MLB Player Props Picks: Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox 7/26

- Mr Wager
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:13:53 PM
MLB Player Props Picks: Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox 7/26
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Photo Credit: © Stephen Brashear-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Seattle Mariners are set to face off against the Chicago White Sox on July 26 at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. The Mariners are coming into this game with a dismal 27-78 record, holding the last position in their division. Their recent form has seen them struggle considerably, losing four out of their last five games. They have particularly struggled in their away games, with a 10-44 record on the road.
On the other side, the Chicago White Sox have been more competitive, with a 53-51 record. They hold a strong home record of 31-23, making them formidable at Guaranteed Rate Field. However, the White Sox have also faced some challenges recently, losing five of their last six games.
The Mariners will likely start Drew Thorpe, who has a 3-1 record with a 3.03 ERA. The White Sox will counter with George Kirby, who has a 7-7 record and a 3.20 ERA. This game promises to be a battle of the pitchers, with both teams struggling offensively. The Mariners rank 29th in hits and 30th in runs, while the White Sox rank 30th in hits and 28th in runs.
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Player Prop Odds
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+425) / Under 0.5 (-750)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-180) / Under 0.5 (+130)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+245) / Under 0.5 (-360)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+135) / Under 0.5 (-185)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+105) / Under 0.5 (-140)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+165) / Under 0.5 (-230)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+115) / Under 1.5 (-160)
Player Analysis
Cal Raleigh is a key player for the Seattle Mariners. Despite the team's overall struggles, Raleigh has managed to put up decent numbers. He leads the team with 20 home runs and 62 RBIs, showcasing his power at the plate. His batting average sits at .210, which is not spectacular, but his ability to drive in runs and hit home runs makes him a threat in any game.
Raleigh's prop odds for this game reflect his potential impact. The odds for him to hit a home run are +245, indicating a decent chance. His odds to get over 0.5 hits are -180, suggesting that bookmakers expect him to get at least one hit in this game. Additionally, his odds to score over 1.5 total bases are +115, reflecting his ability to get on base and make impactful plays.
Opposing Analysis
The Chicago White Sox's pitching staff, led by George Kirby, will be looking to keep Raleigh in check. Kirby has a solid 3.20 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP, indicating his ability to limit baserunners and keep runs off the board. The White Sox bullpen has also been reliable, with a combined ERA of 3.41, ranking 1st in the league.
However, the White Sox have shown some vulnerability to power hitters this season, as they have given up a considerable number of home runs. This could play into Raleigh's strengths, as he excels at hitting the long ball. If Kirby and the bullpen can avoid giving Raleigh pitches to hit, they can limit his impact on the game.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 7-7 | 3.20 | 0.98 | 123.2 | 108 | 122 | 13 | 11 |
| Drew Thorpe | 3-1 | 3.03 | 1.01 | 38.2 | 22 | 24 | 17 | 4 |
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Team Previews
Seattle Mariners
The Seattle Mariners have struggled mightily this season, particularly on the offensive side. They rank near the bottom in key offensive stats, including 29th in hits and 30th in runs scored. Their team batting average of .217 is also the second lowest in the league. Despite these struggles, they have some bright spots, like Cal Raleigh, who leads the team in home runs and RBIs.
The Mariners' pitching staff has also faced challenges, with a team ERA of 4.63. Their bullpen has not been reliable, and they have struggled to close out games. Drew Thorpe, their probable starter for this game, has been a rare positive with a 3-1 record and a 3.03 ERA. However, the lack of depth in their pitching staff has been a significant issue.
Chicago White Sox
The Chicago White Sox have had a more competitive season, with a balanced approach on both offense and defense. They rank 1st in team ERA at 3.41, showcasing their strong pitching staff. George Kirby, their probable starter, has been reliable with a 3.20 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. The bullpen has also been effective, contributing to the team's success.
Offensively, the White Sox have struggled with consistency, ranking 30th in hits and 28th in runs scored. However, they have shown flashes of power, with Cal Raleigh leading the team with 20 home runs. The White Sox will need to find a way to generate more consistent offense to support their strong pitching staff.
Team Injuries
Seattle Mariners
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford | SS | Wed, Jul 24 | Hand | Expected to be out until at least Aug 23 |
| Julio Rodriguez | CF | Wed, Jul 24 | Ankle | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
| Gregory Santos | RP | Wed, Jul 24 | Undisclosed | Probable for Jul 26 |
Chicago White Sox
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Clevinger | SP | Tue, Jul 23 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Mike Soroka | RP | Tue, Jul 23 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Matt Foster | RP | Tue, Jul 23 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Recent Games
Seattle Mariners
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Houston | L 3-0 | L |
| vs Houston | L 4-2 | L |
| vs Houston | W 6-4 | W |
| vs Los Angeles | L 3-1 | L |
| vs Los Angeles | L 5-1 | L |
Chicago White Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Kansas City | L 7-1 | L |
| @ Kansas City | L 6-1 | L |
| @ Kansas City | L 4-1 | L |
| @ Texas | L 4-3 F/10 | L |
| @ Texas | L 3-2 | L |
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Prediction
Given the prop odds and the current form of Cal Raleigh, the best value bet seems to be on him hitting a home run at +245. Raleigh has been the primary power hitter for the Mariners, and with the White Sox's vulnerability to home runs, this prop bet offers good value.
Pick: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+245)
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