MLB Player Props Play: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/28
- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 2:28:05 AM
MLB Player Props Play: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/28
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Photo Credit: © Owen Ziliak/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK
Game Summary
Tonight, the Pittsburgh Pirates take on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. This highly anticipated matchup will feature Yilber Diaz on the mound for the Pirates and Mitch Keller for the Diamondbacks. The game, set to begin at 4:10 PM, promises to be a thrilling contest between two competitive teams.
The Pirates come into this game with a record of 55-50, placing them 12th overall in the league. They have won 54 games and lost 50. The Diamondbacks, with a record of 52-52, sit at 17th place. Both teams have displayed strong performances recently, but the Pirates have had a slight edge.
Historically, the Pirates have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning 8 out of the last 10 games against the Diamondbacks. This season, the Pirates have shown strong hitting capabilities, ranking 8th in hits and 3rd in runs scored, while the Diamondbacks have struggled offensively, ranking 26th in hits and 23rd in runs scored.
However, the Diamondbacks' pitching has been more consistent, with an ERA of 3.78 compared to the Pirates' 4.49. Both teams are looking to solidify their standings and make a push for the playoffs, making this game crucial for both sides.
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Player Prop Odds
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Connor Joe:
- Batter Doubles Over 0.5: +360
- Batter Doubles Under 0.5: -575
- Batter Hits Over 0.5: -190
- Batter Hits Under 0.5: +140
- Batter RBIs Over 0.5: +210
- Batter RBIs Under 0.5: -300
- Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5: +150
- Batter Runs Scored Under 0.5: -205
- Batter Singles Over 0.5: +105
- Batter Singles Under 0.5: -140
- Batter Total Bases Over 0.5: -190
- Batter Total Bases Under 0.5: +140
Player Analysis
Connor Joe has been a solid contributor for the Pirates this season. With a batting average of .252, he has amassed 16 home runs and 52 RBIs. Joe's ability to get on base and drive in runs has been instrumental for the Pirates' offense.
His recent performances have shown consistency, and he has been particularly effective against right-handed pitchers, boasting a .275 average against them. Joe's speed and base-running ability also make him a threat to score runs, which is reflected in the odds for him scoring a run in tonight's game.
Opposing Analysis
Mitch Keller, the probable starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, has been impressive this season with a 10-5 record and a 3.34 ERA. Keller has shown excellent control and strikeout ability, with 108 strikeouts over 121.1 innings pitched.
However, Keller has been more vulnerable at home, where his ERA rises slightly. The Pirates' hitters, including Connor Joe, will look to exploit this and capitalize on any mistakes Keller might make. The Diamondbacks' bullpen has also been inconsistent, which could provide opportunities for Joe and the Pirates' offense.
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (ARI) | 10-5 | 3.34 | 108 |
| Yilber Diaz (PIT) | 1-1 | 5.40 | 7 |
Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 8th in hits and 3rd in runs scored. They have a team batting average of .253 and have shown the ability to come through in clutch situations. Their starting pitching has been inconsistent, but their bullpen has been reliable.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have struggled offensively, ranking 26th in hits and 23rd in runs scored. Their team batting average of .232 reflects their struggles at the plate. However, their pitching has been a strength, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking 11th in the league. Their bullpen has also been effective, ranking 14th in saves.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 2B | Groin | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 1B | Back | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Jared Jones | SP | Lat | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Recent Games
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Philadelphia | W 8-7 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Philadelphia | W 4-1 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Philadelphia | L 6-0 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs St. Louis | W 2-1 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs St. Louis | L 2-1 | L |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Chicago | W 5-2 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Chicago | W 3-0 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Chicago | L 2-1 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Kansas City | L 10-4 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Kansas City | W 6-2 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Connor Joe Over 0.5 Total Bases
Reasoning: Given Connor Joe's consistent performance and the Diamondbacks' vulnerability at home, Joe is likely to get at least one hit in tonight's game. The odds of -190 for over 0.5 total bases present a favorable betting opportunity.
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