MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Nationals vs Cardinals 7/28

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:54:39 AM
MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Nationals vs Cardinals 7/28
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Photo Credit: © Jeff Le-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Washington Nationals will face the St. Louis Cardinals on July 28th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. The Nationals, with a current record of 53-51, have been performing commendably this season. They are 27-27 on the road and 26-24 at home. On the other hand, the Cardinals, holding a 49-56 record, have struggled despite their potential. They are 23-27 at home and 26-29 on the road.
In their recent matchups, the Nationals have shown a strong performance, winning 5 out of their last 8 games. Their most recent series against Cincinnati saw them winning all three games. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have lost their last two games against the Nationals, conceding a total of 24 runs while scoring only 11.
Historically, the Cardinals have had the upper hand against the Nationals, but the tide seems to be turning this season. With both teams showcasing a mix of talent and inconsistency, this game promises to be an intriguing encounter.
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Player Prop Odds
Luis Garcia Jr.:
- Batter Doubles (Over 0.5): +400 / -700
- Batter Hits (Over 1.5): +195 / -280
- Batter RBIs (Over 0.5): +190 / -265
- Batter Runs Scored (Over 0.5): +130 / -175
- Batter Singles (Over 0.5): -160 / +115
- Batter Total Bases (Over 1.5): +120 / -160
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Player Analysis
Luis Garcia Jr. has been a consistent performer for the Nationals this season. With a batting average of .280, Garcia Jr. has proven his worth at the plate. He has accumulated 15 home runs and 50 RBIs, making him a key player in the Nationals' lineup. His ability to get on base and drive in runs has been crucial for the Nationals, especially in tight games.
This season, Garcia Jr. has shown a penchant for hitting doubles and accumulating total bases. With odds of +400 for hitting over 0.5 doubles, it presents an enticing value bet. Additionally, his consistency in getting hits and scoring runs makes the over 1.5 total bases at +120 a compelling option.
Opposing Analysis
DJ Herz will be the starting pitcher for the Cardinals. Herz has had a challenging season with a 1-4 record and an ERA of 4.95. In his 36.1 innings pitched, he has allowed 40 hits and 11 walks while striking out 45 batters. Herz's struggle to keep runners off base has been a significant issue, and it is something Garcia Jr. can exploit.
The Cardinals' bullpen has also been inconsistent, ranking 22nd in ERA at 4.22. This further enhances the chances of Garcia Jr. getting multiple hits and driving in runs during the game.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Herz | 1-4 | 4.95 | 1.40 | 36.1 | 40 | 45 | 11 | 8 |
| M. Mikolas | 8-8 | 5.02 | 1.23 | 118.1 | 126 | 80 | 19 | 18 |
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Team Previews
Washington Nationals
The Nationals have demonstrated a balanced approach this season. Their pitching staff ranks 17th in ERA at 4.00, with their bullpen leading the league in saves with 37. Offensively, the Nationals rank 14th in batting average at .245 and 15th in hits with 859. However, they have struggled to convert these hits into runs, ranking 22nd with 426 runs scored.
The Nationals' defense has been shaky, committing 46 errors and ranking 26th in fielding. Their ability to limit errors will be crucial in tight games.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals have had a turbulent season. Their pitching staff ranks 22nd in ERA at 4.22, with the bullpen recording 29 saves. Offensively, the Cardinals rank 19th in batting average at .237 and 22nd in hits with 815. They have scored 433 runs, ranking 20th in the league.
Defensively, the Cardinals have committed 59 errors, ranking 9th in the league. Their defense will need to tighten up to support their struggling pitching staff.
Team Injuries
Washington Nationals
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Weems | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Lower Leg | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| C. Cavalli | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 15 |
St. Louis Cardinals
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. O'Brien | RP | Sun, Jul 28 | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
Recent Games
Washington Nationals
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Cincinnati | W8-5 | 45-53 | Corbin 2-9 | Montas 4-8 | Finnegan 26 | 38402 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Cincinnati | W5-4 | 46-53 | Law 6-2 | Wilson 1-2 | Finnegan 27 | 32734 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Cincinnati | W5-2 | 47-53 | Garcia 2-3 | Sims 1-4 | Finnegan 28 | 23967 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs San Diego | L4-0 | 47-54 | Vasquez 3-5 | Herz 1-4 | NaN | 20749 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs San Diego | L12-3 | 47-55 | Waldron 6-9 | Parker 5-6 | NaN | 23323 |
St. Louis Cardinals
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Atlanta | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed | Postponed |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Atlanta | L3-2 F/10 | 50-47 | Johnson 3-1 | Roycroft 1-2 | NaN | 37042 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Atlanta | W9-5 | 51-47 | Gray 10-6 | Elder 1-4 | Leahy 1 | 42168 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Atlanta | W6-2 | 52-47 | Mikolas 8-8 | Schwellenbach 3-5 | NaN | 36348 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Pittsburgh | L2-1 | 52-48 | Chapman 2-4 | King 3-2 | Bednar 18 | 18970 |
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Prediction
Based on the analysis, our pick for this game is:
Pick: Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Garcia Jr.'s consistency at the plate, combined with DJ Herz's struggles on the mound, makes this a valuable bet. Additionally, the Cardinals' bullpen's inconsistency further enhances the likelihood of Garcia Jr. accumulating multiple bases.
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