MLB Player Props Picks Today: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros 7/27
- Mr Wager
- Jul 27, 2024, 8:50:22 AM
MLB Player Props Picks Today: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros 7/27
Photo Credit: © Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers (62-43, first in the NL West) are looking to halt their three-game road losing streak as they face off against the Houston Astros (54-49, first in the AL West) at Minute Maid Park on Saturday, July 27, 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Dodgers have been dominant away from home with a 28-23 road record, but they face a tough challenge against an Astros team that boasts a solid 29-21 home record.
Both teams have shown prowess in different areas. The Astros have a collective .321 on-base percentage, ranking 10th in the MLB, while the Dodgers have an impressive record of 42-8 in games where they score five or more runs. The two teams have faced each other once this season, making this an intriguing rematch.
Key players to watch include Alex Bregman for the Astros, who has tallied 20 doubles, two triples, and 13 home runs. Jake Meyers has also been in form, going 9-for-39 with a double and three home runs over the last 10 games. For the Dodgers, Freddie Freeman has been a standout, hitting .288 with 26 doubles, two triples, and 16 home runs. Shohei Ohtani has also been hot, going 13-for-38 with five doubles, a triple, and three home runs in his last 10 games.
The Astros have a recent form of 5-5 with a .249 batting average and a 2.97 ERA, outscoring opponents by five runs. The Dodgers are 6-4 in their last 10 games, with a .258 batting average and a 4.40 ERA, maintaining an even run differential.
Both teams are dealing with injuries. The Astros will be without key players like Justin Verlander (neck), Cristian Javier (forearm), and Kyle Tucker (shin). The Dodgers have a longer injury list, including Chris Taylor (groin), Miguel Rojas (forearm), and Yoshinobu Yamamoto (tricep).
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Player Prop Odds
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-140)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+200)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+145)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+175)
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Player Analysis
Chas McCormick has been a reliable player for the Astros, and his recent performances suggest that he could be a key player in tonight's game. McCormick has shown good form in the past few games and will be looking to capitalize on the Dodgers' current road struggles. With odds of +450 for hitting a double, there is significant value in betting on McCormick to achieve this feat, especially considering his ability to find gaps in the outfield.
Opposing Analysis
The Dodgers will be starting Justin Wrobleski, who has a 0-1 record with a 4.40 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Wrobleski has struggled with consistency this season, allowing 13 hits and six walks in just 14.1 innings pitched. This could be an opportunity for McCormick to take advantage of a less experienced pitcher and add to his hit tally.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wrobleski | 0-1 | 4.40 | 1.33 | 14.1 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 4 |
| R. Blanco | 9-5 | 2.75 | 0.99 | 114.2 | 70 | 105 | 43 | 17 |
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Team Previews
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been a powerhouse this season, ranking 2nd in hits (927), 10th in runs (483), and 2nd in batting average (.262). Their pitching staff holds a middle-of-the-pack ERA of 3.98 (15th) but has struggled with errors, ranking 29th with 43 errors. The bullpen has contributed 25 saves, tying them for 17th in the league.
Houston Astros
The Astros are not far behind, ranking 4th in hits (908), 2nd in runs (516), and 5th in batting average (.254). Their pitching has been more reliable, with a 3.77 ERA (10th) and 33 saves (4th). However, they also have their share of errors, ranking 19th with 51 errors.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | SS | 10-Day IL (groin) |
| Miguel Rojas | SS | 10-Day IL (forearm) |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | SP | 60-Day IL (tricep) |
| Dustin May | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow/esophagus) |
| Max Muncy | 1B | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
| Walker Buehler | SP | 15-Day IL (hip) |
| Michael Grove | RP | 15-Day IL (lat) |
| Mookie Betts | RF | 10-Day IL (hand) |
| Ryan Brasier | RP | 60-Day IL (calf) |
| Connor Brogdon | RP | 60-Day IL (foot) |
| Brusdar Graterol | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Emmet Sheehan | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Tony Gonsolin | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | W 4-1 | W |
| vs Boston | W 7-6 (11) | W |
| vs Boston | W 9-6 | W |
| vs San Francisco | W 3-2 | W |
| vs San Francisco | W 5-2 | W |
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| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Seattle | W 3-0 | W |
| @ Seattle | W 4-2 | W |
| @ Seattle | L 6-4 | L |
| @ Oakland | L 4-0 | L |
| @ Oakland | L 8-2 | L |
Prediction
Given the recent performances and the pitching matchup, our pick is Chas McCormick Over 0.5 Hits (-140). McCormick has shown good form recently, and facing off against a less consistent pitcher like Wrobleski gives him a solid chance to notch at least one hit in the game.
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