MLB Player Props Picks: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox 7/26
- Mr Wager
- Jul 26, 2024, 8:09:44 AM
MLB Player Props Picks: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox 7/26
Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Boston Red Sox will host the New York Yankees for the start of a three-game series at Fenway Park on Friday, July 26, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT. This classic rivalry brings together the second and third teams in the AL East, with the Yankees holding a 60-44 record and the Red Sox at 54-47. Boston has struggled slightly at home with a 24-25 record, while the Yankees have been strong on the road, boasting a 33-21 record. The season series currently favors the Red Sox 4-2.
Boston's power bats have produced 121 home runs, ranking them fourth in the American League. Meanwhile, New York's hitters have maintained a solid .331 on-base percentage, placing them third in the majors. Both teams have had mixed results in their last ten games, each going 4-6 with varying batting averages and ERAs. The Yankees have outscored opponents by a single run in their last ten games, while the Red Sox have been outscored by seven runs.
Key performers for Boston include Jarren Duran, who has 30 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs, and Tyler O'Neill, who is 13-for-42 with four home runs over his last ten games. For the Yankees, Juan Soto leads with 26 home runs and a .311 batting average, while Gleyber Torres has been consistent, going 11-for-35 with two home runs in his recent outings.
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Player Prop Odds
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Here are the player prop odds for Austin Wells:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +300.0
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +240.0
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +120.0
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -125.0
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over -125.0
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +110.0
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Player Analysis
Austin Wells has been a promising asset for the New York Yankees. Although he is still early in his MLB career, his minor league numbers and recent performances suggest he can make an impact. In his last ten games, Wells has shown consistency at the plate, contributing to a potent Yankees lineup.
Wells has a knack for getting on base and has displayed power with his bat. His ability to draw walks and hit for power makes him a versatile threat in the Yankees' lineup. With a batting average hovering around .270 and a slugging percentage over .450, Wells is a player to watch in this matchup against the Red Sox.
Opposing Analysis
The Red Sox will counter with pitcher Brayan Bello, who has a 10-5 record but a high ERA of 5.27. Bello's WHIP of 1.44 indicates he allows a significant number of base runners, which could be beneficial for Wells and the Yankees' hitters. Bello has struggled with control at times, walking 34 batters in 95.2 innings, and has given up 15 home runs, which could spell trouble against a powerful Yankees lineup.
Pitching Probables
Here are the probable pitchers for tonight's game:
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 4-9 | 3.99 | 1.16 | 111 |
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 10-5 | 5.27 | 1.44 | 92 |
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Team Previews
New York Yankees:
The Yankees rank fourth in hits and ninth in runs scored, with a team batting average of .257. Their offense is powered by stars like Juan Soto and Aaron Judge, who lead the team in home runs and RBIs. The Yankees' bullpen has been solid, with 26 saves and a team ERA of 3.80. Defensively, they lead the league in errors, which could be a concern in close games.
Boston Red Sox:
Boston has been productive offensively, ranking second in runs scored and twelfth in hits. Their pitching staff, however, has struggled with consistency, as indicated by their team ERA of 3.61. The bullpen has performed well with 27 saves, but the starting rotation has been inconsistent. Defensively, the Red Sox have committed 61 errors, ranking them sixth in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| Nick Burdi | RP | Hip | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Triston Casas | 1B | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Tampa Bay | W | 6-1 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Tampa Bay | L | 9-1 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Tampa Bay | L | 6-4 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Tampa Bay | W | 9-1 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs New York | L | 3-2 |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Los Angeles | L | 4-1 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Los Angeles | L | 7-6 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Los Angeles | L | 9-6 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Colorado | L | 9-8 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Colorado | W | 6-0 |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 Batter RBIs for Austin Wells (+120.0)
Given Brayan Bello's struggles with control and the potent Yankees lineup, Austin Wells is in a prime position to drive in at least one run. Wells' recent form and the favorable matchup against a pitcher with a high ERA make this a solid pick.
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