meanwhile, the Rangers have managed a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, posting a .229 batting average and a 4.80 ERA, while being outscored by nine runs.
This game marks the first meeting between these teams this season. Historically, the Cardinals have shown better form when they hit at least two home runs, going 18-10 in such games. The Rangers, who rank ninth in the AL with 111 total home runs, will need to find some power to stay competitive.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Lars Nootbaar:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+440)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-170)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+190)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+160)
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Player Analysis
Lars Nootbaar has been a vital component in the Cardinals' lineup. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player to watch in this matchup. Nootbaar has been consistent, especially in the latter part of the season, and his recent form suggests he could be a significant contributor against the Rangers.
Opposing Analysis
For pitching props, analyzing the Rangers' hitting is crucial. The Rangers have struggled on the road, as evidenced by their 22-32 record away from home. Their offense has been inconsistent, with a team batting average of .245, ranking 13th in the league. However, they do possess power hitters like Corey Seager, who leads the team with 19 home runs. The Rangers' ability to score runs often depends on timely hits and getting runners on base.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 7-4 | 3.31 | 104 |
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 4-4 | 3.92 | 44 |
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Team Previews
Texas Rangers
The Rangers have had an up-and-down season with a 51-55 record. Offensively, they have struggled to consistently put runs on the board, ranking 24th in the league with 433 runs. Their team batting average stands at .245, placing them 13th overall. Power has been a bright spot, with 111 home runs, but timely hitting remains a challenge.
Pitching has been average, with a team ERA of 4.09, which ranks 19th. Nathan Eovaldi has been a standout with a 3.31 ERA and 104 strikeouts. The bullpen has also played a crucial role, with 37 saves, the second-most in the league. However, the Rangers have been prone to committing errors, with 46 errors ranking them 26th in fielding.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals have been slightly better, holding a 54-51 record. They rank 18th in runs scored with 452 runs and have a batting average of .240, which places them 18th overall. The team has shown potential for power, especially in games where they hit multiple home runs.
Pitching-wise, the Cardinals have an ERA of 4.05, ranking 16th. Andre Pallante has been reliable with a 3.92 ERA, but the team will need more consistent outings from their starters. Their bullpen has struggled, with just 22 saves, ranking them 24th. Defensively, they have committed 45 errors, placing them 27th in fielding.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Winn | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Evan Carter | OF | 10-Day IL (lumbar) |
| Cody Bradford | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Austin Pruitt | RP | 60-Day IL (knee) |
| Joshua Jung | 3B | 60-Day IL (wrist) |
| Tyler Mahle | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jacob deGrom | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Carson Coleman | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Keynan Middleton | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Nick Robertson | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Riley O'Brien | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Tommy Edman | SS | 60-Day IL (wrist) |
| Drew Rom | RP | 60-Day IL (biceps) |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Baltimore | L 9-1 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Baltimore | L 8-4 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Baltimore | W 3-2 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Chicago | W 4-3 F/10 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Chicago | W 3-2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Atlanta | Postponed | P |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Atlanta | L 3-2 F/10 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Atlanta | W 9-5 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Atlanta | W 6-2 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Pittsburgh | L 2-1 | L |
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Prediction
Given Lars Nootbaar's recent form and the Rangers' struggles on the road, betting on Nootbaar's player props seems like a solid choice. Specifically, the Over 0.5 Hits prop at -170 is appealing, considering Nootbaar's ability to get on base. Additionally, the Over 0.5 Total Bases at +160 offers good value given his potential to hit for extra bases.
Pick: Over 0.5 Total Bases (+160)
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