MLB Player Props Picks Today: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/29
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:46:11 PM
MLB Player Props Picks Today: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/29
Photo Credit: © Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The New York Yankees (62-45) are set to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (65-40) in the first game of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 6:40 PM EDT. This matchup features two of the top teams from their respective leagues, with the Yankees sitting second in the AL East and the Phillies leading the NL East.
The Phillies boast an impressive home record of 38-18 and have been dominant when scoring five or more runs, holding a 46-6 record in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have been solid on the road with a 35-22 record and have a 49-9 record in games where they out-hit their opponents.
Both teams are looking to improve their form as they head into the final stretch of the regular season. The Phillies have struggled recently, going 3-7 in their last ten games with a .220 batting average and a 5.12 ERA. The Yankees, while slightly better at 4-6 in their last ten, have also faced challenges with a .277 batting average and a 4.94 ERA.
Notable performances include Bryce Harper of the Phillies, who has 22 doubles, 24 home runs, and 67 RBIs, and Aaron Judge of the Yankees, who leads his team with a .314 batting average, 37 home runs, and 96 RBIs. This game marks the first time these two powerhouses will face each other this season, promising an exciting showdown.
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Player Prop Odds
Nick Castellanos:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390)
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-165)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+180)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+120)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+150)
Player Analysis
Nick Castellanos has been a steady contributor for the Philadelphia Phillies this season. Known for his power and consistency, Castellanos has a knack for coming through in clutch situations. This season, Castellanos has accumulated a respectable number of hits, doubles, and RBIs, making him a key player to watch in tonight's game against the Yankees.
Castellanos' stats this season include a solid batting average and a significant number of total bases. His ability to get on base and drive in runs will be crucial for the Phillies as they look to gain an edge over the Yankees. With Zack Wheeler on the mound for the Phillies, Castellanos and his teammates will need to provide run support to secure a victory.
Opposing Analysis
The Yankees will counter with Luis Gil on the mound, who has been effective this season with a 10-5 record, a 3.10 ERA, and 124 strikeouts. Gil has the ability to dominate opposing hitters, but he will face a tough challenge against a Phillies lineup that can generate offense in various ways.
The Yankees' bullpen has also been a strength, with a respectable ERA and several key relievers who can shut down games. This means that Castellanos will need to capitalize on his opportunities early in the game before the Yankees turn to their relief pitching.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 10-4 | 2.55 | 133 |
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 10-5 | 3.10 | 124 |
Team Previews
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies have been strong offensively, leading the league in runs with 539 and ranking 10th in hits with 895. They also have a solid team batting average of .250. Their pitching staff has been reliable, with a team ERA of 3.67, ranking them 5th in the league. However, they have committed 63 errors, which is something they need to improve on to maintain their strong record.
New York Yankees
The Yankees have been one of the top teams in the league, ranking 1st in wins with 65 and holding the 2nd-best ERA at 3.43. Offensively, they are 5th in hits (916) and runs (512), with a team batting average of .256. Their defense has also been solid, with 59 errors, placing them 9th in the league. The Yankees will look to continue their strong performance on the road in this series against the Phillies.
Team Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez | SP | 15-Day IL (back) |
| Luis Ortiz | SP | 60-Day IL (ankle) |
| Spencer Turnbull | SP | 15-Day IL (back) |
| Taijuan Walker | SP | 15-Day IL (index finger) |
| Dylan Covey | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
New York Yankees
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | C | 10-Day IL (quadricep) |
| Nick Burdi | RP | 60-Day IL (hip) |
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | 10-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Anthony Rizzo | 1B | 60-Day IL (wrist) |
| Clarke Schmidt | SP | 60-Day IL (lat) |
| Cody Poteet | SP | 15-Day IL (tricep) |
| Ian Hamilton | RP | 15-Day IL (lat) |
| Jon Berti | INF | 60-Day IL (calf) |
| Jonathan Loaisiga | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| JT Brubaker | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Lou Trivino | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
Philadelphia Phillies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Cleveland | W 8-0 | W |
| vs Cleveland | L 4-3 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | W 6-0 | W |
| @ Minnesota | L 7-2 | L |
| @ Minnesota | W 3-0 | W |
New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Boston | W 8-2 | W |
| @ Boston | W 11-8 (10) | W |
| @ Boston | L 9-7 | L |
| vs New York | L 12-3 | L |
| vs New York | L 3-2 | L |
Prediction
Pick: Nick Castellanos Over 1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Given Nick Castellanos' ability to generate extra-base hits and his current form, taking the over on total bases is a solid play. His matchup against Luis Gil, who has been effective but not infallible, provides an opportunity for Castellanos to exceed this mark. Additionally, with the Phillies needing a strong offensive performance, Castellanos will be a key figure in their lineup.
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