MLB Player Props Picks: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays - 7/28

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:37:33 AM
MLB Player Props Picks: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays - 7/28
Photo Credit: © Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Texas Rangers will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays on July 28th at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. This matchup sees two teams with contrasting fortunes as the Blue Jays look to build on their recent victories while the Rangers aim to bounce back from a series of losses.
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The Rangers have struggled lately, with a 48-56 record overall and a 23-28 record on the road. Their recent performance includes a tough series against the Baltimore Orioles and Chicago White Sox, where they managed to secure some narrow wins but also faced significant losses. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have a 51-54 record overall and a stronger 29-23 record at home. They are coming off a series against the Detroit Tigers and Tampa Bay Rays, where they had a mix of wins and losses, but showed resilience in their victories.
Historically, the Blue Jays have had the upper hand in this matchup, particularly when playing at home. With the Blue Jays' home advantage and the Rangers' recent struggles, this game promises to be a crucial one for both teams as they look to improve their standings.
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Player Prop Odds
Josh Smith - Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+340.0) / Under 0.5 (-550.0)
Josh Smith - Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-185.0) / Under 0.5 (+135.0)
Josh Smith - Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+215.0) / Under 0.5 (-310.0)
Josh Smith - Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+120.0) / Under 0.5 (-165.0)
Josh Smith - Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110.0) / Under 0.5 (-150.0)
Josh Smith - Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-185.0) / Under 0.5 (+135.0)
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Player Analysis
Josh Smith has been a consistent performer for the Texas Rangers this season. With a batting average of .282, he has proven to be a reliable hitter in the lineup. Smith has shown the ability to get on base and contribute to the team's offense, making him a valuable asset in various prop bets. His recent form indicates that he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact.
Smith's ability to hit for singles and get on base makes the prop for him to have over 0.5 hits (-185.0) an attractive option. Additionally, his knack for scoring runs when he reaches base adds value to the prop for him to score over 0.5 runs (+120.0). Given his current form and the Rangers' need for offensive production, Smith is likely to play a crucial role in this game.
Opposing Analysis
Josh Smith will be facing off against Jose Berrios, the starting pitcher for the Toronto Blue Jays. Berrios has had a mixed season with an 8-8 record and a 4.08 ERA. While Berrios has shown flashes of brilliance, he has also been susceptible to giving up hits and runs. His WHIP of 1.21 suggests that he allows a fair number of baserunners, which could work in Smith's favor.
Berrios's tendency to allow hits makes the prop for Smith to have over 0.5 hits (-185.0) even more appealing. Additionally, considering Berrios's occasional struggles with control, Smith could find opportunities to score runs, making the over 0.5 runs (+120.0) a valuable prop to consider.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 8-8 | 4.08 | 92 |
| Jon Gray (TEX) | 5-4 | 3.73 | 78 |
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Team Previews
Texas Rangers: The Rangers have struggled offensively this season, ranking 27th in hits (800) and 26th in runs (416). Their team batting average of .236 is 21st in the league. On the pitching side, they have a team ERA of 4.54, which places them 27th in the league. The Rangers' relief pitching has had its ups and downs, with 24 saves ranking 19th. Fielding has been another area of concern, with 57 errors placing them 12th in the league.
Toronto Blue Jays: The Blue Jays have been more consistent offensively, ranking 16th in hits (840) and 18th in runs (446). Their team batting average of .240 is 17th in the league. The Blue Jays' pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.99, which ranks 16th. Their relief pitching has contributed 22 saves, ranking 24th. Defensively, the Blue Jays have committed 45 errors, ranking 27th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Pruitt | RP | Sun, Jul 28 | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| C. Bradford | SP | Sun, Jul 28 | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
| J. Romano | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Sep 6 |
Recent Games
Texas Rangers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Baltimore | L 9-1 | Loss |
| vs Baltimore | L 8-4 | Loss |
| vs Baltimore | W 3-2 | Win |
| vs Chicago | W 4-3 F/10 | Win |
| vs Chicago | W 3-2 | Win |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit | L 5-4 | Loss |
| vs Detroit | L 7-3 | Loss |
| vs Detroit | W 5-4 | Win |
| vs Tampa Bay | L 4-2 | Loss |
| vs Tampa Bay | W 6-3 | Win |
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Prediction
Given Josh Smith's recent form and Jose Berrios's tendency to allow hits, the prop for Smith to have over 0.5 hits (-185.0) is a strong pick. Smith's ability to get on base and contribute to the Rangers' offense makes this prop bet an attractive option. Additionally, considering the odds and the current form of both players, the over 0.5 runs scored (+120.0) for Smith also holds value.
Pick: Over 0.5 hits (-185.0)
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