MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins 7/25

MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins 7/25

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Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Baltimore Orioles, currently holding a 60-41 record and leading the AL East, head to loanDepot park to face the Miami Marlins, who are struggling at 37-65 and sit at the bottom of the NL East. The game is scheduled for Thursday, July 25, 2024, at 12:10 p.m. EDT. The Orioles are looking to break a three-game road losing streak, while the Marlins are on a two-game winning streak, having defeated the Orioles in back-to-back games.

Baltimore has been one of the better teams on the road with a 30-19 record away from Camden Yards. However, they have hit a rough patch, going 3-7 in their last 10 games and being outscored by 14 runs during that span. Their team batting average has also dipped to .228 over the last 10 games. Despite their recent struggles, the Orioles boast a solid batting average of .252 for the season, ranking them seventh in MLB.

The Miami Marlins, despite their overall poor performance, have shown resilience at home with a 22-33 record. Their recent form has been slightly better, going 5-5 in their last 10 games with a team batting average of .287. The Marlins' pitching has shown signs of improvement with a 4.14 ERA over the last 10 games, and they have managed to outscore their opponents by two runs in that period.

Historically, the Orioles have had the upper hand against the Marlins, but with key players like Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander performing well, the Orioles will look to capitalize on their strengths to secure a win. The Marlins will rely heavily on Jazz Chisholm and Xavier Edwards, who have been in good form recently.

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Player Prop Odds

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Josh Bell Player Props

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390)

Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-175)

Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+190)

Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+130)

Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-105)

Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+165)

Player Analysis

Josh Bell has been a solid performer for the Marlins this season. While his overall batting average of .241 may not be eye-catching, he has displayed power with 12 home runs and 50 RBIs. Bell's ability to hit for both power and average makes him a key player in the Marlins' lineup. Over the last 10 games, he has shown consistency, contributing with crucial hits and RBIs.

Bell's prop odds for tonight's game are quite intriguing. The odds for him to hit over 0.5 hits are at -175, indicating a high probability of him getting at least one hit. His odds for over 0.5 RBIs are at +190, which offers a good value bet considering his recent form. Additionally, Bell's ability to hit doubles and total bases makes the over 1.5 total bases at +165 an enticing option.

Opposing Analysis

Corbin Burnes will be on the mound for the Orioles. Burnes has been exceptional this season with a 2.38 ERA and 116 strikeouts. His ability to dominate hitters and limit runs makes him one of the toughest pitchers in the league. However, the Marlins have had some success against top pitchers this season, and Bell's performance against right-handed pitchers has been noteworthy.

Burnes' propensity to induce ground balls and strikeouts could limit Bell's opportunities, but Bell's experience and ability to adjust might give him the edge. Additionally, the Marlins' recent offensive surge could provide Bell with more RBI opportunities, especially if the hitters ahead of him can get on base.

Pitching Probables

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Pitcher	Team	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Corbin Burnes	Orioles	10-4	2.38	116
Roddery Munoz	Marlins	1-5	5.14	47

Team Previews

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles have been a formidable team this season, leading the AL East with a 60-41 record. Their offense is spearheaded by Gunnar Henderson, who boasts a .285 batting average, 28 home runs, and 63 RBIs. Anthony Santander has also been a key contributor with 27 home runs and 66 RBIs. Baltimore's pitching staff, led by Corbin Burnes, has been solid, although their recent form has dipped.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins, on the other hand, have struggled throughout the season with a 37-65 record. Jazz Chisholm has been their standout player with a .251 batting average, 17 home runs, and 49 RBIs. The Marlins' pitching has been inconsistent, but Roddery Munoz will look to turn things around. Miami's recent offensive surge gives them hope to challenge the Orioles in this matchup.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Jorge Mateo	2B	Elbow	Day-to-Day
Albert Suarez	RP	Shin	Day-to-Day
Danny Coulombe	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Ryan Weathers	SP	Finger	60-Day IL
Josh Simpson	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Recent Games

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Date	Opponent	Score	Result
Fri, Jul 19	@ Texas	9-1	W
Sat, Jul 20	@ Texas	8-4	W
Sun, Jul 21	@ Texas	2-3	L
Tue, Jul 23	@ Miami	3-6	L
Wed, Jul 24	@ Miami	3-6	L

Date	Opponent	Score	Result
Fri, Jul 19	vs New York	6-4	W
Sat, Jul 20	vs New York	0-1	L
Sun, Jul 21	vs New York	4-2	W
Mon, Jul 22	vs New York	4-6	L
Tue, Jul 23	vs Baltimore	6-3	W

Prediction

Considering Josh Bell's recent form and the Marlins' offensive surge, the prop bet for Bell to have over 0.5 hits at -175 offers good value. Additionally, the over 1.5 total bases at +165 is another intriguing option given Bell's power-hitting capabilities.

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