MLB Player Props Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/28

MLB Player Props Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/28

Photo Credit: © Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

### Game Summary The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks on July 28 at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. The game promises to be an intriguing matchup with both teams vying for a crucial win. The Pirates have had a decent season so far, with a 55-50 record and a 27-26 record on the road. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks are sitting at a 52-52 record, showcasing their consistency both at home and on the road with a 26-26 record in each. The Pirates have been solid offensively, ranking 3rd in runs scored (513) and 8th in batting average (.253). Their pitching staff, however, has struggled with a 4.49 ERA, placing them 26th in this category. On the flip side, the Diamondbacks have been less effective offensively, ranking 23rd in runs (425) and 25th in batting average (.232). However, their pitching staff has fared better with a 3.78 ERA, ranking them 11th. In their recent matchups, the Pirates have shown some inconsistency with a 3-3 record in their last six games, including two losses to the Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks have been more successful recently, winning five out of their last six games. This game will feature Yilber Diaz pitching for the Pirates and Mitch Keller for the Diamondbacks, making for an interesting duel on the mound.

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### Player Prop Odds For Alek Thomas: - **Batter Doubles Over 0.5**: +425 - **Batter Hits Over 0.5**: -185 - **Batter RBIs Over 0.5**: +235 - **Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5**: +180 - **Batter Singles Over 0.5**: +100 - **Batter Total Bases Over 0.5**: -185

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### Player Analysis Alek Thomas has been a key contributor for the Diamondbacks this season. His current batting average stands at .232 with 16 home runs and 52 RBIs. While not the most powerful hitter, Thomas has shown the ability to get on base and contribute to the team's run production. His versatility and consistent performance make him a player to watch in this matchup. ### Opposing Analysis Yilber Diaz, the probable starter for the Pirates, has had a challenging season. With a 1-1 record and a 5.40 ERA, Diaz has struggled to keep runs off the board. This could provide an opportunity for Thomas to capitalize on Diaz's vulnerabilities. The Pirates' bullpen has also been inconsistent, which could further benefit Thomas and the Diamondbacks' offense. ### Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Mitch Keller (ARI)	10-5	3.34	1.24	121.1	119	108	32	13
Yilber Diaz (PIT)	1-1	5.40	1.40	15.0	17	7	4	2

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### Team Previews #### Pittsburgh Pirates The Pirates have shown strong offensive capabilities this season, ranking high in hits and runs. Their pitching staff, however, has been less reliable, with an ERA of 4.49. This inconsistency on the mound has been a significant factor in their fluctuating performance. #### Arizona Diamondbacks The Diamondbacks have been more balanced, with a solid pitching staff and a decent offense. Their ERA of 3.78 reflects a strong performance from their pitchers, which has been crucial in their recent successes. Offensively, they have room for improvement, especially in run production. ### Team Injuries #### Pittsburgh Pirates

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Nick Gonzales	2B	Sat, Jul 27	Groin	Probable for Jul 28
Rowdy Tellez	1B	Sat, Jul 27	Back	Probable for Jul 28
Jared Jones	SP	Sat, Jul 27	Lat	Expected to be out until at least Aug 8

#### Arizona Diamondbacks

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Merrill Kelly	SP	Sat, Jul 27	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Aug 16

### Recent Games #### Pittsburgh Pirates

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	vs Philadelphia	W8-7	49-48	Mlodzinski 2-3	Alvarado 1-4	NaN	39530
Sat, Jul 20	vs Philadelphia	W4-1	50-48	Ortiz 5-2	Sanchez 7-5	NaN	39114
Sun, Jul 21	vs Philadelphia	L6-0	50-49	Phillips 2-0	Gonzales 1-1	NaN	38291
Mon, Jul 22	vs St. Louis	W2-1	51-49	Chapman 2-4	King 3-2	Bednar 18	18970
Tue, Jul 23	vs St. Louis	L2-1	51-50	Fernandez 1-2	Skenes 6-1	Helsley 33	32422
Wed, Jul 24	vs St. Louis	W5-0	52-50	Perez 2-5	Liberatore 2-3	NaN	20091
Fri, Jul 26	@ Arizona	L4-3	52-51	Gallen 8-5	Mlodzinski 2-4	Sewald 16	31255
Sat, Jul 27	@ Arizona	L9-5	52-52	Pfaadt 5-6	Priester 2-6	NaN	35905

#### Arizona Diamondbacks

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	@ Chicago	W5-2	50-48	Nelson 7-6	Steele 2-4	Sewald 14	40691
Sat, Jul 20	@ Chicago	W3-0	51-48	Gallen 7-5	Hendricks 2-8	Sewald 15	39595
Sun, Jul 21	@ Chicago	L2-1 F/10	51-49	Neris 8-2	Mantiply 3-2	NaN	39162
Mon, Jul 22	@ Kansas City	L10-4	51-50	Ragans 7-6	Diaz 1-1	NaN	16275
Tue, Jul 23	@ Kansas City	W6-2	52-50	Montgomery 7-5	Marsh 7-7	NaN	21993
Wed, Jul 24	@ Kansas City	W8-6	53-50	Mantiply 4-2	McArthur 4-4	NaN	15931
Fri, Jul 26	vs Pittsburgh	W4-3	54-50	Gallen 8-5	Mlodzinski 2-4	Sewald 16	31255
Sat, Jul 27	vs Pittsburgh	W9-5	55-50	Pfaadt 5-6	Priester 2-6	NaN	35905

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### Prediction Alek Thomas has shown the ability to get on base consistently, and with Yilber Diaz's struggles on the mound, Thomas is likely to capitalize. The odds of -185 for over 0.5 hits provide a solid value given the matchup and Thomas's performance this season.

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