MLB Player Props Picks: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 3:33:32 AM
MLB Player Props Picks: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28
Photo Credit: © Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on July 28th at the American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. This matchup features two teams with contrasting fortunes this season. The Marlins, currently with a 59-45 record, are having a strong season, while the Brewers have struggled to a 39-66 record. The Marlins have been particularly good on the road with a 30-26 record, while the Brewers have found it tough at home with a 22-34 record.
Recent performances suggest that the Marlins are in a better form, having won three out of their last five games. The Brewers, on the other hand, have lost their last three games and will be looking to turn their fortunes around. Historically, the Marlins have had the edge over the Brewers, winning their last two encounters. Both teams will be looking to secure a win to boost their standings.
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Player Prop Odds
Josh Bell:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+400), Under 0.5 (-700)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+185), Under 0.5 (-260)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+145), Under 0.5 (-200)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110), Under 0.5 (-125)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+145), Under 1.5 (-195)
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Player Analysis
Josh Bell has been a consistent performer for the Miami Marlins this season. With a batting average of .254 and having hit 17 home runs, Bell has been crucial in the Marlins' offensive lineup. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset. Bell has 68 RBIs to his name and his recent form suggests that he could be a key player in this matchup. His power-hitting ability and experience make him a threat to any pitching lineup.
Opposing Analysis
For the Milwaukee Brewers, the pitching has been a mixed bag this season. Probable starter Kyle Tyler has a season record of 0-1 with an ERA of 3.92. In his 20.2 innings pitched, Tyler has given up 20 hits, 10 walks, and struck out 15. The Brewers rank 25th in ERA and have struggled defensively, committing 75 errors, the most in the league. This could provide opportunities for the Marlins' hitters, including Bell, to capitalize on mistakes and drive in runs.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tyler (MIL) | 0-1 | 3.92 | 15 |
| Tobias Myers (MIA) | 6-4 | 3.14 | 68 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins:
The Miami Marlins have been impressive this season. Their hitting ranks 7th in hits with 890 and 6th in runs with 489. The team's batting average of .254 is among the top in the league. The Marlins' pitching has also been solid, with a team ERA of 3.72, ranking 6th. Their defense has been sharp, committing only 55 errors, placing them 14th in the league. The Marlins will look to continue their strong performance against the Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers:
The Milwaukee Brewers have struggled this season, particularly with their hitting. They rank 17th in hits with 831 and 29th in runs with 374. The team's batting average of .236 is below league average. Pitching has been another area of concern, with a team ERA of 4.48, ranking 25th. Defensively, the Brewers have been poor, committing a league-high 75 errors. The Brewers will need to improve in all areas to compete with the Marlins.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez | SP | Elbow | Out for the season |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | RF | Ear | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Bryan Hudson | RP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs New York | 6-4 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs New York | 0-1 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs New York | 4-2 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs New York | 4-6 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Baltimore | 6-3 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Minnesota | 8-4 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Minnesota | 8-7 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Chicago | 1-3 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Chicago | 1-0 | W |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Chicago | 3-2 | W |
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Prediction
Given the current form and statistics, Josh Bell is likely to have a significant impact in this game. Considering the Brewers' struggles with pitching and defense, Bell's player props look promising. The value pick here is Josh Bell to score Over 0.5 RBIs at +185 odds. Bell has been a key run producer for the Marlins, and with the Brewers' subpar pitching, he has a good chance to drive in at least one run.
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