Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers

Photo Credit: © John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Detroit Tigers (51-53, fourth in the AL Central) will host the Minnesota Twins (56-45, second in the AL Central) at Comerica Park on Friday, July 26, 2024, at 6:40 PM EDT. This matchup marks the beginning of a three-game series between these division rivals. Both teams have been competitive this season, with the Tigers aiming to close the gap in the standings.

Detroit has maintained a balanced record both at home (24-24) and overall. They have shown considerable slugging power with a collective .388 slugging percentage, ranking ninth in the AL. Colt Keith and Justyn-Henry Malloy have been key contributors, with Keith posting 10 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs, and 38 RBIs, while Malloy is coming off a hot streak, going 9-for-31 with a triple and two home runs in his last 10 games.

The Twins, on the other hand, have a solid 27-24 record on the road. Their offense has been potent, as evidenced by their 40-8 record in games where they score five or more runs. Ryan Jeffers leads the team with 14 home runs and a .454 slugging percentage. Byron Buxton has also been impressive, batting .357 with five doubles, three home runs, and six RBIs over his last 10 games.

The season series between these teams is currently tied at 5-5, making this game crucial for both sides as they look to gain an edge.

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Player Prop Odds

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Riley Greene Player Prop Odds:

• Batter Doubles: 0.5 - Over Odds: +370
• Batter Hits: 1.5 - Over Odds: +280
• Batter RBIs: 0.5 - Over Odds: +180
• Batter Runs Scored: 0.5 - Over Odds: +110
• Batter Singles: 0.5 - Over Odds: -105
• Batter Total Bases: 1.5 - Over Odds: +130

Player Analysis

Riley Greene has been a standout performer for the Tigers this season. Currently batting .264, Greene has accumulated 17 home runs and 51 RBIs, making him a key offensive weapon for Detroit. Over the past 10 games, Greene has shown consistency, contributing significantly to the team's offensive output.

Greene's ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset for player prop bets. His recent form suggests that he is likely to continue his strong performance against the Twins. Given his current odds, the over on his prop bets, particularly for hits and total bases, looks promising.

Opposing Analysis

The Minnesota Twins will be starting Pablo Lopez, who has had an up-and-down season with an 8-7 record, a 4.86 ERA, and a 1.15 WHIP. Lopez has shown flashes of brilliance but has also been susceptible to giving up hits. Over 111 innings pitched, he has allowed 104 hits and 18 home runs, which could play into Greene’s favor.

The Twins’ bullpen has also been inconsistent, ranking 14th in the league with a 3.89 ERA. This could provide additional opportunities for Greene to capitalize and increase his total bases and RBIs in this matchup.

Pitching Probables

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Team Previews

Minnesota Twins

The Twins have been a solid all-around team this season. Offensively, they rank 19th in the league in hits (813) and 16th in runs scored (445). Their team batting average of .233 ranks 24th. Defensively, they have a respectable 3.89 ERA (14th) and have committed 59 errors, ranking 8th in the league. Their bullpen has been reliable, with 23 saves, placing them 21st in the league.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers have shown more offensive firepower, ranking 10th in hits (867) and 7th in runs scored (489). They have a team batting average of .252, which is 8th in the league. However, their pitching has been less consistent, with a team ERA of 4.11, ranking 19th. Their defense has been relatively steady, committing 49 errors (22nd). The bullpen has been a strength, with 30 saves, ranking 7th in the league.

Team Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Byron Buxton	CF	Forearm	Probable for Jul 26
Kody Funderburk	RP	Oblique	Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
Carlos Correa	SS	Foot	10-Day IL
Chris Paddack	SP	Forearm	15-Day IL
Jose Miranda	3B	Back	10-Day IL
Kyle Farmer	IF	Shoulder	10-Day IL
Royce Lewis	SS	Abductor	10-Day IL
Alex Kirilloff	OF	Back	10-Day IL
Justin Topa	RP	Knee	60-Day IL
Daniel Duarte	RP	Tricep	60-Day IL
Anthony DeSclafani	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Detroit Tigers

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Kerry Carpenter	OF	Spine	60-Day IL
Reese Olson	SP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Parker Meadows	CF	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
Casey Mize	SP	Hamstring	15-Day IL
Sawyer Gipson-Long	RP	Groin	60-Day IL

Recent Games

Minnesota Twins

Opponent	Score	Result
vs Milwaukee	4-8	L
vs Milwaukee	7-8	L
vs Philadelphia	7-2	W
vs Philadelphia	0-3	L
vs Philadelphia	5-4	W

Detroit Tigers

Opponent	Score	Result
@ Toronto	5-4	W
@ Toronto	7-3	W
@ Toronto	4-5	L
@ Cleveland	8-2	W
@ Cleveland	4-5	L

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Prediction

Given Riley Greene's recent hot streak and Pablo Lopez's tendency to give up hits, the over on Greene's total bases prop bet at +130 looks like a sound pick. Additionally, with the Tigers' offense performing well and Greene being a central figure, the over on his RBIs at +180 is also a strong consideration.

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