MLB Player Props Picks Today: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox 7/27

MLB Player Props Picks Today: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox 7/27

Photo Credit: © Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The New York Yankees will clash with the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 7:15 p.m. EDT. Both teams are battling for position in the highly competitive AL East division, with the Yankees currently holding a record of 60-45, placing them second, while the Red Sox are close behind at 55-47, securing the third spot.

The Red Sox come into this game on a three-game home winning streak, showcasing their ability to defend Fenway Park. They have been consistent at home with a 25-25 record and an overall record of 55-47. Boston's hitters have been formidable, boasting a collective .432 slugging percentage, which ranks them third in MLB.

The Yankees, on the other hand, have been strong on the road with a 33-22 record and an overall record of 60-45. Their team slugging percentage of .429 places them fourth in MLB, demonstrating their offensive prowess. This game marks the eighth meeting between these two storied franchises this season, with Boston leading the season series 5-2.

Top performers for the Red Sox include Jarren Duran, who has accumulated 30 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs. Tyler O'Neill has also been hot, going 13-for-41 with two doubles and four home runs over the past 10 games. The Yankees will rely on Juan Soto, who has 20 doubles, four triples, and 26 home runs with a .307 batting average, and Austin Wells, who has hit four home runs in his last 30 at-bats.

Recent form suggests both teams are evenly matched, with both having a 4-6 record in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have a batting average of .297 and an ERA of 5.58 during this stretch, while the Yankees have a batting average of .258 and an ERA of 4.39.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are the odds for Rafael Devers' player props:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+215)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+170)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+390)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (-120)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-150)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-135)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-140)

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Player Analysis

Rafael Devers has been a standout performer for the Red Sox this season. He leads the team with a .296 batting average and has been a consistent power threat, hitting 23 home runs and driving in 64 runs. Devers' ability to hit for both average and power makes him a key player to watch in tonight's matchup. Over his last 10 games, Devers has been in solid form, contributing significantly to the Red Sox's offense.

Devers' propensity to drive the ball into the gaps and over the fence makes the prop for over 0.5 home runs at +390 particularly enticing. Additionally, his overall hitting proficiency supports the over 1.5 hits prop at +170. Given his recent form and historical success against the Yankees, Devers is likely to make a significant impact in this game.

Opposing Analysis

Marcus Stroman, the starting pitcher for the Yankees, has had a solid season with a 7-5 record, a 3.51 ERA, and 83 strikeouts over 110.1 innings. Stroman is known for his ability to induce ground balls and limit hard contact, which will be crucial against a power hitter like Devers.

Stroman will need to be precise with his location to avoid giving Devers any easy pitches to hit. The Red Sox lineup, which ranks third in MLB with a .432 slugging percentage, will pose a significant challenge for Stroman. However, his experience and skill set make him a formidable opponent.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Marcus Stroman (NYY)	7-5	3.51	1.31	110.1	97	83	47	17
Kutter Crawford (BOS)	6-8	3.37	1.05	117.2	95	112	29	19

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Team Previews

New York Yankees

• Hitting: The Yankees offense is powered by Juan Soto and Austin Wells. Soto's .307 average and 26 home runs are a testament to his hitting prowess. Wells, with four home runs in his last 30 at-bats, has been a key contributor recently.
• Relief Pitching: The Yankees bullpen has been reliable, with 27 saves ranking them tied for 10th in MLB. However, injuries to key relievers like Clarke Schmidt and Jonathan Loaisiga could be a concern.
• Fielding: The Yankees' defense has committed 74 errors, ranking them second in MLB. Strong fielding will be crucial in a tight game against the Red Sox.
• Starting Pitchers: Marcus Stroman's experience and ability to limit hard contact will be vital in containing the Red Sox's powerful lineup.

Boston Red Sox

• Hitting: The Red Sox lineup is formidable, with players like Jarren Duran and Tyler O'Neill performing exceptionally well. Duran's 30 doubles and 13 home runs highlight his ability to contribute offensively.
• Relief Pitching: The Red Sox bullpen has also been solid, with 27 saves tying them for 10th in MLB. Injuries to key relievers like Kenley Jansen could impact their performance.
• Fielding: The Red Sox defense has committed 61 errors, ranking seventh in MLB. Consistent fielding will be crucial to support their pitchers.
• Starting Pitchers: Kutter Crawford has been impressive with a 3.37 ERA and 112 strikeouts. His ability to strike out batters will be key against the Yankees' potent lineup.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	10-Day IL (hamstring)
Nick Burdi	RP	60-Day IL (hip)
Anthony Rizzo	1B	60-Day IL (wrist)
Clarke Schmidt	RP	60-Day IL (lat)
Jose Trevino	C	10-Day IL (quadricep)

Player	Position	Injury Status
Kenley Jansen	RP	Day-to-day (heart)
Triston Casas	1B	60-Day IL (rib)
Garrett Whitlock	RP	60-Day IL (oblique)
Trevor Story	SS	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Lucas Giolito	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Tampa Bay	W 6-1	W
vs Tampa Bay	L 9-1	L
vs Tampa Bay	L 6-4	L
vs Tampa Bay	W 9-1	W
vs New York	L 3-2	L

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Los Angeles	L 4-1	L
@ Los Angeles	L 7-6 F/11	L
@ Los Angeles	L 9-6	L
@ Colorado	L 9-8 F/12	L
@ Colorado	W 6-0	W

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Prediction

Considering Rafael Devers' recent form and his track record against the Yankees, the prop bet for over 1.5 total bases at -140 appears to be a strong play. Devers has been consistent in accumulating extra-base hits, and with Marcus Stroman's tendency to allow hits, Devers is likely to capitalize on any mistake pitches.

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