MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/25

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:10:30 AM
MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/25
Photo Credit: © Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets are set to face off in a crucial NL East matchup at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is scheduled for Thursday, July 25, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT. The Braves come into this game looking to rebound from a four-game losing streak, while the Mets aim to continue their recent success.
Both teams have had their ups and downs this season. The Braves, currently second in the NL East with a 54-46 record, have struggled on the road with a 24-25 record. Atlanta's collective batting average of .241 ranks 10th in the NL, and they have been outscored by their opponents in recent games. On the other hand, the Mets have a 53-48 record and sit third in the division. With a 26-26 record at home, the Mets have been solid when hitting at least two home runs in a game, boasting a 26-10 record in such scenarios.
The two teams have faced each other six times this season, with the series tied at 3-3. This game will be the seventh meeting, and both teams are eager to gain an edge in the season series. The pitching matchup for this game features Chris Sale (13-3, 2.70 ERA, 140 strikeouts) for the Braves and Luis Severino (7-3, 3.58 ERA, 88 strikeouts) for the Mets.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Orlando Arcia in tonight's game:
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-140)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+230)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+140)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+120)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+210)
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Player Analysis: Orlando Arcia
Orlando Arcia has been a steady contributor for the Braves this season. With a batting average of .259, he provides a reliable presence at the plate. Arcia has shown the ability to come through in clutch moments, making him a key player to watch in tonight's game.
Over the past 10 games, Arcia has been consistent, getting on base and driving in runs. His recent performance includes multiple hits and RBIs, indicating that he is in good form. Given his propensity to perform well in high-pressure situations, Arcia is a solid bet for player props tonight.
Opposing Analysis: New York Mets Pitching
Luis Severino takes the mound for the Mets tonight. Severino has been effective this season, boasting a 7-3 record with a 3.58 ERA and 88 strikeouts. However, he has shown some vulnerability, particularly when facing teams with potent offenses like the Braves.
Severino's WHIP of 1.18 suggests that he allows a fair number of baserunners, which could be an opportunity for Arcia and the Braves' lineup. Additionally, the Mets' bullpen has been inconsistent, which may provide additional chances for the Braves to capitalize later in the game.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 13-3 | 2.70 | 0.95 | 110.0 | 81 | 140 | 24 | 7 |
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 7-3 | 3.58 | 1.18 | 115.2 | 96 | 88 | 40 | 12 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Braves' offense has been powered by key players like Marcell Ozuna and Travis d'Arnaud. Ozuna leads the team with 28 home runs and 80 RBIs, providing significant power in the middle of the lineup. d'Arnaud has also contributed with timely hitting, including two home runs and seven RBIs over the past 10 games.
On the pitching side, Chris Sale has been dominant, with a 13-3 record and a 2.70 ERA. His ability to strike out batters and limit baserunners has been crucial for the Braves' success. However, the Braves' bullpen has been shaky at times, which could be a factor in tonight's game.
New York Mets
The Mets' offense is led by Francisco Lindor, who has a .259 batting average with 21 home runs and 63 RBIs. Lindor's ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player for the Mets. Additionally, players like Jose Iglesias have been hot at the plate recently, adding depth to the lineup.
Pitching has been a strong suit for the Mets, with Luis Severino providing stability in the rotation. The bullpen, however, has had its ups and downs, which could be a concern as the game progresses. The Mets' ability to hit home runs (26-10 when hitting at least two) will also be a critical factor in tonight's game.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | CF | 60-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
| Max Fried | SP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | CF | Day-to-day (ankle) |
Recent Games
Braves
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Cincinnati | L 9-4 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Cincinnati | L 4-1 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs St. Louis | L 6-2 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | L 9-5 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | W 3-2 F/10 | W |
Mets
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ New York | W 12-3 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ New York | W 3-2 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Miami | W 6-4 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Miami | L 4-2 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Miami | W 1-0 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 Hits (-140)
Given Orlando Arcia's recent form and his ability to get on base, the over 0.5 hits prop at -140 is a strong pick. Arcia has been consistent at the plate and facing Luis Severino, who allows a fair number of baserunners, provides a good opportunity for Arcia to get at least one hit in this game.
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