MLB Player Props Picks of the Day: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals

MLB Player Props Picks of the Day: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals

Photo Credit: © Peter Aiken-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Chicago Cubs will face off against the Kansas City Royals on Sunday, July 28, 2025, at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. This game will determine the winner of their three-game series. The Royals, who hold a 57-48 record, have been strong at home with a 36-21 record. On the other hand, the Cubs have struggled on the road with a 23-31 record, contributing to their overall 50-56 record.

Both teams have shown mixed results recently. The Royals have a .282 batting average and a 3.89 ERA over their last 10 games, going 5-5 and outscoring their opponents by nine runs. The Cubs, however, have a lower batting average of .219 and a 3.24 ERA over their last 10 games, going 4-6 and being outscored by two runs. This game marks the third time these teams will meet this season, adding an extra layer of familiarity and competition.

The Royals' top performer, Bobby Witt Jr., has been impressive with a .342 batting average, 18 home runs, and 71 RBIs. Vinnie Pasquantino has also been noteworthy, hitting 13-for-39 with a double and five RBIs over the past 10 games. For the Cubs, Ian Happ stands out with 16 home runs and 60 RBIs, although his batting average is .232. Seiya Suzuki has been a recent contributor, going 12-for-37 with two home runs and six RBIs in the last 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds

Batter Stolen Bases: Point 0.5, Over Odds +350.0, Under Odds -575.0

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Player Analysis

Pete Crow-Armstrong has been a dynamic player for the Chicago Cubs, known for his speed and base-running abilities. Although he hasn’t accumulated a high number of stolen bases this season, his aggressive style and ability to read pitchers make him a constant threat on the base paths. Crow-Armstrong has shown improvement in his on-base percentage, giving him more opportunities to steal bases. He has a knack for taking advantage of pitchers' tendencies, and with the Royals' pitching staff not being particularly strong in controlling the running game, this could be a prime opportunity for him to add to his stolen base tally.

Opposing Analysis

The Royals' starting pitcher, Cole Ragans, has had a solid season with a 7-6 record, a 3.23 ERA, and 146 strikeouts. However, Ragans has struggled at times with base runners, allowing 40 walks and 9 home runs over 122.2 innings. The Royals' catchers have also been inconsistent in throwing out base stealers, which could play into Crow-Armstrong's favor.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Javier Assad (Cubs)	4-3	3.15	1.38	88.2	81	81	41	12
Cole Ragans (Royals)	7-6	3.23	1.15	122.2	101	146	40	9

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Team Previews

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have struggled this season, particularly on the road with a 23-31 record. Their pitching staff has been steady, with a team ERA of 3.72, ranking 7th in MLB. However, their offense has been inconsistent, averaging a .251 batting average and ranking 10th in hits. The Cubs' defense has also been an issue, committing 49 errors, which ranks them 23rd in MLB.

Kansas City Royals

The Royals have been strong at home, boasting a 36-21 record. Their pitching staff has performed well, with a team ERA of 3.73, ranking 8th in MLB. Offensively, the Royals have a .232 batting average, ranking 26th, and have struggled to produce runs, ranking 24th in MLB. The Royals' defense has been solid, committing 53 errors, which ranks them 17th in MLB.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Caleb Kilian	RP	Shoulder - Expected to be out until at least Jul 28

Player	Position	Injury Status
Josh Taylor	RP	Biceps - Expected to be out until at least Jul 28

Recent Games

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Arizona	L 5-2	47-52
Sat, Jul 20	vs Arizona	L 3-0	47-53
Sun, Jul 21	vs Arizona	W 2-1 (10 innings)	48-53
Mon, Jul 22	vs Milwaukee	W 3-1	49-53
Tue, Jul 23	vs Milwaukee	L 1-0	49-54

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Chicago	W 7-1	53-45
Sat, Jul 20	vs Chicago	W 6-1	54-45
Sun, Jul 21	vs Chicago	W 4-1	55-45
Mon, Jul 22	vs Arizona	W 10-4	56-45
Tue, Jul 23	vs Arizona	L 6-2	56-46

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Prediction

Considering the odds and the analysis, the best prop bet for this game is on Pete Crow-Armstrong to steal at least one base. With odds of +350 for over 0.5 stolen bases, this presents a valuable opportunity given his base-running skills and the Royals' struggles in controlling the running game.

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