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MLB Player Props Picks Today: Red Sox vs Dodgers 7/21

Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers
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Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers (58-41) look to complete a sweep against the Boston Red Sox (53-44) on Sunday at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers have been dominant at home with a 30-19 record and hold the top spot in the NL West. The Red Sox, currently third in the AL East, have also performed well on the road with a 29-19 record.
Los Angeles has excelled when their bats are hot, boasting a 46-12 record in games when they record at least eight hits. Conversely, the Red Sox have a similar success rate, posting a 44-19 record under the same condition. This game marks the third and final matchup of this series, with the Dodgers having won the first two games.
Leading the charge for the Dodgers is Shohei Ohtani, who has hit 29 home runs this season, and Will Smith, who has been on a tear lately with four home runs in his last 10 games. On the Red Sox side, Rafael Devers and Tyler O'Neill have been crucial, with Devers contributing 23 home runs and O'Neill providing consistent hitting in recent games.
Injuries have plagued both teams, with notable players like Mookie Betts and Trevor Story sidelined. Despite these setbacks, both teams have shown resilience, making this final game of the series a crucial one for momentum heading into the latter part of the season.
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Odds and Betting Lines
- Moneyline: Dodgers -120, Red Sox +100
- Over/Under: 9 runs
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 6-7 | 3.04 | 1.04 | 112.2 | 88 | 110 | 29 | 14 |
| James Paxton (LAD) | 7-2 | 4.38 | 1.45 | 84.1 | 78 | 57 | 44 | 10 |
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Team Previews
Boston Red Sox
Hitting: The Red Sox are currently ranked 5th in hits with 858 and tied for 3rd in runs with 490. They have a respectable team batting average of .254, which ranks 7th in MLB.
Relief Pitching: Boston’s bullpen has been solid, ranking tied for 6th with 29 saves. The team’s overall ERA stands at 3.73, placing them 8th in the league.
Fielding: The Red Sox have committed 49 errors this season, which ranks them 19th in MLB. Their fielding has been adequate but could use some improvement.
Starting Pitchers: Kutter Crawford has been a key starter with a 3.04 ERA and 110 strikeouts in 112.2 innings pitched. His WHIP of 1.04 indicates strong control and effectiveness on the mound.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Hitting: The Dodgers rank 6th in hits with 853 and 13th in runs scored with 453. Their team batting average of .255 ranks 4th in the league, showcasing a balanced and effective offense.
Relief Pitching: The Dodgers’ bullpen has recorded 26 saves, ranking tied for 10th. Their overall ERA of 3.66 ranks 5th in MLB, indicating a strong pitching staff.
Fielding: Los Angeles has committed 68 errors this season, which ranks them tied for 1st in the league. Their defensive play has been a significant strength.
Starting Pitchers: James Paxton has been a reliable starter with a 4.38 ERA and 57 strikeouts in 84.1 innings. His WHIP of 1.45 suggests some control issues, but he has managed to keep the team competitive.
Team Injuries
Boston Red Sox
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Triston Casas | 1B | Ribs | Out until Sep 1 |
| Trevor Story | SS | Shoulder | Out for the season |
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | Hamstring | Out until Aug 9 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brogdon | RP | Foot | Out until Jul 21 |
| Jason Heyward | RF | Knee | Out until Jul 21 |
| Michael Grove | RP | Ribs | Out until Jul 21 |
Recent Games
Boston Red Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Los Angeles | L 4-1 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | L 7-6 (11) | L |
| @ Colorado | Upcoming | Upcoming |
| @ Colorado | Upcoming | Upcoming |
| @ Colorado | Upcoming | Upcoming |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | W 4-1 | W |
| vs Boston | W 7-6 (11) | W |
| vs San Francisco | Upcoming | Upcoming |
| vs San Francisco | Upcoming | Upcoming |
| vs San Francisco | Upcoming | Upcoming |
Team Rankings
| Category | Boston Red Sox | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting (AVG) | .254 (7th) | .255 (4th) |
| Starting Pitching (ERA) | 3.73 (8th) | 3.66 (5th) |
| Relief Pitching (Saves) | 29 (T-6th) | 26 (T-10th) |
| Fielding (Errors) | 49 (19th) | 68 (T-1st) |
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Prediction
The Dodgers have been exceptional at home and have the momentum going into this game. Kutter Crawford has been solid on the mound for the Red Sox, but James Paxton's experience and the Dodgers' overall depth give them the upper hand. Los Angeles' strong hitting and fielding will likely be the deciding factors in this matchup.
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Freddie Freeman Player Prop Picks
Freddie Freeman has been a consistent performer for the Dodgers this season. Here are some of the player prop picks for him in this game:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +290
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +200
- Batter Home Runs (0.5): Over +450
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +130
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -130
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over -140
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +100
Given Freeman's consistent hitting ability and the favorable odds, betting on him to get over 1.5 hits at +200 offers good value. His propensity to drive in runs and score also makes the over on RBIs and runs scored appealing picks.
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Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.Simulated results for entertainment. Gambling involves risk. Bet only where legal.
