MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Rangers vs Cardinals 10/2
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 29, 2024, 5:43:16 AM
MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Rangers vs Cardinals 10/2
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Game Summary
The Texas Rangers (51-55), currently third in the AL West, are set to face the St. Louis Cardinals (54-51), who sit second in the NL Central, at Busch Stadium in St. Louis on Monday at 7:45 p.m. EDT. The Rangers are looking to break a three-game road slide, while the Cardinals aim to capitalize on their home-field advantage where they hold a 27-24 record.
The Rangers have struggled on the road with a 22-32 record and rank ninth in the AL with 111 total home runs, averaging 1.0 per game. The Cardinals, on the other hand, have a 54-51 record overall and have been successful when hitting at least two home runs, going 18-10 in such games. This will be the first meeting between these teams this season.
Recent performances have seen the Cardinals go 4-6 in their last 10 games with a .243 batting average and a 5.15 ERA, being outscored by 15 runs. The Rangers are 5-5 in their last 10 games, posting a .229 batting average and a 4.80 ERA, being outscored by nine runs. Key players for the Cardinals include Brendan Donovan, who has 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs, and 48 RBI with a .263 average, and Alec Burleson, who is 12-for-43 with a double and two home runs over the past 10 games. For the Rangers, Corey Seager leads with 19 home runs and a .476 slugging percentage, while Josh Smith has been hot recently, going 8-for-37 with three home runs and nine RBI over the last 10 games.
Player Prop Odds
Willson Contreras
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+270)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+460)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+160)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-110)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+125)
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Player Analysis
Willson Contreras has been a solid contributor for the Cardinals this season. He has shown a knack for getting on base and driving in runs. Contreras's ability to hit for power and average makes him a valuable asset in the middle of the Cardinals' lineup. His recent form indicates that he is seeing the ball well, and with his track record, he is a good candidate to exceed his prop odds in several categories, including hits and RBIs.
Opposing Analysis
The Rangers' pitcher, Nathan Eovaldi, has had a respectable season with a 7-4 record, a 3.31 ERA, and 104 strikeouts. However, Eovaldi has shown some susceptibility to giving up home runs, allowing 14 in 106 innings pitched. This could play into Contreras's favor, as he has the power to take advantage of any mistakes Eovaldi might make.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi | Rangers | 7-4 | 3.31 | 104 |
| Andre Pallante | Cardinals | 4-4 | 3.92 | 44 |
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Team Previews
Texas Rangers
The Rangers have been inconsistent this season, particularly on the road. Offensively, they rank 15th in hits (874) and 24th in runs (433) with a .245 team batting average. They have a strong bullpen, ranking second in saves (37), but their pitching overall has been average, with a 4.09 ERA (19th) and 51 losses (Tied-15th). Defensively, they have struggled with 46 errors, ranking 26th in the league.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals have been more consistent, especially at home. They are 16th in hits (854) and 18th in runs (452) with a .240 team batting average. Their bullpen has been a weak point, ranking Tied-24th in saves (22). Overall, their pitching has been slightly better than the Rangers with a 4.05 ERA (16th). Defensively, they have committed 45 errors, ranking Tied-27th.
Team Injuries
Rangers
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Winn | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Evan Carter | OF | 10-Day IL (lumbar) |
| Cody Bradford | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Austin Pruitt | RP | 60-Day IL (knee) |
| Joshua Jung | 3B | 60-Day IL (wrist) |
| Tyler Mahle | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jacob deGrom | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Carson Coleman | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Cardinals
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Keynan Middleton | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Nick Robertson | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Riley O'Brien | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Tommy Edman | INF | 60-Day IL (wrist) |
| Drew Rom | SP | 60-Day IL (biceps) |
Recent Games
Rangers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Toronto | 3-7 | L |
| @ Toronto | 3-7 | L |
| @ Toronto | 5-6 | L |
| vs Chicago | 2-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | 10-2 | W |
Cardinals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Washington | 4-3 | W |
| vs Washington | 3-14 | L |
| vs Washington | 8-10 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | 0-5 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | 2-1 | W |
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Prediction
Given Willson Contreras's recent form and the favorable matchup against Nathan Eovaldi, the prop that stands out is Over 1.5 Hits (+270). Contreras has the ability to rack up multiple hits in a game, and with Eovaldi's tendency to give up hits and home runs, Contreras is well-positioned to exceed this mark.
Pick: Over 1.5 Hits (+270)
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