MLB Player Props Picks and Predictions: Braves vs Mets 7/27

MLB Player Props Picks and Predictions: Braves vs Mets 7/27

Photo Credit: © Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves look to end their six-game losing streak as they face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field on Saturday, July 27, 2025, at 4:10 p.m. EDT. This marks the ninth meeting between these NL East rivals this season, with the Mets holding a 5-3 advantage in the season series.

The Braves, currently third in the NL East with a 54-48 record, have struggled on the road, posting a 24-27 record away from Truist Park. Atlanta's recent form has been shaky, as they've gone 3-7 in their last 10 games, batting a mere .223 and posting a 4.54 ERA while being outscored by 16 runs.

On the other hand, the Mets, sitting second in the NL East with a 55-48 record, have been solid at home with a 28-26 record. They have been in better form recently, winning seven of their last 10 games while hitting .243 and maintaining a 3.64 ERA. The Mets have outscored their opponents by 15 runs during this span.

Both teams have key players performing well despite the ups and downs. For the Mets, Francisco Lindor continues to lead the way with 22 home runs and a .480 slugging percentage, while Jose Iglesias has been on fire, going 17-for-37 with two home runs and five RBIs over the last 10 games. For the Braves, Marcell Ozuna boasts a .308 batting average with 29 home runs and 81 RBIs, and Travis d'Arnaud has contributed 11 hits and eight RBIs in the last 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds

For Eddie Rosario:

• Doubles Over 0.5: +440
• Hits Over 0.5: -160
• RBIs Over 0.5: +195
• Runs Scored Over 0.5: +120
• Singles Over 0.5: +100
• Stolen Bases Over 0.5: +280
• Total Bases Over 1.5: +185

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Player Analysis

Eddie Rosario has been a consistent contributor for the Braves this season. Known for his clutch hitting, Rosario has a knack for coming up big in key moments. This season, he has maintained a solid batting average while providing power and run production. His ability to hit both for average and power makes him a threat every time he steps to the plate.

Rosario's recent form has been noteworthy, and with the Braves' current skid, they will be looking to him to help turn things around. Given his track record against the Mets' pitching staff, Rosario is well-positioned to make an impact in this game.

Opposing Analysis

The Mets will send Tylor Megill to the mound. Megill has struggled this season, posting a 2-4 record with a 5.08 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 39 innings. He has allowed 37 hits, including three home runs, while striking out 49 batters. His tendency to give up hits and runs could play into Rosario's strengths as a hitter.

The Mets' bullpen has been solid, but if Megill can't go deep into the game, it could expose some vulnerabilities. Rosario's ability to hit both lefties and righties effectively gives him an edge against the Mets' pitching staff.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL)	3-5	4.62	1.16	50.2	49	49	10	7
Tylor Megill (NYM)	2-4	5.08	1.44	39.0	37	49	19	3

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

The Braves rank 9th in the MLB with 884 hits and 5th with 504 runs scored. Their batting average of .249 ranks 11th. On the pitching side, they have a team ERA of 4.15, which ranks 21st, and they have committed 70 errors, ranking 3rd in the league.

Marcell Ozuna leads the team with a .308 batting average, 29 home runs, and 81 RBIs. Travis d'Arnaud has also been productive with 11 hits and eight RBIs in his last 10 games.

New York Mets

The Mets rank 18th in the MLB with 825 hits and 21st with 428 runs scored. Their batting average of .240 ranks 18th. On the pitching side, they have a team ERA of 3.52, which ranks 3rd, and they have committed 45 errors, ranking 27th in the league.

Francisco Lindor leads the team with 22 home runs and a .480 slugging percentage. Jose Iglesias has been hot recently, going 17-for-37 with two home runs and five RBIs over the last 10 games.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Michael Harris II	CF	60-Day IL	Hamstring	Out
Ozzie Albies	2B	10-Day IL	Wrist	Out
Max Fried	SP	15-Day IL	Forearm	Out
Harrison Bader	CF	Day-to-day	Ankle	Probable for Jul 27
Kodai Senga	SP	Day-to-day	Calf	Expected to be out until at least Aug 2

Recent Games

Atlanta Braves

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs St. Louis	Postponed	Postponed
Sat, Jul 20	vs St. Louis	W 3-2 F/10	Win
Sat, Jul 20	vs St. Louis	L 9-5	Loss
Sun, Jul 21	vs St. Louis	L 6-2	Loss
Mon, Jul 22	vs Cincinnati	L 4-1	Loss

New York Mets

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Miami	L 6-4	Loss
Sat, Jul 20	@ Miami	W 1-0	Win
Sun, Jul 21	@ Miami	L 4-2	Loss
Mon, Jul 22	@ Miami	W 6-4	Win
Tue, Jul 23	@ New York	W 3-2	Win

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Prediction

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