MLB Player Props Picks and Predictions: Cubs vs Reds 8/1

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:53:16 AM
MLB Player Props Picks and Predictions: Cubs vs Reds 8/1
Photo Credit: © Peter Aiken-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
Expect an exciting matchup as the Chicago Cubs take on the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on August 1st. This NL Central clash will see the Cubs, currently 51-56 and fourth in the division, face the Reds, who are 50-55 and just one spot below in fifth. Both teams are looking to gain ground in the division standings, making this three-game series critical for their playoff aspirations.
The Cubs come into this game with a 24-31 road record, having won five of their last ten games. Their recent form includes back-to-back wins against the Kansas City Royals, where they outscored their opponents 16-7 in the last two games. The Cubs' offense has been powered by Ian Happ, who has 40 extra-base hits, and Patrick Wisdom, who has been on a tear with three home runs in his last ten games.
The Reds, on the other hand, have struggled recently, losing six of their last ten games. Their home record stands at 25-28, but they have shown that they can put up runs in bunches, boasting a 35-8 record when scoring at least five runs. Spencer Steer and Elly De La Cruz have been standout performers, with Steer leading the team in RBIs and De La Cruz providing a spark with his recent power surge.
This season, the Reds have had the upper hand in their matchups against the Cubs, leading the season series 5-2. The Cubs will be looking to reverse that trend and make a push for the postseason.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Nico Hoerner:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+300), Under 0.5 (-479)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+152), Under 1.5 (-214)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+202), Under 0.5 (-294)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-111), Under 0.5 (-123)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+320), Under 0.5 (-550)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+104), Under 1.5 (-142)
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Player Analysis
Nico Hoerner has been a consistent contributor for the Cubs this season. He's hitting .278 with 8 home runs and 53 RBIs. Hoerner has also been effective on the base paths, swiping 22 bases. His ability to make contact and get on base makes him a valuable asset in the Cubs' lineup.
In the last ten games, Hoerner has been productive, collecting 12 hits in 40 at-bats, including two doubles and one home run. His recent form suggests that he could be a key player in this series against the Reds.
Opposing Analysis
The Reds will be starting Carson Spiers, who has a 3-2 record with a 3.83 ERA. Spiers has shown promise but has also been inconsistent at times, allowing 50 hits in 47 innings pitched. The Cubs' hitters will look to capitalize on any mistakes he makes.
The Reds' bullpen has been solid, ranking 6th in team ERA at 3.72. However, their defense has had its issues, committing 53 errors this season. This could be an area where the Cubs can exploit and create scoring opportunities.
Pitching Probables
Here are the probable pitchers for the game:
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taillon (CHC) | 7-5 | 2.96 | 1.15 | 100.1 | 94 | 78 | 21 | 12 |
| C. Spiers (CIN) | 3-2 | 3.83 | 1.26 | 47.0 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 5 |
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs have struggled offensively this season, ranking 28th in hits with 785 and 15th in runs scored with 460. Their team batting average is .228, which is also 28th in the league. However, their pitching has been a bright spot, with a team ERA of 3.83, ranking 11th. The Cubs' defense has been solid, committing 65 errors, which is 4th best in the league.
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds have been slightly better offensively, ranking 22nd in hits with 830 and 22nd in runs scored with 440. Their team batting average is .233, ranking 24th. The Reds' pitching staff has been impressive, with a team ERA of 3.72, ranking 6th. Defensively, they have committed 53 errors, which is 19th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Nido | C | 10-Day IL (knee) |
| Ben Brown | RP | 60-Day IL (neck) |
| Luke Little | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Hayden Wesneski | SP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Jordan Wicks | SP | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
| Cody Bellinger | CF | 10-Day IL (finger) |
| Colten Brewer | RP | 60-Day IL (hand) |
| Keegan Thompson | RP | 15-Day IL (rib) |
| Yency Almonte | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Adbert Alzolay | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Caleb Kilian | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Suter | RP | 15-Day IL (teres major) |
| Carson Spiers | SP | 15-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Nick Martini | OF | 60-Day IL (thumb) |
| Graham Ashcraft | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Luke Maile | C | 10-Day IL (back) |
| Emilio Pagan | RP | 60-Day IL (lat) |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 1B | 60-Day IL (hand) |
| Brandon Williamson | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Ian Gibaut | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Tejay Antone | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Matt McLain | SS | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
Recent Games
Here are the recent games for both teams:
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Arizona | L 5-2 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Arizona | L 3-0 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Arizona | W 2-1 F/10 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Milwaukee | W 3-1 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Milwaukee | L 1-0 | L |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Milwaukee | L 3-2 | L |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Kansas City | L 6-0 | L |
| Sat, Jul 27 | @ Kansas City | W 9-4 | W |
| Sun, Jul 28 | @ Kansas City | W 7-3 | W |
| Mon, Jul 29 | @ Cincinnati | 7:10 PM | NaN |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Washington | L 8-5 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Washington | L 5-4 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Washington | L 5-2 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Atlanta | W 4-1 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Atlanta | Postponed | NaN |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Atlanta | W 9-4 | W |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Atlanta | Postponed | NaN |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Tampa Bay | W 3-2 F/10 | W |
| Sat, Jul 27 | @ Tampa Bay | L 4-0 | L |
| Sun, Jul 28 | @ Tampa Bay | L 2-1 | L |
| Mon, Jul 29 | vs Chicago | 7:10 PM | NaN |
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Prediction
Considering Nico Hoerner's recent form and the Reds' pitching weaknesses, the best prop bet for this game is Nico Hoerner to go Over 1.5 Total Bases (+104). Hoerner has been making solid contact and has the ability to get on base multiple times in


