MLB Player Props Picks Today: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/27

Mr Wager
Jul 27, 2024, 9:16:18 AM

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Game Summary

The Miami Marlins will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on July 27, 2024, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. This game marks the second of a three-game series, with Miami leading 1-0 after their 6-2 victory. The Brewers have a solid home record of 29-18 this season, while the Marlins have struggled on the road with a 16-32 record. Historically, the Marlins have a slight edge in the season series, leading 3-1.

Milwaukee's offense has been potent when they manage to tally eight or more hits, boasting a 44-16 record in such games. On the other hand, Miami has shown a strong performance when they outhit their opponents, going 28-12.

Both teams have battled injuries throughout the season, which has impacted their overall performances. The Brewers will be without key players like Rob Zastryzny, Christian Yelich, and Brandon Woodruff, while the Marlins miss the services of Jesus Luzardo, Sandy Alcantara, and Sixto Sanchez.

Saturday's matchup promises to be an intriguing contest, with Miami's Max Meyer (2-0, 2.12 ERA) on the mound against Milwaukee's Aaron Civale (2-7, 5.17 ERA). Meyer has been exceptional in his limited appearances, while Civale has struggled this season.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are the latest prop odds for Jake Burger:

Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +450
Batter Hits (1.5): Over +260
Batter Home Runs (0.5): Over +370
Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +170, Under -235
Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +130, Under -175
Batter Singles (0.5): Over +120
Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +145, Under -190

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Player Analysis: Jake Burger

Jake Burger has been a notable presence in the Marlins' lineup, contributing significantly with his bat. This season, Burger has showcased his power, hitting 18 home runs and driving in 50 RBIs. His slugging percentage stands at .417, indicating his ability to drive the ball for extra bases.

In recent games, Burger's performance has been solid. Over the last 10 games, he has gone 13-for-42, including four doubles and a home run. His recent form suggests he could be a pivotal player in this matchup against Milwaukee.

Opposing Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers Pitching

Milwaukee's pitching staff has faced challenges this season, particularly with the injury to key players. Aaron Civale, the probable starter for this game, has struggled with a 2-7 record and a 5.17 ERA. In 102.2 innings pitched, Civale has allowed 107 hits and 21 home runs, indicating his vulnerability to long balls.

The Brewers' bullpen has not fared much better, with several relievers on the injured list. This could provide an opportunity for Burger and the Marlins' offense to capitalize and put runs on the board.

Pitching Probables

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Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Max Meyer (MIA)	2-0	2.12	14
Aaron Civale (MIL)	2-7	5.17	102

Team Previews

Miami Marlins

Hitting: The Marlins' offense ranks 7th in hits (890) and 6th in batting average (.254). Bryan De La Cruz leads the team with 18 home runs, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been a consistent contributor with a .249 average.

Relief Pitching: Miami's bullpen has been effective, ranking 3rd in saves (35) with a respectable ERA of 3.72. Key relievers like Scott and Bender have been instrumental in closing out games.

Fielding: Defensively, the Marlins have committed 55 errors, which ranks them tied for 14th in the league. Their fielding has been average, and they will need to maintain focus to support their pitching staff.

Starting Pitchers: Max Meyer has been a standout with a 2.12 ERA in limited action. The Marlins' rotation has been hit by injuries, but Meyer and other young arms have stepped up.

Milwaukee Brewers

Hitting: The Brewers have struggled offensively, ranking 17th in hits (831) and 29th in runs scored (374). William Contreras has been a bright spot with 11 home runs and 26 doubles.

Relief Pitching: Milwaukee's bullpen has been inconsistent, impacted by injuries to key players like Devin Williams. They rank 27th in saves (20), and their overall ERA is 4.48.

Fielding: The Brewers have committed the most errors in the league (75), indicating defensive lapses that could be costly in close games.

Starting Pitchers: Aaron Civale has struggled with a 5.17 ERA, and the rotation has been inconsistent. The Brewers will need a strong outing from Civale to keep the game close.

Team Injuries

Miami Marlins

Player	Position	Injury Status
Dane Myers	SP	10-Day IL (ankle)
Ryan Weathers	SP	60-Day IL (finger)
Sixto Sanchez	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Braxton Garrett	SP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Jesus Luzardo	SP	60-Day IL (back)
Josh Simpson	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Eury Perez	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Sandy Alcantara	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Milwaukee Brewers

Player	Position	Injury Status
Rob Zastryzny	RP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Christian Yelich	OF	10-Day IL (back)
Oliver Dunn	OF	60-Day IL (back)
Enoli Paredes	RP	15-Day IL (forearm)
Robert Gasser	SP	60-Day IL (flexor)
D.L. Hall	SP	60-Day IL (knee)
Joe Ross	SP	15-Day IL (back)
J.B. Bukauskas	RP	60-Day IL (lat)
Wade Miley	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Devin Williams	RP	60-Day IL (back)
Brandon Woodruff	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)