MLB Player Props Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/26

Photo Credit: © David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Chicago Cubs will face off against the Kansas City Royals on July 26th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons. The Cubs have put together a solid season so far, boasting a 56-47 record, which ranks them seventh in the league. They have shown strength both at home and on the road but have particularly excelled at Kauffman Stadium with a 35-20 home record. Meanwhile, the Royals have struggled, sitting at 49-55 overall, with a slightly better home record of 27-25.

Recent performances have seen the Cubs fluctuate, with a 2-3 record in their last five games, including losses to the Arizona Diamondbacks and Milwaukee Brewers. Conversely, the Royals have shown some signs of life, winning three of their last five games, including a series win against the Chicago White Sox.

Historically, the Royals have struggled against the Cubs, losing the last three matchups. This game will be crucial for both teams as they look to build momentum heading into the final stretch of the season.

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Player Prop Odds

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Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +370, Under -600
Batter Hits (1.5): Over +165, Under -230
Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +205, Under -290
Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +110, Under -150
Batter Stolen Bases (0.5): Over +380, Under -650
Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +115, Under -160

Player Analysis: Nico Hoerner (Chicago Cubs)

Nico Hoerner has been a consistent performer for the Cubs this season. With a batting average of .266, Hoerner has shown an ability to get on base and contribute significantly to the team's offense. He has accumulated 85 hits, 4 home runs, and 27 RBIs this season. Hoerner's speed on the base paths has also been a weapon, evidenced by his 18 stolen bases.

Hoerner's recent form has been impressive, as he has hit safely in four of his last five games. His ability to drive in runs and score is crucial for the Cubs, especially against a Royals pitching staff that has had its struggles.

Opposing Analysis: Kansas City Royals Pitching Staff

The Royals' pitching staff has had a mixed bag of performances this season. Brady Singer, the probable starter, has a 6-6 record with a 3.00 ERA. He has pitched 111.0 innings, striking out 106 batters while allowing 101 hits. Singer's ability to keep the ball in the park with only 13 home runs allowed is noteworthy, but he has had some control issues, walking 34 batters.

The Royals' bullpen, however, has been a weak spot, often struggling to hold leads. This could be an area where the Cubs look to capitalize, especially late in the game.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Kyle Hendricks (CHC)	2-8	6.69	1.49	75.1	88	52	24	15
Brady Singer (KC)	6-6	3.00	1.22	111.0	101	106	34	13

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Team Previews

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have been a strong team this season, with a balanced attack both offensively and defensively. They rank 11th in the league in runs scored (477) and batting average (.250), showing their ability to manufacture runs. Their pitching staff has also been solid, with a team ERA of 3.76, ranking 10th in the league. The bullpen has been reliable, converting 24 saves, which is tied for 19th in the league. However, their fielding has been a bit of a concern, committing 49 errors, tied for 22nd.

Kansas City Royals

The Royals, on the other hand, have struggled offensively, ranking 20th in both hits (805) and runs scored (424). Their team batting average is a low .233, ranking them 24th in the league. Despite their offensive struggles, the Royals' pitching has been respectable, with a team ERA of 3.70, ranking 6th in the league. The bullpen has also been a weak spot, converting only 23 saves, tied for 21st in the league. Defensively, they have committed 53 errors, ranking 16th in the league.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
C. Kilian	RP	Wed, Jul 24	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
M. Melendez	LF	Tue, Jul 16	Ankle	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26

Recent Games

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	vs Arizona	L5-2	47-52	Nelson 7-6	Steele 2-4	Sewald 14	40691
Sat, Jul 20	vs Arizona	L3-0	47-53	Gallen 7-5	Hendricks 2-8	Sewald 15	39595
Sun, Jul 21	vs Arizona	W2-1 F/10	48-53	Neris 8-2	Mantiply 3-2	NaN	39162
Mon, Jul 22	vs Milwaukee	W3-1	49-53	Smyly 3-5	Myers 6-4	Neris 14	35741
Tue, Jul 23	vs Milwaukee	L1-0	49-54	Peguero 6-3	Taillon 7-5	Megill 20	37651
Wed, Jul 24	vs Milwaukee	L3-2	49-55	Junis 3-0	Neris 8-3	Payamps 5	37679

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	vs Chicago	W7-1	53-45	Wacha 7-6	Flexen 2-9	NaN	26693
Sat, Jul 20	vs Chicago	W6-1	54-45	Singer 6-6	Cannon 1-4	NaN	27545
Sun, Jul 21	vs Chicago	W4-1	55-45	Lugo 12-4	Brebbia 0-5	NaN	22226
Mon, Jul 22	vs Arizona	W10-4	56-45	Ragans 7-6	Diaz 1-1	NaN	16275
Tue, Jul 23	vs Arizona	L6-2	56-46	Montgomery 7-5	Marsh 7-7	NaN	21993
Wed, Jul 24	vs Arizona	L8-6	56-47	Mantiply 4-2	McArthur 4-4	NaN	15931

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Prediction

Given Nico Hoerner's recent form and the struggles of the Royals' bullpen, we expect Hoerner to have a productive game. The prop bet for Hoerner to record over 1.5 total bases at +115 offers good value. Hoerner's ability to get on base and his speed could see him turning singles into doubles, and he could take advantage of the Royals' bullpen late in the game.