MLB Player Props Picks: Dodgers vs Astros 7/27

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 27, 2024, 8:28:04 AM
MLB Player Props Picks: Dodgers vs Astros 7/27


Photo Credit: © Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers will face the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park in Houston on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT. The Dodgers are looking to snap a three-game road losing streak. The Astros, who have a solid 29-21 record at home, will aim to continue their strong performance and defend their position as the first in the AL West. Meanwhile, the Dodgers hold the top spot in the NL West with a 62-43 record overall and a 28-23 record on the road.
In their most recent performances, the Astros have been 5-5 in their last 10 games, with a batting average of .249 and an ERA of 2.97. They have outscored their opponents by five runs in this stretch. The Dodgers, on the other hand, have a 6-4 record over their last 10 games, with a batting average of .258 and an ERA of 4.40. The Dodgers have an even run differential during this period.
This game marks the second meeting between the two teams this season. Key players to watch include Alex Bregman and Jake Meyers for the Astros, and Freddie Freeman and Shohei Ohtani for the Dodgers. The Astros will be without several key players due to injuries, including Justin Verlander and Cristian Javier. The Dodgers are also dealing with numerous injuries, including Chris Taylor and Mookie Betts.
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Player Prop Odds
Aledmys Diaz Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-185)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+185)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+145)
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Player Analysis
Aledmys Diaz has been a consistent contributor for the Astros, showing versatility in his hitting capabilities. This season, Diaz has accumulated a respectable batting average and has shown the ability to come through in clutch situations. His recent performance suggests he is in good form, making him a key player to watch in this matchup.
Opposing Analysis
The Dodgers' pitching staff has been solid this season, with an overall team ERA of 3.98, ranking them 15th in the league. However, they have had some struggles on the road, which Diaz may be able to exploit. The Dodgers' bullpen has been reliable, but their starting rotation depth has been tested with injuries to key pitchers.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wrobleski (LAD) | 0-1 | 4.40 | 1.33 | 13 |
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 9-5 | 2.75 | 0.98 | 105 |
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Team Previews
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been a powerhouse this season, ranking 2nd in hits and batting average (.262). Their offense has been potent, scoring 483 runs, which ranks 10th in the league. Despite their offensive prowess, the Dodgers have had some defensive struggles, ranking 29th in errors with 43. Their pitching staff, although hit by injuries, has managed a team ERA of 3.98.
Houston Astros
The Astros have been strong both offensively and defensively. Their team batting average of .254 ranks 5th in the league, and they have scored 516 runs, the 2nd highest in the league. The Astros' pitching staff has been impressive, with a team ERA of 3.77, ranking 10th in MLB. They have also been efficient in the bullpen, securing 33 saves, which ties them for 4th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | OF | 10-Day IL (groin) |
| Mookie Betts | OF | 10-Day IL (hand) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | SP | 15-Day IL (neck) |
| Cristian Javier | SP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
Recent Games
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | 4-1 | W |
| vs Boston | 7-6 (F/11) | W |
| vs Boston | 9-6 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 3-2 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 5-2 | W |
Houston Astros
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Seattle | 3-0 | W |
| @ Seattle | 4-2 | W |
| @ Seattle | 6-4 | L |
| @ Oakland | 4-0 | L |
| @ Oakland | 8-2 | L |
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Prediction
Given Aledmys Diaz's recent form and the Dodgers' pitching struggles on the road, we predict that Diaz will have a productive game. The odds for Diaz to get over 0.5 hits at -185 are favorable, and his ability to come through in clutch situations makes this a strong bet.
Pick: Aledmys Diaz Over 0.5 Hits (-185)
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