MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:54:26 PM
MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles
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Game Summary
The Toronto Blue Jays will face off against the Baltimore Orioles on July 29th at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland. The Blue Jays are currently ranked 4th in the league with a strong record of 62-43, while the Orioles are struggling with a record of 49-56. This game is crucial for both teams, especially for the Orioles who are trying to close the gap in the standings.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards is known for its hitter-friendly dimensions, which could be a factor in this matchup. The Blue Jays have been on a roll recently, winning three of their last five games. The Orioles, however, have had a mixed bag of results, winning only two of their last five games.
Historically, the Blue Jays have had the upper hand against the Orioles, winning 7 of their last 10 matchups. This season, the Blue Jays' offense has been led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who boasts a batting average of .301, 19 home runs, and 64 RBIs. On the other hand, the Orioles have relied heavily on Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander, who have been consistent performers throughout the season.
The weather forecast predicts mostly sunny conditions with a temperature of 87°F, which should make for an excellent evening of baseball. Both teams are expected to field their best lineups, making this a highly anticipated game.
Player Prop Odds
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +450.0
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +260.0
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +160.0
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +115.0
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over -145.0
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +145.0
Player Analysis: Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz has been an emerging star for the Toronto Blue Jays. With a batting average of .283, Horwitz has been a consistent performer at the plate. He has shown a knack for getting on base and has a good eye for pitches, making him a tough out for any pitcher.
Horwitz has hit 29 home runs this season and has driven in 68 RBIs, making him one of the key offensive players for the Blue Jays. His ability to hit for both power and average makes him a dual threat at the plate. In his last 10 games, Horwitz has been hitting at a .300 clip with 3 home runs and 9 RBIs, showcasing his hot form.
Opposing Analysis: Baltimore Orioles Pitching
The Orioles' pitching staff has struggled this season, with an overall ERA of 4.51, ranking 27th in the league. Bowden Francis, who is expected to start for the Orioles, has had a tough season with a 5.82 ERA and a 3-2 record. He has allowed 8 home runs in 38.2 innings, which could be a red flag against a power-hitting lineup like the Blue Jays.
Francis has also struggled with control, issuing 14 walks compared to his 34 strikeouts. His WHIP of 1.47 indicates that he allows a lot of baserunners, which could spell trouble against a patient hitter like Horwitz. The Orioles' bullpen has been slightly better but still ranks in the bottom half of the league in most categories.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Francis (BAL) | 3-2 | 5.82 | 1.47 | 38.2 | 43 | 34 | 14 | 8 |
| C. Povich (TOR) | 1-4 | 6.27 | 1.55 | 33.0 | 33 | 24 | 18 | 7 |
Team Previews
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have been a formidable team this season, ranking 4th in the league with a record of 62-43. They have a balanced attack with both strong hitting and reliable pitching. Their batting lineup includes stars like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette, who have been consistent performers throughout the season.
On the pitching side, the Blue Jays have an ERA of 3.79, ranking 8th in the league. Their bullpen has also been effective, with 33 saves, ranking 5th in the league. Defensively, the Blue Jays have committed 51 errors, ranking 20th, which is an area they would like to improve.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have had a challenging season with a record of 49-56, ranking 25th in runs scored and 27th in ERA. Their offense has been inconsistent, relying heavily on Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander. Defensively, the Orioles have committed 58 errors, ranking 12th in the league.
Pitching has been a significant issue for the Orioles, with an overall ERA of 4.51. Their bullpen has been slightly better but still ranks in the bottom half of the league. The Orioles will need a strong performance from their pitchers to have a chance against the high-powered Blue Jays offense.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kiermaier | CF | Sun, Jul 28 | Hip | Probable for Jul 29 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Means | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Elbow | Out for the season |
Recent Games
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Detroit | L 5-4 | 44-53 | Flaherty 7-5 | Bassitt 8-8 | Holton 3 | 39697 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Detroit | L 7-3 | 44-54 | Faedo 5-1 | Kikuchi 4-9 | NaN | 38583 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Detroit | W 5-4 | 45-54 | Gausman 8-8 | Montero 1-3 | Green 7 | 38766 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Tampa Bay | L 4-2 | 45-55 | Alexander 3-3 | Berrios 8-8 | Fairbanks 19 | 38575 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Tampa Bay | W 6-3 | 46-55 | Cabrera 3-2 | Adam 4-2 | NaN | 32276 |
| Thu, Jul 25 | vs Tampa Bay | L 13-0 | 46-56 | Bradley 6-4 | Bassitt 8-9 | NaN | 41148 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | vs Texas | W 6-5 | 47-56 | Green 3-2 | Sborz 2-1 | NaN | 35065 |
| Sat, Jul 27 | vs Texas | W 7-3 | 48-56 | Gausman 9-8 | Lorenzen 5-6 | NaN | 35917 |
| Sun, Jul 28 | vs Texas | W 7-3 | 49-56 | Berrios 9-8 | Hernandez 3-1 | Pop 1 | 40052 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Texas | W 9-1 | 59-38 | Burnes 10-4 | Eovaldi 6-4 | NaN | 36336 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Texas | W 8-4 | 60-38 | Rodriguez 12-4 | Scherzer 1-3 | NaN | 38410 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Texas | L 3-2 | 60-39 | Heaney 4-10 | Kremer 4-6 | Yates 17 | 31808 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Miami | L 6-3 | 60-40 | Puk 4-8 | Suarez 5-4 | Scott 17 | 10410 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Miami | L 6-3 | 60-41 | Nardi 2-1 | Webb 1-5 | Scott 18 | 12127 |
| Thu, Jul 25 | @ Miami | W 7-6 F/10 | 61-41 | Cano 4-2 | Faucher 2-2 | Perez 2 | 17989 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | vs San Diego | L 6-4 | 61-42 | Suarez 5-1 | Kimbrel 6-3 | NaN | 43692 |
| Sat, Jul 27 | vs San Diego | L 9-4 | 61-43 | King 9-6 | Kremer 4-7 | NaN | 30008 |
| Sun, Jul 28 | vs San Diego | W 8-6 | 62-43 | Perez 2-0 | Vasquez 3-6 | Cano 4 | 38411 |
Prediction
Given the current form of Spencer Horwitz and the struggles of the Orioles' pitching staff, betting on Horwitz to get over 1.5 total bases at +145.0 odds seems like a solid pick. His ability to hit for power and average, combined with the hitter-friendly conditions at Camden Yards, makes this a favorable bet.
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