MLB Player Props Picks of the Day: Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/28

MLB Player Props Picks of the Day: Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/28

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Game Summary

The Cleveland Guardians will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies on July 28 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. This matchup promises to be an exciting contest between two teams in excellent form. The Guardians currently boast a strong overall record of 65-39, with an impressive home record of 38-17 and a solid road record of 27-22. The Phillies are not far behind, with an overall record of 62-42, showcasing a dominant home performance of 33-15 and a decent road record of 29-27.

Historically, the Guardians have the edge in recent matchups against the Phillies. However, the Phillies have shown resilience and the ability to bounce back, especially when playing at home. With both teams excelling in different facets of the game – the Guardians with their pitching and the Phillies with their balanced approach – this game is set to be a thriller.

The Guardians' probable starting pitcher, Kolby Allard, is set to take the mound, while the Phillies will counter with Joey Cantillo. Both pitchers have been reliable for their respective teams, making this an intriguing pitching duel.

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Player Prop Odds

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David Fry:

• Batter Doubles: 0.5 (Over +370, Under -650)
• Batter Hits: 0.5 (Over -195, Under +145)
• Batter Home Runs: 0.5 (Over +380, Under -650)
• Batter RBIs: 0.5 (Over +155, Under -215)
• Batter Runs Scored: 0.5 (Over +100, Under -140)
• Batter Singles: 0.5 (Over +115, Under -155)
• Batter Total Bases: 1.5 (Over +130, Under -175)

Player Analysis

David Fry has been a consistent performer for the Cleveland Guardians this season. With a batting average of .256, Fry has demonstrated his ability to contribute offensively. He has accumulated 899 hits, 501 runs, and 24 home runs, showcasing his power and ability to drive in runs. Fry's performance is critical to the Guardians' success, and he will be a key player to watch in this matchup.

Opposing Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies' pitching staff will be tasked with containing David Fry and the potent Guardians' lineup. Joey Cantillo, the Phillies' probable starting pitcher, has been effective in limiting opposing hitters. The Phillies' bullpen, which ranks tied for 1st in saves with 37, will be crucial in maintaining their lead if Cantillo can keep the game close.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
J. Cantillo (PHI)	--	--	--
K. Allard (CLE)	--	--	--

Team Previews

Cleveland Guardians

• Hitting: The Guardians have one of the best offenses in the league, ranking 4th in batting average (.256) and 6th in runs scored (501). Key contributors include Alec Bohm, who leads the team with a .297 batting average, and Bryce Harper, who has 24 home runs.
• Relief Pitching: The Guardians' bullpen has been solid, recording 27 saves (tied for 10th) and maintaining a team ERA of 3.46 (2nd in MLB).
• Fielding: The Guardians' defense has committed 59 errors (tied for 9th), showcasing their efficiency in the field.
• Starting Pitchers: Kolby Allard will be vital for the Guardians in this matchup, aiming to keep the Phillies' lineup at bay.

Philadelphia Phillies

• Hitting: The Phillies' offense has been somewhat inconsistent, ranking 16th in batting average (.241) and 13th in runs scored (474). Steven Kwan leads the team with a .340 batting average, while Jose Ramirez has been a power threat with 24 home runs and 82 RBIs.
• Relief Pitching: The Phillies' bullpen has excelled, tying for 1st in saves with 37 and maintaining a team ERA of 3.63 (4th in MLB).
• Fielding: The Phillies' defense has committed 55 errors (tied for 14th), indicating room for improvement in their fielding.
• Starting Pitchers: Joey Cantillo will need to deliver a strong performance to give the Phillies a chance to win.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
M. BoydMatthew Boyd	SP	Tue, Jul 23	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
J. KarinchakJames Karinchak	RP	Tue, Jul 23	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Aug 10

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
R. SuarezRanger Suarez	SP	Sat, Jul 27	Back	Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
A. BohmAlec Bohm	3B	Sat, Jul 27	Ankle	Probable for Jul 28

Recent Games

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Cleveland Guardians Recent Games

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	vs San Diego	W7-0	59-37	Bibee 8-4	Waldron 5-9	NaN	37242
Sat, Jul 20	vs San Diego	L7-0	59-38	Cease 9-8	Williams 0-2	NaN	37485
Sun, Jul 21	vs San Diego	L2-1	59-39	King 8-6	Lively 8-6	Suarez 23	30491
Mon, Jul 22	vs Detroit	L8-2	59-40	Skubal 11-3	Carrasco 3-8	NaN	22451
Tue, Jul 23	vs Detroit	W5-4	60-40	Smith 5-1	Wentz 0-2	Clase 30	23277

Philadelphia Phillies Recent Games

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	@ Pittsburgh	L8-7	62-35	Mlodzinski 2-3	Alvarado 1-4	NaN	39530
Sat, Jul 20	@ Pittsburgh	L4-1	62-36	Ortiz 5-2	Sanchez 7-5	NaN	39114
Sun, Jul 21	@ Pittsburgh	W6-0	63-36	Phillips 2-0	Gonzales 1-1	NaN	38291
Mon, Jul 22	@ Minnesota	L7-2	63-37	Ober 9-5	Suarez 10-5	Sands 3	29904
Tue, Jul 23	@ Minnesota	W3-0	64-37	Soto 2-3	Duran 5-5	Strahm 1	31272

Prediction

David Fry has been a consistent performer for the Cleveland Guardians and has shown the ability to get on base and accumulate total bases. Given the odds of +130 for over 1.5 total bases, this prop offers significant value. Fry's recent form and the Phillies' pitching setup make this a favorable bet.

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