MLB Player Props Picks: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/27

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 27, 2024, 9:35:01 AM
MLB Player Props Picks: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/27
Photo Credit: © Jeff Le-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Washington Nationals (48-56, fourth in the NL East) are set to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (53-50, second in the NL Central) at Busch Stadium in St. Louis on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 7:15 p.m. EDT. The Nationals currently lead the series 1-0, following a 10-8 victory in extra innings.
The Cardinals, with a home record of 26-23, will look to bounce back. St. Louis hitters are collectively batting .245, ranking eighth in the National League. Washington, meanwhile, has a 25-29 record on the road and has shown resilience when scoring at least five runs, boasting a 34-13 record in such games.
Historically, the Cardinals have a slight edge in the season series, leading 3-2. The Nationals, however, are coming off a recent stretch where they have won six out of their last ten games, despite being outscored by nine runs. The Cardinals are 5-5 in their last ten games, with a batting average of .266 and an ERA of 4.14, outscoring their opponents by four runs.
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Player Prop Odds
For Juan Yepez, here are the player prop odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+350.0)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+240.0)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130.0)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+100.0)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-140.0)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+130.0)
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Player Analysis: Juan Yepez
Juan Yepez has been a bright spot for the Cardinals recently, going 16-for-38 with five doubles and two home runs over the last ten games. With a batting average of .288 and a solid OPS, Yepez has demonstrated his ability to be a consistent hitter. His recent performance suggests he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact, making the over on his prop bets appealing.
Opposing Analysis: Washington Nationals Pitching
The Nationals will start Jake Irvin, who has a record of 7-8 with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 123 innings. Irvin has been effective but not dominant, allowing 105 hits and 29 walks while striking out 106. The Nationals' bullpen has been shaky, with a team ERA of 4.00 and ranking 17th overall. This could provide opportunities for Yepez to capitalize, especially in the later innings.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Irvin (WAS) | 7-8 | 3.44 | 1.09 | 123.0 | 105 | 106 | 29 | 16 |
| K. Gibson (STL) | 7-3 | 3.99 | 1.32 | 108.1 | 100 | 102 | 43 | 13 |
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Team Previews
Washington Nationals
The Nationals have had a mixed season. Their hitting stats show a collective .245 batting average, ranking 14th in the league. They have hit 859 times, scored 426 runs, and their bullpen leads the league with 37 saves. However, their ERA of 4.00 places them 17th, and their fielding percentage with 46 errors ranks 26th.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals have also had an up-and-down season. They have a batting average of .237, ranking 19th, with 815 hits and 433 runs. Their bullpen has 29 saves, ranking 8th, but their ERA of 4.22 and fielding percentage with 59 errors pose challenges. Despite these, they maintain a competitive record, thanks to solid contributions from players like Yepez.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Weems | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Lower Leg | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| C. Cavalli | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 15 |
| R. O'Brien | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
Recent Games
Washington Nationals
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Cincinnati | W8-5 | 45-53 | Corbin 2-9 | Montas 4-8 | Finnegan 26 | 38402 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Cincinnati | W5-4 | 46-53 | Law 6-2 | Wilson 1-2 | Finnegan 27 | 32734 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Cincinnati | W5-2 | 47-53 | Garcia 2-3 | Sims 1-4 | Finnegan 28 | 23967 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs San Diego | L4-0 | 47-54 | Vasquez 3-5 | Herz 1-4 | NaN | 20749 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs San Diego | L12-3 | 47-55 | Waldron 6-9 | Parker 5-6 | NaN | 23323 |
St. Louis Cardinals
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Atlanta | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Atlanta | L3-2 F/10 | 50-47 | Johnson 3-1 | Roycroft 1-2 | NaN | 37042 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Atlanta | W9-5 | 51-47 | Gray 10-6 | Elder 1-4 | Leahy 1 | 42168 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Atlanta | W6-2 | 52-47 | Mikolas 8-8 | Schwellenbach 3-5 | NaN | 36348 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Pittsburgh | L2-1 | 52-48 | Chapman 2-4 | King 3-2 | Bednar 18 | 18970 |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Juan Yepez (+130.0)
Given Juan Yepez's recent hot streak and the Nationals' shakiness in both starting and relief pitching, the over on 1.5 total bases for Yepez at +130.0 odds looks like a solid value. His ability to collect extra-base hits and the favorable matchup against Jake Irvin and the Nationals' bullpen make this prop bet particularly enticing.
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