MLB Player Props Picks Today: Cubs vs Royals 7/26

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 25, 2024, 11:37:09 PM
MLB Player Props Picks Today: Cubs vs Royals 7/26
Photo Credit: © Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports
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Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs are set to face off against the Kansas City Royals on July 26 at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons. The Cubs, holding a record of 56-47, are vying for a playoff spot, while the Royals, at 49-55, are looking to climb back to .500 and remain competitive. The Cubs have been solid at home with a 35-20 record but have struggled on the road at 21-27. The Royals have a balanced home record of 27-25 but are underwhelming away from home at 22-30.
Historically, the Cubs have had the upper hand against the Royals, winning the last three meetings out of five. However, the Royals will look to capitalize on their recent form, having won four out of their last five games, including a series win against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Cubs, on the other hand, have been inconsistent, losing four out of their last five games.
Both teams will look to their starting pitchers to set the tone. The Cubs' Kyle Hendricks (2-8, 6.69 ERA) will face off against the Royals' Brady Singer (6-6, 3.00 ERA). Hendricks has struggled this season, while Singer has been a bright spot for the Royals, showcasing a commendable ERA and strikeout ability. The Cubs' offense will need to step up against Singer, who has been effective in limiting runs and inducing strikeouts.
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Player Prop Odds
Today's player prop odds for Michael Busch:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390), Under 0.5 (-700)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+220), Under 0.5 (-320)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+120), Under 0.5 (-160)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-105), Under 0.5 (-130)
Player Analysis: Michael Busch
Michael Busch has been a consistent performer for the Royals this season. With a batting average of .265, Busch has been able to get on base regularly. His 18 home runs indicate his power-hitting capability, and his 60 RBIs show his ability to drive in runs in crucial moments. Over the last 10 games, Busch has been in good form, hitting .300 with 3 home runs and 10 RBIs.
Busch's ability to hit for power and average makes him a key player for the Royals. His matchup against Kyle Hendricks, who has struggled this season, provides a favorable opportunity for Busch to add to his impressive stats. Given Hendricks' high ERA and WHIP, Busch could potentially have a big game, especially if he can capitalize on Hendricks' propensity to give up hits and home runs.
Opposing Analysis: Kyle Hendricks
Kyle Hendricks has had a challenging season with a 2-8 record and a 6.69 ERA. Hendricks has struggled with consistency, often giving up runs early in games. His WHIP of 1.49 indicates that he allows a significant number of base runners, which could be exploited by the Royals' hitters.
Hendricks' strikeout numbers are also down this season, with only 52 strikeouts in 75.1 innings pitched. This could play into Busch's favor, as he is a contact hitter who can take advantage of pitches in the strike zone. Additionally, Hendricks has given up 15 home runs this season, making him susceptible to power hitters like Busch.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hendricks (CHC) | 2-8 | 6.69 | 1.49 | 75.1 | 88 | 52 | 24 | 15 |
| B. Singer (KC) | 6-6 | 3.00 | 1.22 | 111.0 | 101 | 106 | 34 | 13 |
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs have been a solid team overall with a balanced offensive and defensive approach. They rank 11th in batting average (.250) and 11th in runs scored (477). Their pitching has also been reliable, with a team ERA of 3.76, ranking 10th in the league. The Cubs' bullpen has contributed 24 saves, ranking 19th.
Offensively, the Cubs rely on players like Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez. Witt Jr. leads the team with a .344 batting average, while Perez leads with 18 home runs. The Cubs' defense has committed 49 errors, ranking 22nd, which is an area they need to improve.
Kansas City Royals
The Royals have had an up-and-down season, with their offense struggling at times. They rank 20th in hits (805) and 20th in runs scored (424). Their team batting average of .233 ranks 24th, indicating their struggles at the plate. However, their pitching has been a bright spot, with a team ERA of 3.70, ranking 6th in the league.
Michael Busch has been a standout player for the Royals, leading the team with a .265 batting average. Christopher Morel has also contributed with 18 home runs. The Royals' defense has committed 53 errors, ranking 16th, which they need to address to improve their overall performance.
Team Injuries
Chicago Cubs Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kilian | RP | Wed, Jul 24 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Kansas City Royals Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Melendez | LF | Tue, Jul 16 | Ankle | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs Recent Games
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Arizona | L5-2 | 47-52 | Nelson 7-6 | Steele 2-4 | Sewald 14 | 40691 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Arizona | L3-0 | 47-53 | Gallen 7-5 | Hendricks 2-8 | Sewald 15 | 39595 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Arizona | W2-1 F/10 | 48-53 | Neris 8-2 | Mantiply 3-2 | NaN | 39162 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Milwaukee | W3-1 | 49-53 | Smyly 3-5 | Myers 6-4 | Neris 14 | 35741 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Milwaukee | L1-0 | 49-54 | Peguero 6-3 | Taillon 7-5 | Megill 20 | 37651 |
Kansas City Royals Recent Games
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Chicago | W7-1 | 53-45 | Wacha 7-6 | Flexen 2-9 | NaN | 26693 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Chicago | W6-1 | 54-45 | Singer 6-6 | Cannon 1-4 | NaN | 27545 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Chicago | W4-1 | 55-45 | Lugo 12-4 | Brebbia 0-5 | NaN | 22226 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Arizona | W10-4 | 56-45 | Ragans 7-6 | Diaz 1-1 | NaN | 16275 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Arizona | L6-2 | 56-46 | Montgomery 7-5 | Marsh 7-7 | NaN | 21993 |
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Prediction
Given Kyle Hendricks' struggles this season and Michael Busch's consistent performance, the prop bet "Batter RBIs Over 0.5" at +220 odds for Michael Busch seems like a valuable pick. Hendricks' high ERA and susceptibility to giving up hits and home runs make this a favorable matchup for Busch, who has been effective at driving in runs.
Pick: Batter RBIs Over 0.5 (+220)
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