MLB Player Props Picks and Predictions: Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians 10/07

- Mr Wager
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:45:40 AM
MLB Player Props Picks and Predictions: Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians 10/07
Photo Credit: © Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Detroit Tigers (50-53, fourth in the AL Central) will face off against the Cleveland Guardians (61-40, first in the AL Central) in the fourth game of their series at Progressive Field on Thursday, July 10, 2024. The game is set to begin at 1:10 p.m. EDT.
Cleveland currently holds a 2-1 series lead and will look to extend their dominance at home where they boast a 33-14 record. The Guardians have been particularly lethal when scoring five or more runs, winning 45 out of 51 games in such scenarios. On the other hand, the Tigers have performed decently on the road with a 26-29 record and have shown their power by winning 23 out of 27 games when hitting two or more home runs.
Notably, the season series between these two teams is currently tied at 5-5, making this game crucial for both sides. The Guardians are led by the power-hitting Josh Naylor who has 16 doubles, 22 home runs, and 72 RBIs, while Jose Ramirez has been solid, going 10-for-40 with two doubles and a home run over the last 10 games. For the Tigers, Riley Greene has been a standout with 21 doubles, five triples, and 17 home runs. Matt Vierling also has been in good form, going 13-for-40 with six doubles and two home runs in the last 10 games.
Both teams have been in contrasting forms over their last 10 games. The Guardians have struggled with a 4-6 record, a .200 team batting average, and a 3.10 ERA while being outscored by 16 runs. Conversely, the Tigers have posted a 6-4 record, a .253 team batting average, and a 3.68 ERA while outscoring their opponents by 19 runs.
Injury concerns are also prevalent for both teams. The Guardians have Sam Hentges, Matthew Boyd, Shane Bieber, Trevor Stephan, and James Karinchak all on the IL, while the Tigers will miss Kerry Carpenter, Reese Olson, Parker Meadows, Casey Mize, and Sawyer Gipson-Long.
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Player Prop Odds
For today's game, our focus is on the player prop for Will Brennan:
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+270)
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Player Analysis
Will Brennan has been a consistent performer for the Cleveland Guardians this season. With a batting average of .262, he has demonstrated the ability to get on base regularly. Brennan's ability to make contact and his situational hitting skills make him a valuable asset, particularly in crucial games like this one.
Over the course of the season, Brennan has accumulated several multi-hit games, showcasing his knack for finding gaps in the defense. His role in the lineup has often seen him come up in key situations, and he has delivered more often than not.
Opposing Analysis
On the mound for the Detroit Tigers is Gavin Williams, who has a 0-2 record with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP. Williams has shown flashes of potential but has been inconsistent overall. He has allowed an average of 1.2 hits per inning pitched, which bodes well for the Guardians' hitters.
Williams' struggles have often come against left-handed hitters, who have hit .290 against him this season. This plays into Brennan's strengths as a left-handed batter. Given the Tigers' bullpen has been used heavily in recent games, there may be opportunities for Brennan to face less effective relievers later in the game.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Olson (DET) | 0-0 | NA | NA |
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 0-2 | 4.50 | 14 |
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Team Previews
Detroit Tigers
The Detroit Tigers have had a mixed season with a 50-53 record. Their hitting has been decent, ranking 19th in the league with 806 hits and 13th in runs scored with 471. They have a team batting average of .242, which places them 15th overall. The Tigers' bullpen has been a strength, ranking 2nd in saves with 36. However, they have struggled with consistency in their starting rotation and fielding, committing 54 errors (14th in the league).
Cleveland Guardians
The Cleveland Guardians, with a 61-40 record, have been one of the top teams in the AL Central. Their hitting ranks 20th with 805 hits and 17th in runs scored with 442. The team has a batting average of .233, which ranks 24th overall. Their pitching has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.92 (14th in the league). The Guardians' bullpen has been a concern, ranking 23rd in saves with 22. They have also committed 59 errors, ranking 8th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Meadows | CF | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 1 |
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee | SP | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Recent Games
Detroit Tigers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Toronto | W 5-4 | W |
| @ Toronto | W 7-3 | W |
| @ Toronto | L 5-4 | L |
| @ Cleveland | W 8-2 | W |
| @ Cleveland | L 5-4 | L |
Cleveland Guardians
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Diego | W 7-0 | W |
| vs San Diego | L 7-0 | L |
| vs San Diego | L 2-1 | L |
| vs Detroit | L 8-2 | L |
| vs Detroit | W 5-4 | W |
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Prediction
Given Will Brennan's consistent performance and Gavin Williams' struggles against left-handed hitters, the prop bet for Brennan to get over 1.5 hits at +270 odds is an attractive option. Brennan's ability to get on base and the Tigers' depleted bullpen should provide ample opportunities for him to achieve this mark.
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