MLB Player Props Picks: Pirates vs Diamondbacks (10/5)

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:42:16 AM
MLB Player Props Picks: Pirates vs Diamondbacks (10/5)
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Game Summary
Tonight, the Pittsburgh Pirates will face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. This matchup promises to be an exciting contest, with both teams looking to gain momentum as the season progresses. The Pirates, currently 55-50, have shown some promising performances lately, with notable victories against Philadelphia and St. Louis. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks, standing at 52-52, are eager to bounce back after a mixed string of results. Historically, the games between these two teams have been fiercely contested, making this evening’s encounter one to watch.
The last few games have seen the Diamondbacks edge out the Pirates, with wins on July 26 and 27. However, the Pirates have had their share of successes as well, indicating that this game could go either way. With two promising pitchers in the lineup – Yilber Diaz for the Pirates and Mitch Keller for the Diamondbacks – both teams will be looking to capitalize on their strengths and mitigate their weaknesses.
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Player Prop Odds
**Ketel Marte Props**:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+340), Under 0.5 (-550)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+185), Under 0.5 (-260)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+105), Under 0.5 (-140)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110), Under 0.5 (-125)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+130), Under 1.5 (-175)
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Player Analysis
**Ketel Marte** has been a standout performer for the Arizona Diamondbacks this season. With a batting average of .296, Marte has consistently proven to be a reliable hitter. He leads the team in home runs with 23 and has an impressive 71 RBIs to his name. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player in the Diamondbacks' lineup. Given his current form, betting on Marte to have over 1.5 total bases (+130) seems like a promising wager.
Opposing Analysis
**Yilber Diaz**, the probable starting pitcher for the Pittsburgh Pirates, has had a mixed season with an ERA of 5.40. In his 15 innings pitched, Diaz has allowed 17 hits and has struggled with control at times, walking four batters. This could work in favor of Marte, who excels at capitalizing on mistakes made by pitchers. Given Diaz's current form and the Diamondbacks' strong hitting lineup, Marte has a good chance of having a productive game.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (ARI) | 10-5 | 3.34 | 108 |
| Yilber Diaz (PIT) | 1-1 | 5.40 | 7 |
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Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have been solid offensively with 888 hits and a batting average of .253, ranking 8th in the league. They have managed to score 513 runs, placing them 3rd overall. However, their pitching has been less consistent, with an ERA of 4.49, ranking 26th. The Pirates' fielding has also struggled with 42 errors, ranking 30th in the league.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have had a tougher time offensively, with 807 hits and a batting average of .232, ranking 25th. They have managed to score 425 runs, placing them 23rd. However, their pitching has been more reliable with an ERA of 3.78, ranking 11th. The Diamondbacks' fielding has seen some challenges with 50 errors, ranking tied for 21st.
Team Injuries
Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 2B | Sat, Jul 27 | Groin | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 1B | Sat, Jul 27 | Back | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Jared Jones | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Lat | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Recent Games
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | W8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W4-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | L6-0 | L |
| vs St. Louis | W2-1 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L2-1 | L |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W3-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | L2-1 F/10 | L |
| @ Kansas City | L10-4 | L |
| @ Kansas City | W6-2 | W |
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Prediction
Given Ketel Marte's current form and the pitching struggles of Yilber Diaz, our pick is:
Pick: Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
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