MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Reds vs Rays 7/26

- Mr Wager
- Jul 26, 2024, 10:06:13 AM
MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Reds vs Rays 7/26

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Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds (49-53, fourth in the NL Central) will face the Tampa Bay Rays (52-51, fourth in the AL East) on Friday, July 26, 2024, at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. The game is set to begin at 6:50 p.m. EDT. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season.
The Rays are coming off a strong performance, highlighted by Brandon Lowe's four-hit game on Thursday. Tampa Bay has been inconsistent at home with a 27-27 record but has shown potential by going 32-6 in games where they scored five or more runs. On the other hand, the Reds have a slightly below-average road record of 24-25 and have excelled in games where they scored five or more runs, boasting a 35-8 record in such scenarios.
Both teams have had mixed results in their last ten games. The Rays have gone 6-4 with a .225 batting average and a 2.90 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 11 runs. The Reds are 5-5 in their last ten games, batting .264 with a 4.24 ERA and outscoring their opponents by 13 runs.
Key performers for the Rays include Isaac Paredes, who has 19 doubles, a triple, and 16 home runs while hitting .250 this season. Brandon Lowe has been on fire, going 12-for-37 with two doubles and four home runs in the last ten games. For the Reds, Jonathan India leads the team with a .271 batting average and has contributed 21 doubles, a triple, eight home runs, 50 walks, and 40 RBIs. Elly De La Cruz has also been impressive, going 15-for-42 with three home runs and five RBIs over the past ten games.
The pitching matchup features Nick Lodolo (8-3, 3.51 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 89 strikeouts) for the Reds and Shane Baz (0-1, 3.95 ERA, 1.76 WHIP, 12 strikeouts) for the Rays. The betting odds are tight, with the Rays slightly favored at -111, the Reds at -108, and the over/under set at 7.5 runs.
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Player Prop Odds
Rece Hinds Player Props:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+400)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-165)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+420)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+170)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+125)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+135)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+470)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+135)
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Player Analysis
Rece Hinds has shown glimpses of his potential this season. While his batting average has been modest, his power and speed make him a player to watch. He has demonstrated the ability to change the game with one swing, as evidenced by his home run odds set at +420. Hinds’ aggressive approach at the plate gives him a good chance to surpass the 0.5 hits mark, with odds favoring the over at -165.
His ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities is reflected in the +135 odds for over 1.5 total bases. Additionally, his speed on the base paths is a critical factor, making the +470 odds for over 0.5 stolen bases an intriguing bet.
Opposing Analysis
Shane Baz, the starting pitcher for the Tampa Bay Rays, has had a rocky start to the season with an 0-1 record and a 3.95 ERA. His 1.76 WHIP indicates struggles with control, which Rece Hinds could exploit. If Baz continues to issue walks, Hinds will have ample opportunities to showcase his speed and power.
The Rays’ bullpen, though generally reliable, has been overworked recently, which could play into the Reds' favor if they can drive up Baz's pitch count early.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 8-3 | 3.51 | 89 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 0-1 | 3.95 | 12 |
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Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
The Cincinnati Reds have had an up-and-down season. Offensively, they rank 22nd in hits (806), 25th in runs (413), and 22nd in batting average (.235). Their strength lies in their bullpen, with 33 saves ranking them tied for 4th in the league. The Reds' pitching staff overall has a 4.17 ERA, placing them 21st.
Defensively, they have committed 52 errors, which ranks them tied for 17th. The Reds will rely on their offense to capitalize on Baz's struggles and their bullpen to hold any lead they secure.
Tampa Bay Rays
The Tampa Bay Rays have been inconsistent, but they have shown flashes of brilliance. They rank 28th in hits (772) and batting average (.231) but are 14th in runs scored (456). Their pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA, ranking 13th in the league, and their defense has been solid with only 65 errors, ranking 4th.
The Rays will need their bullpen to be at its best, especially with Baz still finding his footing this season. Offensively, they need to support their pitching with timely hitting and capitalize on any scoring opportunities.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Suter | RP | 15-Day IL (teres major) |
| Carson Spiers | SP | 15-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Nick Martini | LF | 60-Day IL (thumb) |
| Graham Ashcraft | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Luke Maile | C | 10-Day IL (back) |
| Emilio Pagan | RP | 60-Day IL (lat) |
| TJ Friedl | CF | 10-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 3B | 60-Day IL (hand) |
| Brandon Williamson | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Ian Gibaut | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Tejay Antone | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Matt McLain | SS | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot | SP | 15-Day IL (knee) |
| Richard Lovelady | RP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Jacob Waguespack | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Jeffrey Springs | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Drew Rasmussen | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Shane McClanahan | SP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Wander Franco | SS | Out for the season (personal) |
Recent Games
Cincinnati Reds
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Washington | 5-8 | L |
| @ Washington | 4-5 | L |
| @ Washington | 2-5 | L |
| @ Atlanta | 4-1 | W |
| @ Atlanta | 9-4 | W |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | 1-6 | L |
| @ New York | 9-1 | W |
| @ New York | 6-4 | W |
| @ New York | 1-9 | L |
| @ Toronto | 4-2 | W |
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Prediction
Rece Hinds has been showing promising signs recently, and the odds are favorable for several of his props. Given Shane Baz's struggles, Hinds has a good chance to get on base and potentially score. The over on 0.5 hits (-165) and 0.5 total bases (+135) both look like strong bets.
Pick: Rece Hinds Over 0.5 Hits (-165)
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