MLB Player Props Picks Today: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 2:43:47 AM
MLB Player Props Picks Today: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks
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Photo Credit: © Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks on July 28th at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. This game features a matchup between two teams fighting to stay in the playoff race, with the Pirates currently holding a 55-50 record and the Diamondbacks sitting at 52-52. Both teams have shown flashes of brilliance and moments of struggle throughout the season.
Pittsburgh's probable starting pitcher, Yilber Diaz, has a 1-1 record with a 5.40 ERA over 15 innings pitched. Meanwhile, Arizona will counter with Mitch Keller, who boasts a 10-5 record and a solid 3.34 ERA in 121.1 innings. Historically, these teams have played competitive games, with each side taking turns in the win column.
In their most recent series, the Pirates have been relatively hot, winning 4 out of their last 7 games, including a series against the Philadelphia Phillies. The Diamondbacks have also been competitive, winning their last 4 games, including two against the Pirates. Both teams are eager to continue their winning ways in this crucial matchup.
The game is expected to be played under clear skies with temperatures hovering around 101°F, which might play a role in the performance of the players, especially the pitchers.
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Player Prop Odds
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Here are the player prop odds for Eugenio Suarez:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+380), Under 0.5 (-650)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-185), Under 0.5 (+135)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+200), Under 0.5 (-285)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+165), Under 0.5 (-225)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+115), Under 0.5 (-160)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-185), Under 0.5 (+135)
Player Analysis
Eugenio Suarez has been a key player for the Pittsburgh Pirates this season. He currently holds a .252 batting average, with 16 home runs and 52 RBIs. Suarez's performance at the plate has been relatively consistent, and he has shown the ability to come up with big hits in crucial moments. His ability to drive in runs and get on base makes him a valuable asset to the Pirates' lineup.
In his last 10 games, Suarez has recorded 12 hits, 2 home runs, and 8 RBIs. He has been seeing the ball well and making solid contact, which bodes well for his chances of hitting the over on several of his props in this game.
Opposing Analysis
For this matchup, Suarez will be facing Mitch Keller, one of the better pitchers in the Diamondbacks' rotation. Keller has a 10-5 record with a 3.34 ERA and has been effective in limiting opposing hitters. However, he has shown some vulnerability to right-handed batters, who have hit .245 against him this season.
The Diamondbacks' bullpen has been solid, with a combined ERA of 3.78, but they have had some struggles with consistency. If the Pirates can get to Keller early, they might have an opportunity to score against the bullpen later in the game.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (ARI) | 10-5 | 3.34 | 108 |
| Yilber Diaz (PIT) | 1-1 | 5.40 | 7 |
Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have been competitive this season, currently sitting at 55-50. Their offense has been a strong point, ranking 3rd in runs scored (513) and 8th in batting average (.253). Key players like Eugenio Suarez and Ketel Marte have been driving forces in the lineup.
Pitching has been a bit of a concern for the Pirates, with a team ERA of 4.49, ranking 26th in the league. Their bullpen has been inconsistent, and starting pitching has had its ups and downs. Yilber Diaz will need to step up in this game to give his team a chance to win.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have had a roller-coaster season, with a 52-52 record. Their offense has struggled at times, ranking 23rd in runs scored (425) and 25th in batting average (.232). Players like Oneil Cruz have been bright spots, but the team needs more consistent production from the lineup.
Pitching has been a strength for the Diamondbacks, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking 11th in the league. Mitch Keller has been a key contributor to the rotation, and the bullpen has been reliable. Arizona will look to their pitching staff to keep them in the game.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 2B | Groin | Probable |
| Rowdy Tellez | 1B | Back | Probable |
| Jared Jones | SP | Lat | Expected to be out until Aug 8 |
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until Aug 16 |
Recent Games
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Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | 8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | 4-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | 0-6 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 2-1 | W |
| vs St. Louis | 1-2 | L |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | 5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | 3-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | 1-2 | L |
| @ Kansas City | 4-10 | L |
| @ Kansas City | 6-2 | W |
Prediction
Considering Eugenio Suarez's recent form and his matchup against Mitch Keller, there is a good chance for Suarez to exceed his prop bets. Keller has shown some vulnerability against right-handed batters, and Suarez has been hitting well recently. Given the odds, the best value bet appears to be on Suarez getting over 0.5 hits at -185. While not the most lucrative, it's a solid bet given Suarez's consistency at the plate.
Pick: Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Hits (-185)
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