MLB Player Props Picks and Predictions: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/25

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 25, 2024, 8:35:50 AM
MLB Player Props Picks and Predictions: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/25
Photo Credit: © Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays will face off at Rogers Centre on Thursday, July 25, 2024, at 3:07 p.m. EDT. This matchup is crucial as the winner will secure the three-game series. The Blue Jays come into this game with a 46-55 overall record and a 23-27 record at home. They have managed to outperform their opponents in 33 out of 41 games where they had more hits. On the other hand, the Tampa Bay Rays have an overall record of 51-51 and are 24-24 in away games. They have a strong record of 19-7 in games where they did not allow a home run.
Taj Bradley will take the mound for the Rays, bringing a 5-4 record, a stellar 2.63 ERA, and 90 strikeouts in 75.1 innings pitched. Chris Bassitt will counter for the Blue Jays with an 8-8 record, a 3.71 ERA, and 106 strikeouts over 114 innings.
So far this season, the Rays have a slight edge in the season series, leading the Blue Jays 5-4. The Rays have been in better form over the past 10 games, going 6-4 with a 3.31 ERA, although their batting average has been .211. The Blue Jays are 5-5 in their last 10, hitting .263 but struggling with a 5.61 ERA.
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Player Prop Odds
For this game, we are focusing on Isaac Paredes of the Tampa Bay Rays. Here are the odds for his player props:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +370
- Batter Hits (0.5): Over -190
- Batter Home Runs (0.5): Over +440
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +165
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -120
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over +105
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +130
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Player Analysis
Isaac Paredes has been a consistent performer for the Rays this season. He leads the team with a .248 batting average, 16 home runs, and 51 RBIs. His plate discipline and power make him a formidable threat in the lineup. Over the last 10 games, Paredes has been hitting well, contributing significantly to the Rays' offense. His ability to get on base and drive in runs will be crucial in this matchup against the Blue Jays.
Opposing Analysis
Chris Bassitt will be the starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. Bassitt has had an up-and-down season, with an 8-8 record and a 3.71 ERA. While he has managed to strike out 106 batters in 114 innings, he has also allowed 116 hits and 46 walks, giving him a WHIP of 1.42. The Rays' offense, led by Paredes, will look to capitalize on Bassitt's tendency to allow baserunners. The Blue Jays' bullpen has been a strength, but getting to Bassitt early will be key for the Rays.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bradley (TB) | 5-4 | 2.63 | 1.05 | 75.1 | 53 | 90 | 26 | 10 |
| C. Bassitt (TOR) | 8-8 | 3.71 | 1.42 | 114.0 | 116 | 106 | 46 | 10 |
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Team Previews
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays have struggled offensively this season, ranking 27th in hits (786) and 25th in runs (410). They have a team batting average of .236, which ranks 20th in the league. However, their pitching has been relatively solid, with a team ERA of 4.45, ranking 25th. The bullpen has recorded 24 saves, tied for 19th in the league. Defensively, the Rays have committed 57 errors, tied for 11th in the league.
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have also had their struggles offensively, ranking 26th in hits (790) and 27th in runs (400). Their team batting average is .233, ranking 23rd in the league. Their pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.21, ranking 22nd. Their bullpen has been a bright spot, recording 33 saves, which is the 4th highest in the league. Defensively, the Blue Jays have committed 52 errors, ranking 17th.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | SS | Calf | 10-Day IL |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | IF | Knee | 10-Day IL |
| Jordan Romano | RP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Alek Manoah | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Ryan Pepiot | RP | Knee | 15-Day IL |
| Richard Lovelady | RP | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
| Jacob Waguespack | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Jeffrey Springs | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Drew Rasmussen | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Shane McClanahan | SP | Forearm | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Tampa Bay Rays
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ New York | L 6-1 | Loss |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ New York | W 9-1 | Win |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ New York | W 6-4 | Win |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ New York | L 9-1 | Loss |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Toronto | W 4-2 | Win |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Detroit | L 5-4 | Loss |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Detroit | L 7-3 | Loss |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Detroit | W 5-4 | Win |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Tampa Bay | L 4-2 | Loss |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Tampa Bay | W 6-3 | Win |
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Prediction
Given the current form of both teams and the pitching matchup, our pick for this game is Isaac Paredes to record over 1.5 total bases at +130 odds. Paredes has been a consistent performer, and with Chris Bassitt's tendency to allow baserunners, Paredes has a good chance to capitalize.
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