MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/28

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 12:35:00 AM
MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/28
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Game Summary
Tonight, the Texas Rangers will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. This matchup takes place on July 28, 2024, and marks the culmination of a three-game series between these two teams. The Rangers currently hold a record of 48-56, whereas the Blue Jays enter this contest with a record of 51-54.
The Texas Rangers have struggled this season, ranking 27th in hits (800) and 26th in runs scored (416). Their batting average of .236 is 21st in the league, and they have an overall team ERA of 4.54, placing them 27th among MLB teams. The Rangers are coming off a series of mixed results, including a recent loss to the Blue Jays in the second game of the series.
On the other hand, the Toronto Blue Jays have shown slightly better form this season, ranking 16th in hits (840) and 18th in runs (446). Their average of .240 is 17th, and they possess a solid team ERA of 3.99. The Blue Jays are looking to capitalize on their home-field advantage as they attempt to turn around their disappointing season.
The matchup will feature Texas Rangers pitcher Jon Gray (5-4, 3.73 ERA) against Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios (8-8, 4.08 ERA). Both pitchers have been inconsistent but possess the potential to deliver strong performances. Recent matchups between these teams have typically been competitive, and tonight's game promises to deliver more of the same excitement.
Player Prop Odds
For Kevin Kiermaier, the following player prop odds are available:
- Batter Doubles: 0.5 - No (+450), Over (-800)
- Batter Hits: 0.5 - Yes (-140), Under (+105)
- Batter RBIs: 0.5 - Yes (+300), No (-475)
- Batter Runs Scored: 0.5 - Yes (+185), No (-260)
- Batter Singles: 0.5 - Yes (+125), No (-170)
- Batter Total Bases: 0.5 - Yes (-140), No (+105)
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Player Analysis
Kevin Kiermaier has been a steady contributor for the Blue Jays this season. His batting average of .282 indicates he has been effective at the plate, and he leads the team in home runs with 19. Kiermaier's ability to get on base is evident, making him a valuable asset in the lineup. With a total of 53 RBIs, he is known for driving in runs and scoring himself when on base. His recent form shows that he has been finding gaps in the defense, which could bode well for him tonight against a struggling Rangers’ pitching staff.
Opposing Analysis
The Texas Rangers' pitching staff has been inconsistent this year, with a team ERA of 4.54. Jon Gray, who takes the mound tonight, has shown flashes of brilliance but has also been prone to giving up runs. With an ERA of 3.73, Gray has the potential to limit damage, but he has been vulnerable to giving up extra-base hits. The Rangers' defense has also been shaky, with 57 errors this season, which could lead to additional scoring opportunities for Kiermaier and the Blue Jays.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Gray (TEX) | 5-4 | 3.73 | 78 |
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 8-8 | 4.08 | 92 |
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Team Previews
Texas Rangers
The Rangers have a total of 800 hits this season, ranking them 27th in MLB. Their offensive struggles are evident with a batting average of .236 and 416 runs scored, both ranking near the bottom of the league. Their pitching has not been much better, as they hold a 4.54 ERA, placing them 27th in the league. With key injuries to pitchers like Jacob deGrom, their rotation remains a concern as they face a competitive Blue Jays lineup.
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays' offense has put together 840 hits, good for 16th in the league. Their batting average of .240 is mediocre, but they have managed to score 446 runs, ranking 18th. Their pitching has been solid, featuring a team ERA of 3.99. The return of players like Kiermaier has been crucial as they look to build on their recent success. The Blue Jays will look to take advantage of their home-field advantage in this matchup.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| Austin Pruitt | RP | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
| Evan Carter | LF | Back | Expected to be out until at least Aug 15 |
| Cody Bradford | SP | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
| Jordan Romano | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Sep 6 |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | vs Baltimore | L 9-1 | 46-51 |
| Jul 20 | vs Baltimore | L 8-4 | 46-52 |
| Jul 21 | vs Baltimore | W 3-2 | 47-52 |
| Jul 22 | vs Chicago | W 4-3 F/10 | 48-52 |
| Jul 23 | vs Chicago | W 3-2 | 49-52 |
| Jul 24 | vs Chicago | W 10-2 | 50-52 |
| Jul 25 | @ Toronto | L 6-5 | 51-53 |
| Jul 26 | @ Toronto | L 7-3 | 51-54 |
| Jul 28 | @ Toronto | 1:37 PM | Gray vs Berrios |
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Prediction
Given Kevin Kiermaier's recent form and the current state of the Rangers' pitching, I predict that Kiermaier will have at least one hit tonight. Thus, my pick is:
Pick: Over 0.5 Hits (-140)
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