MLB Player Props Picks of the Day: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

MLB Player Props Picks of the Day: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Photo Credit: © Matt Pendleton-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT. This game marks the beginning of a three-game series between the two National League Central rivals. The Reds are currently positioned fifth in the NL Central with a 50-55 record, while the Cubs are slightly ahead in the standings, sitting fourth with a 51-56 record.

Both teams have had mixed performances recently, with the Reds going 4-6 in their last ten games, and the Cubs holding a 5-5 record over the same span. Historically, the Reds have the upper hand this season, leading the series 5-2 against the Cubs.

Key players to watch include Spencer Steer of the Reds, who has 15 home runs and 64 RBIs, and Ian Happ of the Cubs, who has 16 home runs and 60 RBIs. The pitching matchup features Jameson Taillon (7-5, 2.96 ERA) for the Cubs and Carson Spiers (3-2, 3.83 ERA) for the Reds. Given the tight standings and the competitive nature of both teams, this game is expected to be a thrilling encounter.

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Player Prop Odds

Noelvi Marte Prop Odds:

• Batter Doubles (Over 0.5): +414
• Batter Hits (Over 0.5): -199
• Batter RBIs (Over 0.5): +184
• Batter Runs Scored (Over 0.5): +143
• Batter Singles (Over 0.5): -113
• Batter Stolen Bases (Over 0.5): +375

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Player Analysis

Noelvi Marte has been an emerging star for the Reds this season. Over his last ten games, Marte has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly with his ability to get on base and contribute to the team's scoring. Marte has displayed a balanced approach at the plate, combining power and contact hitting. With a batting average of .237, Marte has accumulated 24 doubles, two triples, and 15 home runs, showcasing his ability to hit for extra bases.

Marte's speed on the base paths is another vital aspect of his game. He has the potential to steal bases, which can be a game-changer in close contests. Considering the prop odds, the over 0.5 hits at -199 seems like a reliable choice given Marte's recent form and his knack for getting on base.

Opposing Analysis

Jameson Taillon, the starting pitcher for the Cubs, has been consistent on the mound this season. With a 2.96 ERA and 78 strikeouts in 100.1 innings pitched, Taillon has limited opponents to a .228 batting average. However, Taillon has allowed 12 home runs, indicating that he can be susceptible to giving up extra-base hits.

The Cubs' bullpen has been fairly reliable, but their middle relief has shown vulnerability at times. This gives players like Marte an opportunity to capitalize, especially late in the game. If Marte can avoid Taillon's best pitches early, he stands a good chance of making an impact later on.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Jameson Taillon (Cubs)	7-5	2.96	1.15	100.1	94	78	21	12
Carson Spiers (Reds)	3-2	3.83	1.26	47.0	50	41	9	5

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Team Previews

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have struggled offensively this season, ranking 28th in hits (785) and 28th in batting average (.228). Their strength lies in their pitching, with a team ERA of 3.83, which is 11th best in the league. The Cubs’ defense has also been a weak point, as they have committed 65 errors, ranking 4th worst in MLB.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have fared slightly better with the bat, posting a .233 average and accumulating 830 hits, ranking tied for 22nd in the league. Their pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.72, ranking 6th. However, the Reds have struggled defensively, committing 53 errors, which ranks them 19th in the league.

Team Injuries

Chicago Cubs Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Caleb Kilian	RP	Mon, Jul 29	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29

Cincinnati Reds Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Peyton Burdick	RF	Mon, Jul 29	Undisclosed	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
Luke Maile	C	Mon, Jul 29	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
Carson Spiers	SP	Mon, Jul 29	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29

Recent Games

Chicago Cubs

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	vs Arizona	L5-2	47-52	Nelson 7-6	Steele 2-4	Sewald 14	40691
Sat, Jul 20	vs Arizona	L3-0	47-53	Gallen 7-5	Hendricks 2-8	Sewald 15	39595
Sun, Jul 21	vs Arizona	W2-1 F/10	48-53	Neris 8-2	Mantiply 3-2	NaN	39162
Mon, Jul 22	vs Milwaukee	W3-1	49-53	Smyly 3-5	Myers 6-4	Neris 14	35741
Tue, Jul 23	vs Milwaukee	L1-0	49-54	Peguero 6-3	Taillon 7-5	Megill 20	37651

Cincinnati Reds

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	@ Washington	L8-5	47-51	Corbin 2-9	Montas 4-8	Finnegan 26	38402
Sat, Jul 20	@ Washington	L5-4	47-52	Law 6-2	Wilson 1-2	Finnegan 27	32734
Sun, Jul 21	@ Washington	L5-2	47-53	Garcia 2-3	Sims 1-4	Finnegan 28	23967
Mon, Jul 22	@ Atlanta	W4-1	48-53	Greene 7-4	Lopez 7-4	NaN	38779
Tue, Jul 23	@ Atlanta	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed	Postponed

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Prediction

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