MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/25
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:17:52 AM
MLB Player Props Picks and Odds: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/25
Photo Credit: © Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Tampa Bay Rays will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on Thursday, July 25, 2024, at 3:07 p.m. EDT. This game is the final matchup in a three-game series with both teams having secured a win each. The Rays come into this game with a 51-51 record, placing them fourth in the AL East, while the Blue Jays hold a 46-55 record, placing them fifth in the same division.
In their recent performances, the Blue Jays have shown resilience with a 23-27 home record and an impressive 33-8 record in games where they out-hit their opponents. However, their last 10 games have been a mixed bag, with a 5-5 record, a .263 batting average, and a 5.61 ERA. On the other hand, the Rays have a balanced 24-24 road record and have gone 19-7 in games where they did not allow a home run. Their last 10 games have seen them achieve a 6-4 record, with a .211 batting average and a 3.31 ERA.
This season, the Rays have a slight edge over the Blue Jays, leading the season series 5-4. Key performers include Vladimir Guerrero Jr. for the Blue Jays, with 18 home runs and a .488 slugging percentage, and Randy Arozarena for the Rays, who has been on fire recently with 11 hits, including three doubles and four home runs in his last 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
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- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-195)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+450)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+145)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-110)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+370)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+130)
Player Analysis
Randy Arozarena has been a standout performer for the Tampa Bay Rays. Over the last 10 games, Arozarena has been in excellent form, recording 11 hits in 36 at-bats, including three doubles and four home runs. His recent stats show a slugging percentage of .611 and an on-base percentage of .327, making him a critical player for the Rays' offense.
Arozarena's ability to get on base and his power-hitting skills make him a valuable asset in high-pressure situations. His current form indicates a high probability of him making significant contributions in the upcoming game against the Blue Jays.
Opposing Analysis
The Toronto Blue Jays will rely on pitcher Chris Bassitt, who has an 8-8 record with a 3.71 ERA and 106 strikeouts over 114 innings pitched. Bassitt's ability to limit home runs (10 in 114 innings) and his WHIP of 1.42 indicate that he can be a tough opponent for any hitter. However, Bassitt has shown vulnerability in recent games, which could be an opportunity for Arozarena to capitalize on.
The Blue Jays' bullpen has also been inconsistent, with a collective ERA of 4.21. This presents a favorable matchup for Arozarena and the Rays' lineup to exploit.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bradley | 5-4 | 2.63 | 1.05 | 75.1 | 53 | 90 | 26 | 10 |
| C. Bassitt | 8-8 | 3.71 | 1.42 | 114.0 | 116 | 106 | 46 | 10 |
Team Previews
Tampa Bay Rays
The Tampa Bay Rays have had a mixed season with a 51-51 record. Their hitting stats are middling, ranking 27th in hits (786) and 25th in runs (410). Their batting average stands at .236, ranked 20th in the league. The Rays’ pitching, with a team ERA of 4.45, ranks 25th. They have struggled with fielding, committing 57 errors, ranking 11th.
Toronto Blue Jays
The Toronto Blue Jays have a similar story with a 46-55 record. They rank 26th in hits (790) and 27th in runs (400), with a team batting average of .233, ranking 23rd. Their pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.21, ranking 22nd, and they have committed 52 errors, ranking 17th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot | SP | Knee | 15-Day IL |
| Richard Lovelady | RP | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
| Jacob Waguespack | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Jeffrey Springs | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Drew Rasmussen | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Shane McClanahan | SP | Forearm | 60-Day IL |
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | SS | Calf | 10-Day IL |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | IF | Knee | 10-Day IL |
| Jordan Romano | RP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Alek Manoah | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
Recent Games
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Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | 6-1 | L |
| @ New York | 9-1 | W |
| @ New York | 6-4 | W |
| @ New York | 9-1 | L |
| @ Toronto | 4-2 | W |
| @ Toronto | 6-3 | L |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit | 5-4 | L |
| vs Detroit | 7-3 | L |
| vs Detroit | 5-4 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | 4-2 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | 6-3 | W |
Prediction
Given Randy Arozarena's recent form and the inconsistencies in Chris Bassitt's recent performances, the player prop that stands out is Arozarena to record over 0.5 RBIs at +145 odds. Arozarena has been clutch in recent games, and with Bassitt's occasional struggles, the odds are favorable for Arozarena to drive in at least one run.
Pick: Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 RBIs (+145)
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