MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/27

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 27, 2024, 1:09:24 AM
MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/27
Photo Credit: © Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
On July 27th, the Texas Rangers will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. The Rangers come into this matchup with a 47-56 record, struggling to find consistency in their season. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are slightly better off with a 51-53 record, but they too have faced significant challenges. This game is crucial for both teams as they look to gain momentum in the latter part of the season.
The Rangers have had a rough patch recently, losing to the Baltimore Orioles in two out of their last three games, but managed to sweep the Chicago White Sox in a four-game series. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have also been inconsistent, losing two out of three games to the Detroit Tigers before rebounding with a win against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Historically, these two teams have had competitive matchups. In their last outing on July 26, the Blue Jays narrowly edged out the Rangers with a 6-5 victory. Both teams are vying for a win to improve their standings in their respective divisions and to build a winning streak.
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Player Prop Odds
For Michael Lorenzen to record a win: No (-304), Yes (+208)
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Player Analysis
Michael Lorenzen has put up solid numbers for the Blue Jays this season. With a 5-5 record, a 3.53 ERA, and a 1.24 WHIP over 97 innings pitched, Lorenzen has been a reliable arm for Toronto. He has struck out 73 batters while walking 46, showcasing decent control and strikeout ability. Lorenzen's performance will be crucial for the Blue Jays as they look to secure a win against the Rangers.
Opposing Analysis
The Rangers' lineup will be a test for Lorenzen. Texas has struggled offensively this season, ranking 27th in hits (788) and runs (410), with a team batting average of .235. However, they have the potential to break out at any moment. Key players like Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who leads the team with a .297 batting average, 18 home runs, and 62 RBIs, will be pivotal in challenging Lorenzen's pitching.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lorenzen (TOR) | 5-5 | 3.53 | 73 |
| Kevin Gausman (TEX) | 8-8 | 4.55 | 109 |
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Team Previews
Texas Rangers
Hitting: The Rangers have struggled offensively, ranking 27th in both hits (788) and runs (410), with a team batting average of .235. Despite the overall struggles, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a bright spot, leading the team with a .297 average, 18 home runs, and 62 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been average, with 24 saves, ranking them tied for 19th in MLB. They have a team ERA of 4.54, ranking 27th, which indicates room for improvement.
Fielding: Defensively, the Rangers have committed 57 errors, ranking them tied for 11th in MLB. They will need to tighten up their defense to support their pitching and turn around their season.
Starting Pitchers: Kevin Gausman will take the mound with an 8-8 record, a 4.55 ERA, and 109 strikeouts over 110.2 innings pitched. Gausman will need to deliver a strong performance to give the Rangers a chance to win.
Toronto Blue Jays
Hitting: The Blue Jays rank 16th in hits (830) and 18th in runs (441), with a team batting average of .240. Josh Smith leads the team with a .286 average, while Corey Seager has contributed 19 home runs and Marcus Semien leads with 53 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: Toronto's bullpen has recorded 22 saves, ranking them 24th. Their team ERA of 3.97 ranks 16th, indicating a more reliable pitching staff compared to their opponents.
Fielding: The Blue Jays have committed 45 errors, placing them 27th in MLB. They will need to improve their fielding to support their pitchers and secure wins.
Starting Pitchers: Michael Lorenzen will start with a 5-5 record, a 3.53 ERA, and 73 strikeouts over 97 innings pitched. Lorenzen's consistency will be key to Toronto's chances in this game.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mahle | SP | Thu, Jul 25 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 4 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 2B | Fri, Jul 26 | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 31 |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Baltimore | L 9-1 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Baltimore | L 8-4 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Baltimore | W 3-2 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Chicago | W 4-3 F/10 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Chicago | W 3-2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Detroit | L 5-4 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Detroit | L 7-3 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Detroit | W 5-4 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Tampa Bay | L 4-2 | L |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Tampa Bay | W 6-3 | W |
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Prediction
Considering Michael Lorenzen's recent form and the Rangers' struggles at the plate, the Toronto Blue Jays have a good chance of securing a win. Lorenzen's consistent performance and the Blue Jays' slightly better offensive and defensive stats give them the edge in this matchup. The Rangers' inconsistency and Gausman's higher ERA further support this prediction.
Pick: Michael Lorenzen to record a win (Yes +208)
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