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MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/29

MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/29
Photo Credit: © John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Toronto Blue Jays, currently holding a 49-56 record and sitting fifth in the AL East, will be taking on the Baltimore Orioles, who boast an impressive 62-43 record, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on July 29, 2024, at 3:05 p.m. EDT. The Blue Jays come into this matchup riding a three-game win streak, while the Orioles aim to solidify their position at the top of the AL East.
Baltimore has performed well at home with a 31-24 record and an overall .315 on-base percentage, ranking them fifth in the AL. Toronto, on the other hand, has struggled on the road with a 23-28 record but has shown resilience by winning 16 out of 23 games when they did not allow a home run.
The season series between these two teams is tied at 3-3, making this game a crucial one for both sides. The Orioles have been led by Anthony Santander, who has 16 doubles, two triples, 29 home runs, and 68 RBIs while hitting .240. Colton Cowser has been in good form recently, going 12-for-36 with two doubles and two home runs in the past 10 games. For the Blue Jays, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a standout performer, hitting .301 with 22 doubles and 19 home runs, while George Springer has contributed with a .244 average, 10-for-41 with a double and three home runs over the last 10 games.
The Orioles are 5-5 in their last 10 games, hitting .246 with a 4.70 ERA, while the Blue Jays are 6-4, hitting .269 but with a higher 5.40 ERA. Injuries remain a concern for both teams, with the Orioles missing players like Jorge Mateo and Kyle Bradish, while the Blue Jays are without Jordan Romano and Bo Bichette.
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Player Prop Odds
Spencer Horwitz Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+355), Under 0.5 (-604)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+219), Under 0.5 (-324)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+126), Under 0.5 (-174)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-127), Under 0.5 (-108)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+139), Under 1.5 (-194)
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Player Analysis: Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz has been a reliable hitter for the Toronto Blue Jays this season. While not a power hitter, Horwitz has shown his ability to get on base and contribute to the team's offense. With a .301 batting average, he has been consistent at the plate and has a knack for finding gaps in the defense. His ability to hit singles and occasionally get extra-base hits makes him a versatile player in the lineup.
Horwitz's recent form has been solid, and he will be looking to make an impact against the Orioles. His prop odds for tonight’s game reflect his capabilities, with an over/under of 0.5 for doubles, RBIs, and runs scored. Given his recent performance and the Blue Jays' need for a strong offensive showing, Horwitz could be a key player to watch.
Opposing Analysis: Baltimore Orioles
Facing Spencer Horwitz and the Toronto Blue Jays will be Zach Eflin of the Baltimore Orioles. Eflin has a 5-7 record with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 110 innings pitched this season. He has allowed 115 hits and struck out 87 batters while walking 13 and giving up 14 home runs.
The Orioles' pitching staff has been solid, but they have shown vulnerability against contact hitters like Horwitz. Eflin will need to be precise with his pitches to avoid giving Horwitz easy opportunities to get on base or drive in runs. The Orioles’ defense will also need to be on point to back up their pitcher and limit the Blue Jays' scoring chances.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 1-3 | 3.69 | 1.26 | 39.0 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 3 |
| Zach Eflin (BAL) | 5-7 | 4.09 | 1.16 | 110.0 | 115 | 87 | 13 | 14 |
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Team Previews
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have a solid lineup, led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer. They rank sixth in the league with 915 hits and fourth with 522 runs, boasting a team batting average of .252. Their pitching staff has also been reliable, with a collective ERA of 3.79, ranking eighth in the league.
However, they have struggled defensively, committing 51 errors, which is tied for 20th in the league. Their relief pitching has been a mixed bag, and they will need their bullpen to step up against a potent Orioles lineup.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have been one of the top teams in the AL East this season. They rank fifth in the league with a .315 on-base percentage. Anthony Santander has been their standout performer, and the team has shown resilience in close games.
Despite their strong record, the Orioles' pitching staff has been inconsistent, with a team ERA of 4.51, ranking 27th. They have committed 58 errors, which is tied for 12th in the league. Their hitting has been decent, but they will need to improve their overall performance to maintain their lead in the division.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Romano | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Bo Bichette | SS | Calf | 10-Day IL |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 3B | Knee | 10-Day IL |
| Alek Manoah | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
Recent Games
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit | L 5-4 | L |
| vs Detroit | L 7-3 | L |
| vs Detroit | W 5-4 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | L 4-2 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | W 6-3 | W |
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | W 9-1 | W |
| @ Texas | W 8-4 | W |
| @ Texas | L 3-2 | L |
| @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
| @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
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Prediction
Pick: Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Given Spencer Horwitz's recent form and his ability to get on base, the odds of +139 for him to achieve over 1.5 total bases are appealing. With Zach Eflin's tendency to give up hits (115 in 110 innings), Horwitz has a favorable matchup to potentially exceed this mark. The Blue Jays will be counting on his consistency, and he is well-positioned to deliver against the Orioles' pitching staff.
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