MLB Player Props Picks and Predictions: Giants vs Dodgers 7/25
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 25, 2024, 9:49:46 AM
MLB Player Props Picks and Predictions: Giants vs Dodgers 7/25
Photo Credit: © Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The San Francisco Giants and the Los Angeles Dodgers will face off at Dodger Stadium on Thursday, July 25, 2024, at 4:10 p.m. EDT. The Dodgers, who lead the four-game series 2-1, look to clinch the series with a win at home. The Dodgers have been solid this season with a 61-42 record, including a strong 33-20 mark at home. They have excelled in games where they have not given up a home run, posting a 25-6 record in such contests.
On the other hand, the Giants have struggled on the road, with a 21-32 record away from home and an overall record of 49-54. They have a poor track record in games where they have given up a home run, going 26-40 in those matchups. This game marks the 13th meeting between these two teams this season, with the Dodgers holding an 8-4 advantage in the season series.
The Dodgers' offense has been powered by Shohei Ohtani, who has an impressive 26 doubles, four triples, and 30 home runs this season. Gavin Lux has also been in good form, hitting 11-for-29 with three doubles, three home runs, and eight RBIs over the past 10 games. For the Giants, Matt Chapman has been a key contributor with 25 doubles and 14 home runs. Mike Yastrzemski has also been hot recently, going 13-for-33 with three doubles, two triples, and a home run over his last 10 games.
The Dodgers have won six of their last 10 games, posting a .239 batting average and a 4.30 ERA. The Giants, on the other hand, have gone 4-6 in their last 10, with a .215 batting average and a 3.66 ERA. Both teams have an even run differential over this span.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Matt Chapman:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+350)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+250)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+340)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+145)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-115)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+105)
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Player Analysis
Matt Chapman has been a consistent contributor for the San Francisco Giants this season. He boasts 25 doubles and 14 home runs, showcasing his ability to hit for both power and average. In his last 10 games, Chapman has maintained a steady presence at the plate, contributing crucial hits and driving in runs. His current batting average stands at .233, which, while not elite, is supplemented by his slugging percentage thanks to his extra-base hits.
Chapman's recent form includes a solid performance over the past week, where he has been a key part of the Giants' lineup. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset, especially in close games where a single hit can change the outcome. Given the current odds, Chapman's prop bets, particularly on hits and total bases, present a compelling opportunity for bettors.
Opposing Analysis
The Los Angeles Dodgers will counter with Clayton Kershaw, who is making his first appearance this season. Kershaw, a seasoned veteran and former Cy Young winner, brings a wealth of experience to the mound. Despite not having any current season stats, Kershaw is known for his precision and ability to limit opposing hitters' success.
The Giants will have to be cautious with their approach against Kershaw. Historically, Kershaw has been a dominant force, particularly against the Giants. However, his long layoff could play to the Giants' advantage if Kershaw shows any signs of rust or reduced velocity. The Giants' lineup will need to be patient and capitalize on any mistakes Kershaw might make.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb (SF) | 7-8 | 3.59 | 1.27 | 130.1 | 134 | 111 | 32 | 7 |
| Clayton Kershaw (LAD) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
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Team Previews
San Francisco Giants
The San Francisco Giants have had a mixed season so far, with a 49-54 record placing them fourth in the NL West. Their hitting has been relatively strong, ranking 5th in hits (888) and 2nd in runs (510) across the league. The team's batting average stands at .253, which is respectable, ranking them 6th. Their pitching, however, has been less consistent, with a 3.75 ERA placing them 9th in the league.
Relief pitching has been a strength for the Giants, as evidenced by their 32 saves, ranking 5th in the league. However, their defense has had some lapses, committing 51 errors, which ties them for 18th place. Overall, the Giants have shown flashes of brilliance but have struggled to maintain consistency, especially on the road.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers have been one of the top teams in the league this season, with a 61-42 record and a commanding lead in the NL West. Their home record of 33-20 highlights their strong performance at Dodger Stadium. Offensively, the Dodgers have been solid, with 839 hits (15th) and 448 runs (15th). Their team batting average is .242, ranking them 16th.
The Dodgers' pitching staff has been effective, with a team ERA of 4.41 (24th). Despite a high number of injuries, the Dodgers' bullpen has managed to secure 19 saves, placing them 28th in the league. Defensively, the team has committed 58 errors, which ties them for 9th place. The Dodgers' depth and resilience have been key factors in their success this season.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Keaton Winn | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jung Hoo Lee | OF | 60-Day IL (labrum) |
| Tom Murphy | C | 60-Day IL (head) |
| Alex Cobb | SP | 60-Day IL (hip) |
| Ethan Small | RP | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
| Tristan Beck | RP | 60-Day IL (arm) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Rojas | SS | 10-Day IL (forearm) |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | SP | 60-Day IL (tricep) |
| Dustin May | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow/esophagus) |
| Max Muncy | 3B | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
| Walker Buehler | SP | 15-Day IL (hip) |
| Michael Grove | SP | 15-Day IL (lat) |
| Mookie Betts | RF | 10-Day IL (hand) |
| Ryan Brasier | RP | 60-Day IL (calf) |
| Connor Brogdon | RP | 60-Day IL (foot) |
| Brusdar Graterol | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Emmet Sheehan | SP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Clayton Kershaw | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Tony Gonsolin | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
San Francisco Giants
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Colorado | L 7-3 | L |
| @ Colorado | L 4-3 | L |
| @ Colorado | W 3-2 | W |
| @ Los Angeles | L 3-2 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | L 5-2 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | W 8-3 | W |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | W 4-1 | W |
| vs Boston | W 7-6 | W |
| vs Boston | W 9-6 | W |
| vs San Francisco | W 3-2 | W |
| vs San Francisco | W 5-2 | W |
| vs San Francisco | L 8-3 | L |
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Prediction
Given Matt Chapman's recent form and his knack for hitting doubles, the best prop bet appears to be on him hitting Over 0.5 doubles at +350 odds. His consistent ability to find gaps in the defense and his recent performance suggests he is likely to get extra-base hits. Additionally, with Clayton Kershaw making his first start of the season, there might be opportunities for Chapman to exploit any mistakes or rust from the veteran pitcher.
Pick: Over 0.5 doubles (+350)
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