MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27
- Mr Wager
- Jul 27, 2024, 8:53:05 AM
MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27
Photo Credit: © Owen Ziliak/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Pittsburgh Pirates at Chase Field for the second game of their series on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 8:10 PM EDT. The Diamondbacks lead the series 1-0 after a tight 4-3 victory in the opening game.
Arizona has a commendable record at home, standing at 27-24, and they have won 54 games overall this season. Their offense has been potent, particularly when they score five or more runs, boasting a 41-10 record in such games. The Diamondbacks have displayed good form recently, winning seven out of their last ten games with a .254 batting average and a 3.64 ERA.
Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Pirates have a 26-25 road record and a 52-51 overall standing. The Pirates' pitching staff has been noteworthy, owning the sixth-ranked team ERA in the National League at 3.78. Pittsburgh has also been in good form, matching Arizona's 7-3 record over the last ten games while batting .258 and maintaining a 2.53 ERA.
The last ten games for both teams have been impressive, indicating a tightly contested matchup. Arizona's hitters like Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte have been in excellent form, while Pittsburgh's Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds have also been contributing significantly to their offense.
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Player Prop Odds
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Corbin Carroll - Player Props:
- Batter Doubles Over 0.5 (+425) / Under 0.5 (-650)
- Batter Hits Over 0.5 (-195)
- Batter RBIs Over 0.5 (+225) / Under 0.5 (-300)
- Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+150) / Under 0.5 (-200)
- Batter Singles Over 0.5 (-110) / Under 0.5 (-120)
- Batter Stolen Bases Over 0.5 (+450) / Under 0.5 (-1000)
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Player Analysis
Corbin Carroll has been a standout performer for the Arizona Diamondbacks this season. With 16 doubles, seven triples, six home runs, and 35 RBIs, Carroll has provided consistent offensive production. Over the last ten games, Carroll has been particularly impressive, helping the Diamondbacks secure crucial wins with timely hits and runs.
Carroll's ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities makes him a key player to watch. His versatility at the plate, combined with his speed on the bases, adds an additional layer of threat to opposing pitchers. Given his recent form, Carroll is well-positioned to continue his success against the Pirates.
Opposing Analysis
For the Pirates, Marco Gonzales will take the mound. Gonzales has been solid this season, with a 1-1 record, a 2.70 ERA, and 19 strikeouts. However, Gonzales has shown vulnerability against top-tier hitters, which could be an opportunity for Carroll and the Diamondbacks' offense.
Gonzales will need to be at his best to contain Carroll, who has excelled in finding gaps and getting on base. The Pirates' pitching staff, while strong overall, could struggle against Carroll's versatility and speed.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Gonzales (PIT) | 1-1 | 2.70 | 1.27 | 19 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4-6 | 3.74 | 1.10 | 111 |
Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Hitting: The Pirates rank 8th in hits (888) and 3rd in runs (513) with a team batting average of .253. Key hitters include Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds.
- Relief Pitching: The Pirates have 24 saves (T-19th) and their bullpen has been reliable in close games.
- Fielding: The Pirates have committed 42 errors, ranking 30th in the league.
- Starting Pitchers: Marco Gonzales leads the rotation with a 2.70 ERA and strong control, critical for their success.
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Hitting: The Diamondbacks rank 26th in hits (807) and 23rd in runs (425) with a team batting average of .232. Key hitters include Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte.
- Relief Pitching: The Diamondbacks have 26 saves (T-14th) and their bullpen has been a strength, especially in tight games.
- Fielding: The Diamondbacks have committed 50 errors, ranking 21st in the league.
- Starting Pitchers: Brandon Pfaadt anchors the rotation with a 3.74 ERA and significant strikeout ability.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Falter | RP | 15-Day IL (arm) |
| Daulton Jefferies | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jared Jones | RP | 15-Day IL (lat) |
| Ryan Borucki | RP | 60-Day IL (tricep) |
| Dauri Moreta | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Endy Rodriguez | C | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Johan Oviedo | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Walston | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Merrill Kelly | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Kyle Nelson | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Drey Jameson | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
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| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Philadelphia | 8-7 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Philadelphia | 4-1 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Philadelphia | 0-6 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs St. Louis | 2-1 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs St. Louis | 1-2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Chicago | 5-2 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Chicago | 3-0 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Chicago | 1-2 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Kansas City | 4-10 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Kansas City | 6-2 | W |
Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+150)
Reasoning: Corbin Carroll has been in excellent form and shown a knack for getting on base and scoring runs. With Marco Gonzales on the mound, Carroll's speed and batting skills give him a good chance of crossing the plate at least once. The +150 odds present good value for this prop.
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