MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/28

- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 2:35:08 AM
MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/28
Photo Credit: © Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs are set to face the Kansas City Royals on July 28th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. This game brings together two teams with contrasting performances this season. The Cubs are enjoying a solid season with a record of 57-48, including an impressive 36-21 record at home. They rank 7th in ERA (3.72) and have a batting average of .251, placing them 10th in the league. Offensively, they have scored 483 runs, ranked 10th.
On the other hand, the Kansas City Royals have had a challenging season with a 50-56 record. Despite their struggles, they have shown moments of excellence, especially at home with a 27-25 record. Their batting average stands at .232, ranked 26th, with 424 runs scored, placing them 24th. Their pitching has been a mixed bag, with an ERA of 3.73, ranked 8th.
Historically, the Cubs have had the upper hand in this matchup, but the Royals have shown they can compete, especially at home. With both teams looking to improve their standings, this game promises to be an intriguing contest.
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Player Prop Odds
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Drew Waters Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-165)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+220)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+160)
Player Analysis
Drew Waters has been a key contributor for the Kansas City Royals this season. His ability to get on base and drive in runs has made him a valuable asset. Waters has displayed a knack for hitting doubles and collecting total bases, making the over 0.5 doubles at +370 and over 1.5 total bases at +160 particularly enticing. Additionally, his consistency in getting hits and scoring runs makes the over 0.5 hits at -165 and over 0.5 runs scored at +115 attractive options for bettors.
Opposing Analysis
The Chicago Cubs' pitching staff has been solid this season, with an ERA of 3.72, ranked 7th in the league. However, they have allowed 865 hits, indicating that opposing batters can find success against them. Drew Waters will face a tough challenge against Cole Ragans, who has a 7-6 record with a 3.23 ERA and 146 strikeouts in 122.2 innings. Ragans has been effective, but Waters' ability to get on base and his recent form suggest he could have success in this matchup.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Assad | 4-3 | 3.15 | 1.38 | 88.2 | 81 | 81 | 41 | 12 |
| C. Ragans | 7-6 | 3.23 | 1.15 | 122.2 | 101 | 146 | 40 | 9 |
Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs have been impressive this season, especially with their pitching. Their team ERA of 3.72 is ranked 7th, and they have a solid record of 57-48. The Cubs' offense has also been strong, with a .251 batting average and 483 runs scored, both ranked in the top 10. Defensively, they have committed 49 errors, placing them 23rd in the league.
Kansas City Royals
The Kansas City Royals have had a challenging season, with a 50-56 record. Their offense has struggled, with a .232 batting average and 424 runs scored, both ranked 24th. However, their pitching has shown promise, with a team ERA of 3.73, ranked 8th. Defensively, they have committed 53 errors, placing them 17th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kilian (Caleb Kilian) | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
| A. Alzolay (Adbert Alzolay) | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor (Josh Taylor) | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Biceps | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
Recent Games
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Arizona | L5-2 | 47-52 | Nelson 7-6 | Steele 2-4 | Sewald 14 | 40691 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Arizona | L3-0 | 47-53 | Gallen 7-5 | Hendricks 2-8 | Sewald 15 | 39595 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Arizona | W2-1 F/10 | 48-53 | Neris 8-2 | Mantiply 3-2 | NaN | 39162 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Milwaukee | W3-1 | 49-53 | Smyly 3-5 | Myers 6-4 | Neris 14 | 35741 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Milwaukee | L1-0 | 49-54 | Peguero 6-3 | Taillon 7-5 | Megill 20 | 37651 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Milwaukee | L3-2 | 49-55 | Junis 3-0 | Neris 8-3 | Payamps 5 | 37679 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Kansas City | L6-0 | 49-56 | Singer 7-6 | Hendricks 2-9 | NaN | 36351 |
| Sat, Jul 27 | @ Kansas City | W9-4 | 50-56 | Merryweather 1-0 | Lugo 12-5 | NaN | 31784 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Chicago | W7-1 | 53-45 | Wacha 7-6 | Flexen 2-9 | NaN | 26693 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Chicago | W6-1 | 54-45 | Singer 6-6 | Cannon 1-4 | NaN | 27545 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Chicago | W4-1 | 55-45 | Lugo 12-4 | Brebbia 0-5 | NaN | 22226 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Arizona | W10-4 | 56-45 | Ragans 7-6 | Diaz 1-1 | NaN | 16275 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Arizona | L6-2 | 56-46 | Montgomery 7-5 | Marsh 7-7 | NaN | 21993 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Arizona | L8-6 | 56-47 | Mantiply 4-2 | McArthur 4-4 | NaN | 15931 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | vs Chicago | W6-0 | 57-47 | Singer 7-6 | Hendricks 2-9 | NaN | 36351 |
| Sat, Jul 27 | vs Chicago | L9-4 | 57-48 | Merryweather 1-0 | Lugo 12-5 | NaN | 31784 |
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Prediction
Drew Waters' recent form and the favorable odds make the over 1.5 total bases an attractive pick. Waters has shown the ability to get multiple hits in a game, and against a solid but hittable Cubs pitching staff, he has a good chance to exceed 1.5 total bases. Additionally, the over on 0.5 doubles at +370 offers great value for those looking for a higher risk-reward bet.


