MLB Player Props Picks: Rockies vs Giants 7/28

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 2:33:14 AM
MLB Player Props Picks: Rockies vs Giants 7/28
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Game Summary
The San Francisco Giants will host the Colorado Rockies at Oracle Park on July 28th. The Giants are coming off a mixed set of games, winning their last three against the Rockies, but losing three out of four against the Dodgers recently. The Rockies, on the other hand, have been struggling with a 38-68 record, placing them at the bottom of the NL West standings.
Historically, the Giants have had a better record against the Rockies, especially in their home games at Oracle Park. The pitching matchup for this game features Austin Gomber for the Rockies and Jordan Hicks for the Giants. Gomber has a 2-6 record with a 4.70 ERA, whereas Hicks holds a 4-7 record with a 4.01 ERA.
With intermittent clouds and a temperature around 64°F, the weather shouldn't be a significant factor in this game. Both teams have struggled in various areas, but the Giants have demonstrated more consistency lately, especially when it comes to hitting. This game is crucial for the Giants to keep their momentum and improve their position in the standings.
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Player Prop Odds
David Villar:
- Batter Doubles Over 0.5: +380
- Batter Hits Over 0.5: -185
- Batter RBIs Over 0.5: +190
- Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5: +155
- Batter Total Bases Over 0.5: -185
Player Analysis
David Villar, who has shown flashes of brilliance this season, is a key player to watch in this matchup against the Rockies. Villar has a batting average of .237 and has managed to hit 15 home runs so far. His RBI count stands at 53, making him a crucial component of the Giants' lineup.
Villar's performance in home games has been particularly strong, and given the Rockies' struggles with their pitching staff, he has a good chance to make an impact in this game. His ability to hit doubles and get on base will be vital for the Giants' offensive strategy.
Opposing Analysis
The Rockies' starting pitcher, Austin Gomber, has had a tough season with a 2-6 record and a 4.70 ERA. Gomber has allowed 111 hits in 105.1 innings pitched, which provides an opportunity for Villar and the Giants' lineup to capitalize.
The Rockies' bullpen hasn't been much better, ranking 29th in saves with 19 and having a team ERA of 4.42, which is 24th in the league. This gives Villar a favorable matchup to exploit both the starting pitcher and the relievers.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber (COL) | 2-6 | 4.70 | 72 |
| Jordan Hicks (SF) | 4-7 | 4.01 | 90 |
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Team Previews
Colorado Rockies
The Rockies have been struggling this season with a 38-68 record. Their hitting ranks 15th in batting average at .244, and they are 14th in runs scored with 463. Their pitching has been a significant weakness, with a team ERA of 4.42, ranking them 24th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 58 errors, placing them 11th in the league.
San Francisco Giants
The Giants have a 38-68 record, similar to the Rockies, but have shown more promise in recent games. They rank 12th in hits with 868 and 13th in batting average at .246. Their pitching staff has struggled with a team ERA of 5.56, which is the worst in the league. However, their defensive play has been more reliable, committing 50 errors, ranking them tied for 21st.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Jones | LF | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | SP | Expected to be out until at least Jul 31 |
| Thairo Estrada | 2B | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| Keaton Winn | SP | Out for the season |
Recent Games
Colorado Rockies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Francisco | 4-1 | L |
| vs San Francisco | 5-0 | L |
| @ San Francisco | 11-4 | L |
| vs San Francisco | W20-7 | W |
| vs Boston | W9-8 F/12 | W |
San Francisco Giants
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Colorado | 11-4 | W |
| vs Colorado | 4-1 | W |
| vs Colorado | 5-0 | W |
| @ Los Angeles | 6-4 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | 8-3 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: David Villar Over 0.5 Total Bases
Given Villar's recent form and the favorable matchup against Austin Gomber and the Rockies' bullpen, betting on Villar to get over 0.5 total bases at -185 odds seems like a strong pick. The Giants' offense has been more consistent, and Villar is in a good position to contribute significantly.
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