MLB Player Props Picks of the Day: Yankees vs Red Sox 7/26

MLB Player Props Picks of the Day: Yankees vs Red Sox 7/26

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Game Summary

The New York Yankees (60-44, second in the AL East) are set to visit the Boston Red Sox (54-47, third in the AL East) for the start of a three-game series at Fenway Park, Boston. The game is slated for Friday, July 26, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT.

The Yankees are coming off a recent series against the Tampa Bay Rays, splitting their last six games (3-3). They've been solid on the road, holding a 33-21 away record. Offensively, the Yankees boast a .331 on-base percentage, the third-best in the majors, led by Juan Soto who is hitting .311 with 26 home runs and 72 RBIs.

The Red Sox, meanwhile, have had a bit of a roller-coaster ride recently, going 4-6 in their last ten games. They currently hold a 24-25 record at home. The Red Sox are heavily reliant on their power-hitting, ranking fourth in the AL with 121 total home runs this season. Jarren Duran has been a standout with 30 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs.

The season series between these two storied rivals has been competitive, with the Red Sox leading 4-2. With both teams fighting for playoff positioning, expect a high-intensity matchup under the lights at Fenway.

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Player Prop Odds

Rafael Devers Player Props:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+280)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+290)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-120)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+110)

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Player Analysis

Rafael Devers has been a powerhouse for the Red Sox this season. Batting .293, Devers leads the team in home runs (23) and RBIs (63). His ability to hit for power and average makes him a constant threat at the plate. In his last ten games, Devers has been on a tear, hitting key doubles and home runs that have kept the Red Sox in contention during tight games.

Devers’ prop odds are intriguing, especially his Over 0.5 Doubles at +280. Given his current form and the Yankees' pitching vulnerabilities, betting on Devers to hit a double offers significant value.

Opposing Analysis

The Yankees' pitching staff has been solid overall, but their rotation has had some hiccups. Nestor Cortes Jr., the probable starter for this game, has had an inconsistent season with a 4-9 record and a 3.99 ERA. While he has good strikeout numbers (111 in 119.2 innings), he has been prone to giving up hits, which bodes well for a hitter like Devers.

The Yankees’ bullpen has been reliable, but if Cortes struggles early, it could lead to more opportunities for the Red Sox hitters to capitalize.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Nestor Cortes (NYY)	4-9	3.99	1.16	119.2	115	111	24	19
Brayan Bello (BOS)	10-5	5.27	1.44	95.2	104	92	34	15

Team Previews

New York Yankees

The Yankees have a formidable lineup that has been carrying the team despite some pitching struggles. Offensively, they are ranked 4th in the league in hits (897) and 9th in runs scored (480). Their batting average sits at .257, good for 4th in the league.

On the mound, the Yankees’ pitchers have combined for a 3.80 ERA, ranking 12th in the majors. The bullpen has been particularly strong, with 26 saves (T-13th). Defensively, however, they have committed 74 errors, tied for the most in the league, which could be a vulnerability against a high-contact team like the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox have been an offensive juggernaut, particularly in hitting for power. They are 2nd in the league in runs scored (513) and 4th in home runs (121). Their team batting average of .247 places them 12th overall.

Pitching has been more of a mixed bag for Boston. Their team ERA stands at 3.61, placing them 4th in the league. However, Brayan Bello, Friday’s starter, has a 5.27 ERA and has struggled with consistency. The bullpen has been reliable, with 27 saves (T-10th), but the team’s defensive struggles (61 errors, T-6th) could be a concern.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Giancarlo Stanton	DH	Thu, Jul 25	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
Nick Burdi	RP	Thu, Jul 25	Hip	Expected to be out until at least Aug 6

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Triston Casas	1B	Thu, Jul 25	Ribs	Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
Vaughn Grissom	2B	Thu, Jul 25	Hamstring	Expected to be out until at least Aug 9

Recent Games

New York Yankees

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Tampa Bay	W 6-1	W
Sat, Jul 20	vs Tampa Bay	L 9-1	L
Sun, Jul 21	vs Tampa Bay	L 6-4	L
Mon, Jul 22	vs Tampa Bay	W 9-1	W
Tue, Jul 23	vs New York	L 3-2	L

Boston Red Sox

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Los Angeles	L 4-1	L
Sat, Jul 20	@ Los Angeles	L 7-6 F/11	L
Sun, Jul 21	@ Los Angeles	L 9-6	L
Mon, Jul 22	@ Colorado	L 9-8 F/12	L
Tue, Jul 23	@ Colorado	W 6-0	W

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Prediction