MLB Player Props Play: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 26, 2024, 11:11:18 AM
MLB Player Props Play: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
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Photo Credit: © Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The New York Yankees will visit the Boston Red Sox to start a three-game series at Fenway Park on Friday, July 26, 2024. The game is set to begin at 7:10 p.m. EDT. The New York Yankees, currently standing at 60-44, are second in the AL East, while the Boston Red Sox, with a record of 54-47, are third in the same division. This game promises to be an exciting matchup as both teams have been performing well.
In their last 10 games, the Yankees have gone 4-6 with a .244 batting average and a 3.98 ERA, being outscored by just one run. On the other hand, the Red Sox have also gone 4-6 in their last 10 games, with a .289 batting average and a 4.88 ERA, but have been outscored by seven runs. The Red Sox lead the season series 4-2 against the Yankees.
The Yankees' offense has been powered by players like Juan Soto, who has 26 home runs, 82 walks, and 72 RBIs while batting .311. Gleyber Torres has been in good form recently with 11 hits in his last 35 at-bats, including two doubles and two home runs. For the Red Sox, Jarren Duran has been a standout performer with 30 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs. Tyler O'Neill has also been impressive, going 13-for-42 with two doubles and four home runs over the past 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
For Tyler O'Neill, the following prop odds are available:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +310
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +280
- Batter Home Runs (0.5): Over +390
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +125
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Yes -140
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over +120
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +115
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Player Analysis: Tyler O'Neill
Tyler O'Neill has been a key player for the Red Sox, particularly in the last 10 games where he has gone 13-for-42 with two doubles and four home runs. His recent form indicates that he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact. Tyler's season stats include an impressive number of extra-base hits, and he has shown power with four home runs in his last 10 games.
Given these stats, the prop bet for Tyler O'Neill to hit a home run (0.5) at +390 odds looks enticing. Additionally, considering his recent form, the over on total bases (1.5) at +115 also seems like a good value bet.
Opposing Analysis
For the Yankees, Nestor Cortes will be the starting pitcher. Cortes has a record of 4-9 with a 3.99 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. He has allowed 19 home runs over 119.2 innings pitched this season. While Cortes has shown the ability to limit base runners with a low WHIP, he is prone to giving up home runs, which could play into O'Neill's favor for the home run prop.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 4-9 | 3.99 | 1.16 | 119.2 | 115 | 111 | 24 | 19 |
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 10-5 | 5.27 | 1.44 | 95.2 | 104 | 92 | 34 | 15 |
Team Previews
New York Yankees
The Yankees have been strong on the road with a 33-21 record. Their hitters have a collective .331 on-base percentage, the third-best in the majors. Juan Soto has been a standout with 26 home runs and a .311 batting average. The Yankees' pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.80, ranked 12th in the league.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox have a 54-47 record overall and are 24-25 at home. They have hit 121 total home runs, ranking fourth in the AL. Jarren Duran has been a key contributor with 30 doubles and 13 home runs. Boston's pitching staff has struggled at times, with a team ERA of 4.88 over the last 10 games.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | Thu, Jul 25 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| Nick Burdi | RP | Thu, Jul 25 | Hip | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triston Casas | 1B | Thu, Jul 25 | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | Thu, Jul 25 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
Recent Games
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| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L | Win | Loss | Save | Attendance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Tampa Bay | W6-1 | 59-40 | Cole 3-1 | Eflin 5-7 | NaN | 47036 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Tampa Bay | L9-1 | 59-41 | Bradley 5-4 | Cortes 4-9 | NaN | 43173 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Tampa Bay | L6-4 | 59-42 | Cleavinger 6-2 | Stroman 7-5 | Fairbanks 18 | 45178 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Tampa Bay | W9-1 | 60-42 | Rodon 10-7 | Littell 3-7 | NaN | 40824 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs New York | L3-2 | 60-43 | Quintana 5-6 | Tonkin 3-4 | Diekman 4 | 47453 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs New York | L12-3 | 60-44 | Ottavino 2-2 | Cole 3-2 | NaN | 48760 |
| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L | Win | Loss | Save | Attendance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Los Angeles | L4-1 | 53-43 | Yarbrough 4-2 | Bernardino 3-3 | Hudson 5 | 51562 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Los Angeles | L7-6 F/11 | 53-44 | Treinen 3-2 | Weissert 2-2 | NaN | 48129 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Los Angeles | L9-6 | 53-45 | Paxton 8-2 | Crawford 6-8 | Hudson 6 | 50824 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Colorado | L9-8 F/12 | 53-46 | Lawrence 3-3 | Horn 0-1 | NaN | 35261 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Colorado | W6-0 | 54-46 | Criswell 4-4 | Blach 3-6 | NaN | 36553 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Colorado | L20-7 | 54-47 | Quantrill 7-7 | Pivetta 4-7 | NaN | 36579 |
Prediction
Considering Tyler O'Neill's recent form and the tendency of Nestor Cortes to allow home runs, the prop bet for Tyler O'Neill to hit a home run (0.5) at +390 odds seems to be a value play. Additionally, the over on total bases (1.5) at +115 is another good bet given O'Neill's ability to hit for extra bases.
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