MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks

- Mr Wager
- Jul 27, 2024, 8:52:18 AM
MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks
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Photo Credit: © Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Pittsburgh Pirates at Chase Field on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 8:10 p.m. EDT. This matchup comes as the second meeting of the season between these two teams, with the Diamondbacks leading the series 1-0 following a 4-3 victory. Arizona, possessing a 54-50 record and a 27-24 home record, has been formidable at Chase Field. They have shown a strong performance in scoring, especially when they put up five or more runs in a game, going 41-10 in such instances.
The Pirates, on the other hand, come into this game with a 52-51 record, slightly above .500, and a 26-25 road record. Pittsburgh boasts the sixth-ranked team ERA in the National League at 3.78, indicating their pitching staff's ability to control games. Both teams have been competitive in their recent outings, each sporting a 7-3 record over their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have outscored their opponents by 17 runs in this span, while the Pirates have managed a 14-run differential.
Key performers for the Diamondbacks include Corbin Carroll, who has accumulated 16 doubles, seven triples, six home runs, and 35 RBIs, and Ketel Marte, who has been on a tear, hitting 14-for-35 with four home runs in his last 10 games. For the Pirates, Oneil Cruz, with 21 doubles and 15 home runs, along with Bryan Reynolds, who has gone 14-for-38 with a home run and five RBIs in the last 10 games, will be crucial in their offense.
This game sets the stage for an intriguing matchup between two teams battling for positioning in their respective divisions, making it a must-watch for baseball fans and bettors alike.
Player Prop Odds
For Connor Joe, the player prop market for hits is set at 0.5 with the odds for the over at -175.
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Player Analysis
Connor Joe has been a reliable contributor for the Pittsburgh Pirates this season. With a batting average of .249, Joe has shown the ability to get on base and provide consistent offensive output. In his last 10 games, Joe has maintained a solid form, contributing to the Pirates' lineup with timely hits and productive at-bats. His ability to make contact and find gaps in the defense makes him a valuable asset in the Pirates' batting order.
Opposing Analysis
The Diamondbacks will send Brandon Pfaadt to the mound. Pfaadt has been solid this season with a 4-6 record, a 3.74 ERA, and 111 strikeouts over 120.1 innings. He has a WHIP of 1.11, indicating his ability to limit baserunners. However, the Pirates have a respectable team batting average of .258 over their last 10 games, showcasing their ability to put the ball in play and create scoring opportunities. Pfaadt will need to be precise with his pitches to keep the Pirates' hitters at bay.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Gonzales (PIT) | 1-1 | 2.70 | 1.27 | 26.2 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 1 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4-6 | 3.74 | 1.11 | 120.1 | 106 | 111 | 27 | 14 |
Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been respectable this season, holding a 52-51 record. Their batting average of .253 ranks 8th in the league, while they also stand 3rd in runs scored with 513. Their pitching staff has been a strong point, maintaining the 6th ranked ERA in the NL at 3.78. However, their fielding has been an area of concern, with 42 errors ranking them 30th in the league.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Arizona Diamondbacks, with a 54-50 record, have shown their ability to compete in the NL West. Their offense has been less productive, with a team batting average of .232, ranking 25th in the league, and they stand 23rd in runs scored with 425. The pitching staff has been a bright spot, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking 11th in the league. Fielding has been average, with 50 errors ranking them 21st.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Falter | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Arm | 15-Day IL |
| Daulton Jefferies | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Jared Jones | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Lat | 15-Day IL |
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Tricep | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
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| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L | Win | Loss | Save | Attendance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Arizona | L 4-3 | 52-51 | Gallen | Mlodzinski | Sewald | 31255 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs St. Louis | W 5-0 | 52-50 | Perez | Liberatore | - | 20091 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs St. Louis | L 2-1 | 51-50 | Fernandez | Skenes | Helsley | 32422 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs St. Louis | W 2-1 | 51-49 | Chapman | King | Bednar | 18970 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Philadelphia | L 6-0 | 50-49 | Phillips | Gonzales | - | 38291 |
| Date | Opponent | Result | W-L | Win | Loss | Save | Attendance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 26 | vs Pittsburgh | W 4-3 | 54-50 | Gallen | Mlodzinski | Sewald | 31255 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Kansas City | W 8-6 | 53-50 | Mantiply | McArthur | - | 15931 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Kansas City | W 6-2 | 52-50 | Montgomery | Marsh | - | 21993 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Kansas City | L 10-4 | 51-50 | Ragans | Diaz | - | 16275 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Chicago | L 2-1 F/10 | 51-49 | Neris | Mantiply | - | 39162 |
Prediction
Connor Joe has been in good form recently and considering the prop market has set the over at 0.5 hits with odds of -175, we believe Joe will be able to get at least one hit in this game. The Pirates' offense has been productive, and Joe's consistency at the plate makes this a favorable bet.
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