MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Twins vs Tigers - 7/26

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 26, 2024, 9:19:44 AM
MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Twins vs Tigers - 7/26
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Game Summary
The Minnesota Twins will visit the Detroit Tigers to open a three-game series at Comerica Park in Detroit on Friday, July 26, 2025. The game is scheduled to start at 6:40 p.m. EDT. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they are vying for better standings in the AL Central. The Twins come into this game with a 56-45 record, sitting second in the AL Central. The Tigers are close behind with a 51-53 record, placing them fourth in the division.
In their recent performances, the Tigers have been relatively strong, going 6-4 in their last 10 games with a batting average of .245 and an ERA of 3.58, outscoring their opponents by 13 runs. On the other hand, the Twins have struggled, going 4-6 in their last 10 games with a .216 batting average and a 3.70 ERA, being outscored by eight runs.
Historically, these teams have met 10 times this season, with the series currently tied at 5-5. The Tigers have a balanced record at home (24-24), while the Twins have been slightly better on the road (27-24). This game promises to be a tight contest, given the season-long rivalry between these teams. Additionally, the Tigers' hitters have shown prowess with a collective .388 slugging percentage, ranking ninth in the AL, while the Twins have a solid track record of winning games when they score five or more runs, boasting a 40-8 record in such scenarios.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are some prop odds for Justyn-Henry Malloy:
- Batter Doubles 0.5 - Over: +450
- Batter Hits 0.5 - Over: -150
- Batter RBIs 0.5 - Over: +200
- Batter Runs Scored 0.5 - Over: +145
- Batter Singles 0.5 - Over: +120
- Batter Total Bases 1.5 - Over: +180
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Player Analysis
Justyn-Henry Malloy has been a bright spot for the Tigers recently. Over his last 10 games, he is 9-for-31, which includes a triple and two home runs. This showcases his ability to get on base and also hit for power. Malloy's performance will be crucial for the Tigers as they look to gain an advantage over the Twins.
Opposing Analysis
The Twins will be sending Pablo Lopez to the mound. Lopez has an 8-7 record with a 4.86 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over 111 innings. He has struck out 128 batters while walking 24. While Lopez has shown moments of brilliance, he has also been prone to giving up runs, having allowed 18 home runs this season. This could be an opportunity for Malloy to capitalize, especially given his recent form.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 8-7 | 4.86 | 1.15 | 111.0 | 104 | 128 | 24 | 18 |
| Keider Montero (DET) | 1-3 | 5.97 | 1.39 | 31.2 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 7 |
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Team Previews
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have been solid overall with a record of 56-45. They have a balanced team with strengths in both hitting and pitching. Their team stats include:
- Hits: 813 (19th)
- Runs: 445 (Tied-16th)
- Avg: .233 (24th)
- Saves: 23 (Tied-21st)
- ERA: 3.89 (14th)
- Errors: 59 (Tied-8th)
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers, with a 51-53 record, have shown flashes of brilliance but have also been inconsistent. Their team stats highlight their hitting prowess:
- Hits: 867 (10th)
- Runs: 489 (7th)
- Avg: .252 (8th)
- Saves: 30 (7th)
- ERA: 4.11 (19th)
- Errors: 49 (Tied-22nd)
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | CF | day-to-day (forearm) |
| Kody Funderburk | RP | 15-Day IL (oblique) |
| Carlos Correa | SS | 10-Day IL (foot) |
| Chris Paddack | SP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Jose Miranda | 3B | 10-Day IL (back) |
| Kyle Farmer | IF | 10-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Royce Lewis | SS | 10-Day IL (abductor) |
| Alex Kirilloff | 1B | 10-Day IL (back) |
| Justin Topa | RP | 60-Day IL (knee) |
| Daniel Duarte | RP | 60-Day IL (tricep) |
| Anthony DeSclafani | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter | OF | 60-Day IL (spine) |
| Reese Olson | SP | 15-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Parker Meadows | CF | 10-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Casey Mize | SP | 15-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | RP | 60-Day IL (groin) |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Milwaukee | L8-4 F/12 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Milwaukee | L8-7 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Philadelphia | W7-2 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Philadelphia | L3-0 | L |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Philadelphia | W5-4 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Toronto | W5-4 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Toronto | W7-3 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Toronto | L5-4 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Cleveland | W8-2 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Cleveland | L5-4 | L |
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Prediction
Considering Justyn-Henry Malloy's recent form and the vulnerabilities of Pablo Lopez, our expert pick is for Malloy to go over 0.5 hits at -150 odds. Malloy has been consistent at the plate and Lopez has been prone to giving up hits and home runs.
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Photo Credit: © Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
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