MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Guardians vs Phillies 7/28
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 2:13:18 AM
MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Guardians vs Phillies 7/28
Photo Credit: © Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cleveland Guardians face off against the Philadelphia Phillies on July 28, 2023, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Guardians are coming into this matchup with a record of 65-39, holding the top spot in the Central division. They boast notable statistics, including a batting average of .256 (4th in the league) and an ERA of 3.46 (2nd in the league). The Guardians have performed well both at home (38-17) and on the road (27-22).
The Phillies, on the other hand, are not far behind with a record of 62-42, placing them second in the East division. Philadelphia's batting average is .241 (16th in the league), and their ERA stands at 3.63 (4th in the league). The Phillies have been strong at home with a 33-15 record but are relatively weaker on the road at 29-27.
Both teams have had their fair share of ups and downs recently, with the Guardians winning 6 of their last 10 games, while the Phillies have a balanced 5-5 record in their last 10 games. As these two teams clash, it will be interesting to see how the pitching matchups and player performances impact the outcome.
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Player Prop Odds
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Here are the player prop odds for Bryce Harper tonight:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+360), Under 0.5 (-575)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+275), Under 0.5 (-425)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+125), Under 0.5 (-170)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-125), Under 0.5 (-110)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110), Under 0.5 (-150)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+100), Under 1.5 (-135)
Player Analysis
Bryce Harper has been a key player for the Phillies this season. Currently, he has hit 24 home runs and amassed 71 RBIs, making him one of the most consistent and impactful hitters on the team. Harper’s ability to hit for power and average is reflected in his .297 batting average. His performance at Citizens Bank Park, a hitter-friendly park, amplifies his potential for extra-base hits, including home runs and doubles.
This season, Harper has been particularly effective against right-handed pitchers, and with Kolby Allard starting for the Guardians, Harper's odds of achieving over 1.5 total bases (+100) seem promising. Harper’s consistent performance and his knack for delivering in clutch situations make him a strong candidate for tonight’s player props.
Opposing Analysis
Kolby Allard, the probable starting pitcher for the Guardians, has had a mixed season so far. He holds a respectable ERA but has struggled with consistency and control at times. The Guardians' bullpen, though strong with a collective ERA of 3.46, has shown vulnerabilities against power hitters like Harper.
Additionally, the Guardians' defense has committed 59 errors this season, which ranks them tied for 9th in the league. Such lapses could provide Harper additional opportunities to capitalize on mistakes and deliver extra-base hits or RBIs.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolby Allard | Guardians | -- | -- | -- |
| Joey Cantillo | Phillies | -- | -- | -- |
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Team Previews
Cleveland Guardians
The Guardians have been a solid team this season, leading their division with a 65-39 record. Offensively, they have hit .256 as a team and scored 501 runs, ranking them 6th in the league. Their pitching staff has been formidable, with a team ERA of 3.46, which is 2nd in the league.
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies have also had a strong season, with a 62-42 record, placing them 2nd in their division. They have hit .241 and scored 474 runs, ranking them 13th in the league. Their pitching staff has been solid with a team ERA of 3.63, ranking them 4th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | SP | Tue, Jul 23 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| James Karinchak | RP | Tue, Jul 23 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 10 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
| Alec Bohm | 3B | Sat, Jul 27 | Ankle | Probable for Jul 28 |
Recent Games
Cleveland Guardians
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Diego | W 7-0 | W |
| vs San Diego | L 7-0 | L |
| vs San Diego | L 2-1 | L |
| vs Detroit | L 8-2 | L |
| vs Detroit | W 5-4 | W |
Philadelphia Phillies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Pittsburgh | L 8-7 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | L 4-1 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | W 6-0 | W |
| @ Minnesota | L 7-2 | L |
| @ Minnesota | W 3-0 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Harper has been consistent and impactful for the Phillies, especially in home games. With Kolby Allard on the mound for the Guardians, Harper's chances of exceeding 1.5 total bases are high. His recent form and the Guardians' occasional defensive lapses make this a strong pick.
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