MLB Player Props Picks of the Day: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets - 7/28

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 2:46:49 AM
MLB Player Props Picks of the Day: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets - 7/28
Photo Credit: © Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves will face off against the New York Mets on July 28th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The Braves, currently holding a record of 55-48, will look to capitalize on their recent form to climb higher in the standings. Meanwhile, the Mets, with a similar record of 55-49, are aiming to secure a win at home to stay competitive in the tightly contested East division.
Historically, these two teams have always produced exciting matchups. With both sides having strong offensive and defensive stats, this game promises to be a thrilling contest. The Braves have been strong on the road with a 27-22 record, while the Mets have been solid at home with a 30-21 record. Their recent performances also indicate a close contest, as both teams have shown resilience and ability to come back from deficits.
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Player Prop Odds
Francisco Alvarez:
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-140)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+220)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+120)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+145)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+180)
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Player Analysis
Francisco Alvarez has been a consistent performer for the Mets this season. His batting average of .254 and his ability to hit crucial home runs (22 HRs) have made him a key player in the Mets' lineup. Alvarez has also driven in 63 RBIs, showcasing his ability to perform in clutch situations.
Alvarez's performance against left-handed pitchers has been notable, and with David Peterson starting for the Braves, Alvarez has a good chance to add to his tally. His recent form has been impressive, making him a strong candidate for the Over in various player prop markets.
Opposing Analysis
David Peterson, the starting pitcher for the Braves, has had a decent season with a 5-0 record and a 3.14 ERA. However, he has shown vulnerability against right-handed batters, which Alvarez can exploit. The Braves' bullpen has been inconsistent, which could provide additional opportunities for Alvarez to make an impact.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Peterson (ATL) | 5-0 | 3.14 | 36 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (NYM) | 7-4 | 2.12 | 100 |
Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have been a strong offensive team, ranking 5th in runs scored (504) and 9th in hits (884). Their batting average of .249 places them 11th in the league. Their pitching has been decent with an ERA of 4.15, though their bullpen has shown some inconsistency.
New York Mets
The Mets have shown resilience both at the plate and on the mound. They rank 18th in hits (825) and 21st in runs scored (428), with an average of .240. Their pitching has been a standout, with a team ERA of 3.52, ranking 3rd in the league. Their defense has also been solid, committing just 45 errors (27th).
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Whit Merrifield | LF | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 1 |
| Harrison Bader | CF | Ankle | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Kodai Senga | SP | Calf | Out for the season |
Recent Games
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Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | W 3-2 F/10 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L 9-5 | L |
| vs St. Louis | L 6-2 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | L 4-1 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | L 9-4 | L |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Miami | L 6-4 | L |
| @ Miami | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Miami | L 4-2 | L |
| @ Miami | W 6-4 | W |
| @ New York | W 3-2 | W |
Prediction
Francisco Alvarez has been in good form and with David Peterson's vulnerability against right-handed hitters, Alvarez stands a strong chance of hitting the Over on multiple player prop markets. Given his recent performances and the Braves' inconsistent bullpen, our pick is:
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