MLB Player Props Picks of the Day: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros - 7/27

- Mr Wager
- Jul 27, 2024, 12:22:59 PM
MLB Player Props Picks of the Day: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros
Photo Credit: © Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers, currently leading the NL West with a 62-43 record, are on the road to face the Houston Astros, who sit atop the AL West with a 54-49 record. This matchup will take place at Minute Maid Park in Houston on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Dodgers are looking to halt a three-game road losing streak, while the Astros aim to build on their recent 5-0 victory over the Dodgers.
The Astros have been solid at home, boasting a 29-21 record at Minute Maid Park. Their offense has been effective with a collective .321 on-base percentage, ranking 10th in the league. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have a decent road record of 28-23 and have shown their offensive prowess by maintaining a 42-8 record in games where they score five or more runs.
This game marks the second encounter between these two teams this season. Key performers for the Astros include Alex Bregman, who has 20 doubles, two triples, and 13 home runs, and Jake Meyers, who has been hot with three home runs in the last 10 games. For the Dodgers, Freddie Freeman stands out with 26 doubles, 16 home runs, and a .288 batting average, while Shohei Ohtani has been impressive with five doubles, a triple, and three home runs in the past 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+340)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+200)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+310)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-160)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-110)
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Player Analysis
Yordan Alvarez has been a key contributor for the Astros this season. With a batting average of .277, he has amassed 20 home runs and 54 RBIs. Alvarez's power and ability to drive in runs make him a constant threat in the lineup. Over his last 10 games, Alvarez has been particularly productive, providing timely hits and showcasing his power with multiple extra-base hits.
This season, Alvarez has excelled in key situations, and his presence in the middle of the lineup has been crucial for the Astros' offense. Given his recent form and consistent production, betting on Alvarez to exceed his player prop lines could be a smart play.
Opposing Analysis
Justin Wrobleski will take the mound for the Dodgers. Wrobleski, who holds a 0-1 record with a 4.40 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 14.1 innings pitched, will face a tough challenge against the Astros' potent lineup. While he has shown flashes of potential, Wrobleski has struggled with consistency and control, giving up six walks and four home runs in limited action.
Given the Astros' strong hitting capabilities, especially at home, Wrobleski will need to be at his best to contain Alvarez and the rest of the lineup. The Astros have been effective against right-handed pitching, and Alvarez's ability to hit for power and average makes him a significant threat.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wrobleski (LAD) | 0-1 | 4.40 | 1.33 | 14.1 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 4 |
| R. Blanco (HOU) | 9-5 | 2.75 | 0.99 | 114.2 | 70 | 105 | 43 | 17 |
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Team Previews
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been one of the most consistent teams this season. Their offense, led by Freddie Freeman and Shohei Ohtani, ranks among the best in the league with a .262 batting average and 483 runs scored. On the pitching side, the Dodgers have a respectable team ERA of 3.98, supported by a solid bullpen that has recorded 25 saves.
Defensively, the Dodgers have committed 43 errors, ranking 29th in the league. Despite some defensive struggles, their powerful lineup and effective pitching staff have kept them competitive.
Houston Astros
The Astros have been formidable at home, with a 29-21 record at Minute Maid Park. Their offense is powered by players like Alex Bregman and Yordan Alvarez, contributing to a .321 on-base percentage. The Astros have scored 516 runs this season, ranking second in the league.
On the mound, Ronel Blanco has been a standout with a 2.75 ERA and 105 strikeouts. The Astros' pitching staff has a collective ERA of 3.77, and their bullpen has secured 33 saves. Defensively, the Astros have committed 51 errors, placing them in the middle of the pack.
Team Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | OF | 10-Day IL (groin) |
| Miguel Rojas | SS | 10-Day IL (forearm) |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | SP | 60-Day IL (tricep) |
| Dustin May | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow/esophagus) |
| Max Muncy | 3B | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
Houston Astros
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | SP | 15-Day IL (neck) |
| Cristian Javier | SP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Kyle Tucker | OF | 10-Day IL (shin) |
| Jose Urquidy | SP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Oliver Ortega | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | W4-1 | Win |
| vs Boston | W7-6 F/11 | Win |
| vs Boston | W9-6 | Win |
| vs San Francisco | W3-2 | Win |
| vs San Francisco | W5-2 | Win |
Houston Astros
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Seattle | W3-0 | Win |
| @ Seattle | W4-2 | Win |
| @ Seattle | L6-4 | Loss |
| @ Oakland | L4-0 | Loss |
| @ Oakland | L8-2 | Loss |
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Prediction
Yordan Alvarez is a key player for the Astros and has been in good form recently. Considering Justin Wrobleski's struggles on the mound for the Dodgers, there's a strong case for Alvarez to have a productive game. The prop bet for Alvarez to record over 1.5 total bases at -110 odds is particularly appealing. Given his power and ability to get on base, this bet provides good value.
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